SnoSki14 Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 Awful weather you can't even open a window at night, disgusting can't wait till the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 The current 82 degree temp here is the highest for so late in season with 40 yrs of record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 49 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: This drought is really getting out of controll. If it weren't for Matthew it would be boardering on disaster out on the island. With next storm looking to be a dud it's only going to get worse, especially with the warm temps this week increasing evapotranspiration. If we head in to winter in this state with potentially frozen ground running off winter precip next spring is going to reveal some serious damage to local forests Today's Euro gives CT and LI over an inch of rain Thur night-Fri night so maybe some help on the way....agree on Matthew-we were very lucky to get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 29 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Today's Euro gives CT and LI over an inch of rain Thur night-Fri night so maybe some help on the way....agree on Matthew-we were very lucky to get that. Yeah sne and the Eastern Long Island may do pretty well on Thursday night. For those out west of there looks like we will be caught in a skunk zone. Today's euro had around .5 for NYC and points west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 The 85 at Newark is one of the latest 85 degree days there on record. http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KEWR.html Latest 85+ degree days at Newark: 10/15/56...86 10/15/60...85 10/17/38...90 10/18/16...85 10/22/79...86 10/23/47...87 11/1/50....85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: The 85 at Newark is one of the latest 85 degree days there on record. http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KEWR.html Latest 85+ degree days at Newark: 10/15/56...86 10/15/60...85 10/17/38...90 10/18/16...85 10/22/79...86 10/23/47...87 11/1/50....85 might even be warmer tomorrow ahead of the front-depending on cloudcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 51 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yeah sne and the Eastern Long Island may do pretty well on Thursday night. For those out west of there looks like we will be caught in a skunk zone. Today's euro had around .5 for NYC and points west How many times have we seen .5 modeled dissolve into .1? It's if any lift we get hits a brick wall when it hits the super low soil moisture contents. Further east you can play off the ocean. And Matthew was pure tropical moisture with high PWATs. I would take the under on .5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: How many times have we seen .5 modeled dissolve into .1? It's if any lift we get hits a brick wall when it hits the super low soil moisture contents. Further east you can play off the ocean. And Matthew was pure tropical moisture with high PWATs. I would take the under on .5 I would too, but I'm encouraged that the Euro shows it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: might even be warmer tomorrow ahead of the front-depending on cloudcover. Warm downslope flow tomorrow so even closer to the coast on LI and SW CT has a shot at 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 18, 2016 Author Share Posted October 18, 2016 Current temp 85, very warm day for mid to late October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 18, 2016 Author Share Posted October 18, 2016 6 hours ago, forkyfork said: another one goes down the tubes 5 hours ago, Allsnow said: Good call by u. The ridge pushes the storm to far nw If this continues for the rest of the fall and into the winter months there are going to be alot of unhappy people on here, lets hope not. We have been in this dry and boring pattern for months now, something has to give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 7 hours ago, BxEngine said: Post the models for the first few days of november that allow you to extrapolate the entire month. Thanks in advance. I used the CFS2 on StormVista. They actually go above normal for Weeks 2-5, out to Nov. 24. And the CANSIPS really does not show a below normal month in the next 12.....coming closest to doing so in Dec. That is what it had at the latest update from Oct. 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 15 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: If this continues for the rest of the fall and into the winter months there are going to be alot of unhappy people on here, lets hope not. We have been in this dry and boring pattern for months now, something has to give. The one piece of good news has been that the recent winters have bucked the drier pattern that has been place the rest of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The 85 at Newark is one of the latest 85 degree days there on record. http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KEWR.html Latest 85+ degree days at Newark: 10/15/56...86 10/15/60...85 10/17/38...90 10/18/16...85 10/22/79...86 10/23/47...87 11/1/50....85 Wow, interesting stats. Certainly an amazing stretch of warmth this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 the euro has a sharper, deeper trough and more interaction with potential otto which results in more rain than the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 16 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Wow, interesting stats. Certainly an amazing stretch of warmth this week. Even more impressive it's following the earliest 80 degree reading of the year on record back on March 9th 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 5 hours ago, dmillz25 said: That'll change 60 59 61...and Goldberg had 58 is or nyc for the weekend. Im glad that there Is more to forecasting than looking at the coldest model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 18, 2016 Author Share Posted October 18, 2016 31 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the euro has a sharper, deeper trough and more interaction with potential otto which results in more rain than the gfs Maybe things will actually trend wetter as we get closer for once and not drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 17 minutes ago, bluewave said: Even more impressive it's following the earliest 80 degree reading of the year on record back on March 9th 2016. Really incredible stuff. By the way, up until this point, are we running the same or warmer than last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 No record high in Knyc today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 11 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Really incredible stuff. By the way, up until this point, are we running the same or warmer than last year? 1/1-10/18 2016 is running warmer than the same period last year since we didn't have the very cold JFM this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 18, 2016 Share Posted October 18, 2016 80 at 7PM in the dark....air is thick and steamy..cant get nights like this in June sometimes. My high was 84 today...so loverly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 Should NYC hit 80° or above tomorrow, that will be the first time on record that Central Park has seen 3 consecutive days with 80° or warmer high temperatures after October 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 3 hours ago, bluewave said: 1/1-10/18 2016 is running warmer than the same period last year since we didn't have the very cold JFM this year. Thanks. It makes sense since Feb 2015 was an icebox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Should NYC hit 80° or above tomorrow, that will be the first time on record that Central Park has seen 3 consecutive days with 80° or warmer high temperatures after October 15. 1954 had four straight from the 11-14th...1950 had a 76 on the Oct. 31st and 84 and 83 on the Nov. 1st-2nd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 8 minutes ago, uncle W said: 1954 had four straight from the 11-14th...1950 had a 76 on the Oct. 31st and 84 and 83 on the Nov. 1st-2nd... 1954 also had 8 such days in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: 1954 also had 8 such days in October. I think Hazel ended the streak...1954 had a cold but snowless December... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 73/66...grumble grumble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 Some drought stats from my station...Since March 1st, total precip has measured 19.54", normal is 32.27" for that period...That's a 12.73" deficit in only a 7.5 month period...Pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 Perhaps a burp run but the euro has 1-3 inches Friday into Saturday for the area. Less southwest into central nj. More interaction with the trough and tropical system off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.