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October 2016 Discussion/Obs


Rtd208

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9 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Nice.

Seems like this late warmth was more common from the mid 40's to the early 60's. The only other years I could find since 1970

with a 10/17 or later in 80 NYC was 80 on 10/21/79 and  88 on 10/22/79 and 80 on 11/15/93.

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9 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Seems like this late warmth was more common from the mid 40's to the early 60's. The only other years I could find since 1970

with a 10/17 or later in 80 NYC was 80 on 10/21/79 and  88 on 10/22/79 and 80 on 11/15/93.

I was just thinking of how I'd love another 93-94 winter up here but we all know its not nearly that simple.

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7 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

I was just thinking of how I'd love another 93-94 winter up here but we all know its not nearly that simple.

it's also interesting that 1979 went from a low of 37 on the 10th with the earliest snowfall on record to 88 on the 22nd with a strong monthly -AO pattern.

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Good to see Jones Beach and Breezy Point added to the hourly obs for the sea breeze influence.

 

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   MOSUNNY   79  60  52 VRB3      29.90F
Wall St Helipt PTCLDY    82  59  44 W5        29.89F
Bronx Bot Gard   N/A     81  59  47 SW5       29.88F
LaGuardia APRT MOSUNNY   83  59  44 SW10G18   29.87F
Kennedy INTL   MOSUNNY   75  62  64 S10       29.90F
Breezy Point     N/A     70 N/A N/A S7          N/A
Newark/Liberty PTSUNNY   82  59  45 W13       29.88F
Teterboro      MOSUNNY   81  59  47 W12       29.87F
$$

NYZ177-179-078>081-172000-
LONG ISLAND NEW YORK

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Jones Beach      N/A     68 N/A N/A S9          N/A
Matinecock PT  NOT AVBL
Farmingdale    SUNNY     75  63  66 SW10      29.89F
MacArthur/ISP  MOSUNNY   74  62  66 S9        29.89F
Shirley        SUNNY     71  63  75 S9        29.90F
Westhampton    SUNNY     70  61  73 SW8       29.92F
Southampton      N/A     68  63  83 W9        29.87F
Bridgehampton    N/A     75  64  69 CALM      29.76S
East Hampton     N/A     71  62  73 SW5       29.90S
Montauk          N/A     74  61  63 VRB5      29.91F
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Congrats LGA..

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
233 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2016

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT LAGUARDIA NY...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 83 DEGREES WAS SET AT LAGUARDIA NY
TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 80 LAST SET IN 1958.

THIS REPORT WILL BE UPDATED LATER TODAY IF THE HIGH TEMPERATURE
EXCEEDS 83 DEGREES.
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Stop using 30 years as the normal period.  It is too long to capture the rapid climate change that is underway.                                    October will be 20th. month in a row to be +++!   November gives every indication of starting AN and thus becoming month 21.  Using CANSIPS (Oct) we will get to 32 straight!!!!!   Defeats statistical meaning of normal.     

You have to reduce the 30 till you get close to an even number of cases AN and BN.

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1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

Stop using 30 years as the normal period.  It is too long to capture the rapid climate change that is underway.                                    October will be 20th. month in a row to be +++!   November gives every indication of starting AN and thus becoming month 21.  Using CANSIPS (Oct) we will get to 32 straight!!!!!   Defeats statistical meaning of normal.     

You have to reduce the 30 till you get close to an even number of cases AN and BN.

Post the models for the first few days of november that allow you to extrapolate the entire month. Thanks in advance.

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34 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

It's not unheard of

 

Agree, but there's not much cold air anywhere right now, so I would be shocked to see a partly sunny day this year with highs in the upper 40's.  We did have a cold October day last year with snowsqualls and temps around 40 however...that was crazy-an island of cold in a sea of warmth!  

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This drought is really getting out of controll. If it weren't for Matthew it would be boardering on disaster out on the island. With next storm looking to be a dud it's only going to get worse, especially with the warm temps this week increasing evapotranspiration. If we head in to winter in this state with potentially frozen ground running off winter precip next spring is going to reveal some serious damage to local forests 

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