eurojosh Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 dca 11/ 6 bwi 11 /5 iad 11/ 5 ric 11/ 26 tiebreaker 6 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 DCA: 11/20 BWI: 11/6 IAD: 11/6 RIC: 11/6 Tiebreaker: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxReese Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 On September 25, 2016 at 5:40 PM, WxUSAF said: Tis the season for the 1st freeze contest! You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F at these locations: DCA: BWI: IAD: RIC: Tiebreaker: Number of days with a minimum temperature below 40F at IAD in October Lowest total departure wins! This thread will lock at midnight September 30th. DCA: 11-5 BWI: 10-23 IAD: 10-22 RIC: 11-2 TB: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 NovaTarHeel winning with a +4 departure for IAD and BWI, but also has 10/29 for DCA which isn't going to work out well. mattie g, PivotPoint, and weatherCCB have +6 departures with more competitive dates for DCA and RIC. kas80 and Eskimo Joe bringing up the rear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 27, 2016 Author Share Posted October 27, 2016 Group average dates for IAD and BWI were 10/27 and 10/31, respectively, so we did pretty well as a group for those 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 11 hours ago, WxUSAF said: NovaTarHeel winning with a +4 departure for IAD and BWI, but also has 10/29 for DCA which isn't going to work out well. mattie g, PivotPoint, and weatherCCB have +6 departures with more competitive dates for DCA and RIC. kas80 and Eskimo Joe bringing up the rear. I hit Dulles square on the money. I just don't feel too confident about Richmond helping me out. I'll need an expected push of cold air somewhere late in the first week of November to make it respectable. DCA...who the hell knows. Probably should have gone for something around Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Not sure that any combination will give me a win, but I'll take only being 5 days off for IAD/BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxReese Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Only +7, I think. Not terrible. Ain't no way I'm going to get Richmond or DCA, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 13, 2016 Share Posted November 13, 2016 Richmond hit 32 as of 10pm, so the date will go down as 11/12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 13, 2016 Author Share Posted November 13, 2016 NovaTarHeel has a commanding lead (only 5 day total departure for RIC, BWI, and IAD), but has a late October DCA freeze date. PivotPoint and weatherCCB have a departure of 9, and PivotPoint's DCA forecast is the 17th. H2O's departure is 10, but also a DCA date that's already past. If the 6z GFS is right and DCA doesn't get a freeze until the ~23rd, BristolWX would win (current departure of 13). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 20th/21st is looking pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 DCA is at 35 at 5AM. I doubt they can make it but if the wind dies down just before sunrise, it might get interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 22, 2016 Author Share Posted November 22, 2016 2 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: DCA is at 35 at 5AM. I doubt they can make it but if the wind dies down just before sunrise, it might get interesting. Not going to make it. 34. Hopefully tonight. If not, it's probably going to be early December before there's another chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Three nailed DCA dead-on, with two more within a day. Pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2016 Author Share Posted November 23, 2016 We have a winner! BristowWX is the 2016 champion with a total departure of only 13 days. PivotPoint comes in a close second with 15 days, followed by yoda (17 days), and then Bob Chill and myself (18 days). BristowWX, EastCoastNPZ, and myself hit DCA exactly right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2016 Author Share Posted November 23, 2016 We do pretty well as a group also, with the average of all dates working out to a total departure of 16 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 I'm honored and touched by this. I have never won anything but I am not going to let it go to waste. I will use my new fame to spread good cheer for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Congrats to BristowWx. Nice job, everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 50 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I'm honored and touched by this. I have never won anything but I am not going to let it go to waste. I will use my new fame to spread good cheer for all. That has to be the lowest departure ever for this contest. Well done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2016 Author Share Posted November 23, 2016 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: That has to be the lowest departure ever for this contest. Well done! I think it is. Either we're getting good at this or this year was very predictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 I would love to say some skill was involved but like most LR predictions it was an excellent rectal pluck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 6 hours ago, WxUSAF said: I think it is. Either we're getting good at this or this year was very predictable. Any way you could post the spreadsheet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 24, 2016 Author Share Posted November 24, 2016 . Freeze Contest 2016_post.xls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 3rd place... nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: . Freeze Contest 2016_post.xls As I thought. Mine was awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 8 hours ago, BristowWx said: I would love to say some skill was involved but like most LR predictions it was an excellent rectal pluck LOL, well congrats anyway! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 I'll stick to football where i kick ass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kas80 Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 I really thought we were going to have a warmer fall. Oh well! Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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