Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Ferocious backside winds for all!! Yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Canadian just a bit faster than the GFS but is on the same track into the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Canadian on board too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Awesone run. Approved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 We should get some better data going forward as the NWS will be releasing weather balloons along the whole east coast every six hours, instead of the normal 12 hours. So I would think that the 06z and 18z GFS models would be more accurate than they otherwise would be. Of course, the word "accurate" is taken with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Ugh. It will be a week of hell for me if this happens like that lol. I hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: Now, I know dryslot didn't say this, but I cannot for the life of me figure out how to get rid of this quote box on mobile. That was probably the most interesting run we've seen yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Just now, 78Blizzard said: We should get some better data going forward as the NWS will be releasing weather balloons along the whole east coast every six hours, instead of the normal 12 hours. So I would think that the 06z and 18z GFS models would be more accurate than they otherwise would be. Of course, the word "accurate" is taken with a grain of salt. The real feature in question is the s/w in the Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Awesone run. Approved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Lets defoliate the trees early!!! Take em' down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ugh. It will be a week of hell for me if this happens like that lol. I hope not. Already seeing a notable uptick in Matthew talk on local news stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 I would much rather see the backside snow scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 the age old mantra of there still being lots of time unfortunately still parlays into [probably] different solutions still... that said, if this 132 hour GFS solution is correct, this CAN'T GO OUT TO SEA, and any solution trying to sell it as doing so should be decommissioned - either that, or change 132 hour idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 That was a pretty sweet run. What was full res when it's up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 How fast (or not) is Matthew after it gets back over the water off North Carolina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: That would be a disaster for everyone who took it on the chin from Irene's rains. No thanks. Carolina's then out to sea is my preferred solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 I like the CMC solution even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ugh. It will be a week of hell for me if this happens like that lol. I hope not. Glad its you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Glad its you May the Androscoggin wash your home away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 keeping things in perspective ... if the present drama includes just this GFS oper. solution? we are talking 980 mb low pressure... yeeeah, impressive, but we've had plenty of nor-easters down that low - just sayn' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Sharp cutoff on that rain shield in E MA on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: May the Androscoggin wash your home away. Thanks, Pretty much a nightmarish scenario unfolding for you guys that need to forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: keeping things in perspective ... if the present drama includes just this GFS oper. solution? we are talking 980 mb low pressure... yeeeah, impressive, but we've had plenty of nor-easters down that low - just sayn' this, The only difference is leafed trees may be a little more problematic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: keeping things in perspective ... if the present drama includes just this GFS oper. solution? we are talking 980 mb low pressure... yeeeah, impressive, but we've had plenty of nor-easters down that low - just sayn' Don't think that's full res. The model depicts a 980 landfall in NC and people were saying the high res was 930s there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Don't think that's full res. The model depicts a 980 landfall in NC and people were saying the high res was 930s there. Either that or they couldn't see it was an 8 and not a 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Just now, eyewall said: Either that or they couldn't see it was an 8 and not a 3 Haha, maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: keeping things in perspective ... if the present drama includes just this GFS oper. solution? we are talking 980 mb low pressure... yeeeah, impressive, but we've had plenty of nor-easters down that low - just sayn' GFS show a 992mb low as it passes Haiti. Uh uh, not happening. This thing will be ~940mb. So a 982mb low passing over us would be no slouch even though it is transitioning. Would likely be a Cat 1/2 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: GFS show a 992mb low as it passes Haiti. Uh uh, not happening. This thing will be ~940mb. So a 982mb low passing over us would be no slouch even though it is transitioning. Would likely be a Cat 1/2 storm. I think the products available to us, are not the real 13KM version. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 12z Ukie looks like a Charleston, SC LF than heading off NE towards New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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