Hazey Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 This thread is a nice winter warmup. Complete with run to run emotional 180s, early football spiking, etc etc.Or a preview of the horror show that awaits us. Might help to get the raw emotions out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 16 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: When you highlighted the applicable passage in bold, that seems quite evident to me what you did. nah, my bad if you read in that way ... but if you're really basing your clear adversarial line or retorts on that as justification ... you are assigning emotion and intent where there is none. the reason i brought that up to him is because this internet social outlet is remorseless (petty at that..) against ANY plausible interpretation that self-aggrandizes. James mere jest of "Skill and .." in any context unfortunately qualifies - that's all - although ... it may have lightened up in very recent years - okay. but back when this was eastern it was a race to gain reverence by posters on here and lots of idiotic policing by just about anyone trying to 'discredit' insights was a plaguing annoyance - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lots of anger here Starting to watch a system at Day 12 will drive some folks insane.. When some take a vested interest in weather *that* far away in time there's bound to be some battles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: James mere jest of "Skill and .." in any context unfortunately qualifies - that's all - I won't prolong this any further except to say that whether or not he was saying that in "jest", he was justified somewhat after being on the receiving end of some negative barbs. There seems to be too much of that going on here (including me now), and we aren't even approaching the emotional winter threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 This has gone downhill quickly. I'll take responsibility. Let's get back on track though. Tensions are high after the Pats, Sox, and 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 My advice to most would be to tune out until Tuesday or Wednesday. Jerry said this a couple days ago...he had the right idea. Unless you are tracking the impact in the Caribbean... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Everyone is just restless after a long stretch of boredom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 i seriously hope someone with the wherewithal offers some explanation at some point as to what that satellite convection to the East of the TC is really all about. fascinating... I thought maybe it was gravity wave triggered and advanced that idea last night. now i'm wondering if it's just convergence between the underbelly of Matthew against the trade-winds. probably the simpler explanation is the right one. in any event, this is the best this system has looked on satellite right i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: i seriously hope someone with the wherewithal offers some explanation at some point as to what that satellite convection to the East of the TC is really all about. fascinating... I thought maybe it was gravity wave triggered and advanced that idea last night. now i'm wondering if it's just convergence between the underbelly of Matthew against the trade-winds. probably the simpler explanation is the right one. in any event, this is the best this system has looked on satellite right i think Wondering why the blob doesn't for with every TC in the trade winds then? you would thing it would be inhibiting, but every time the blob blows up, so does Mathew. That might just be a sign of that the surface inflow is more juiced up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 This thread is better than the main board thead. At least no one is discussing nam runs or the lbar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Amped said: Wondering why the blob doesn't for with every TC in the trade winds then? you would thing it would be inhibiting, but every time the blob blows up, so does Mathew. That might just be a sign of that the surface inflow is more juiced up. if there is any merit to the convergence idea ... the thing is, Matthew is essentially stationary relative to the trade-wind vectors... which is to say, either literally not moving, or moving perpendicular. Matt also has been moving slow for the last two days, in general, and that could plausibly mean extended duration of west flow under its circulation impinging upon the trades - interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Hmm, I'm thinking blob behind Matthew might have something to do with maybe reforming eye? Trying to transfer or merge it? Really can't say or figure out what's going on with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 9 minutes ago, Amped said: Wondering why the blob doesn't for with every TC in the trade winds then? you would thing it would be inhibiting, but every time the blob blows up, so does Mathew. That might just be a sign of that the surface inflow is more juiced up. Think you may be right. Every time he tightens up and the eye clears out, you get an explosion from that blob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 That blow-up from what I understand and was explained is a convergence from the trade-winds and the inflow channel to a cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Sweet light show in Aruba last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Also, apparently sprite footage from Puerto Rico looking towards that blob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 14 minutes ago, Hoth said: Think you may be right. Every time he tightens up and the eye clears out, you get an explosion from that blob. If that blob moves over Hispaniola they are in for some serious rainfall totals. Haven't seen TRMM but there have to be Ellicott city rainfall rates in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Pretty cool site to see ship traffic! Matt causing havoc with ship traffic. No cruise ships near Jamaica or Haiti. http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:-79/centery:6/zoom:8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Everyone is just restless after a long stretch of boredom. It has been a ridiculously long time since any interesting weather has happened around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 This thread is better than the main board thead. At least no one is discussing nam runs or the lbarWeenies are gonna ween. Wishcasting till the bitter end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 3 hours ago, SN_Lover said: Pretty cool site to see ship traffic! Matt causing havoc with ship traffic. No cruise ships near Jamaica or Haiti. http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:-79/centery:6/zoom:8 Alot of those positions are more than 5hrs old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 If you look at a loop of Sandy in the central Caribbean, it too had a blob to its east. Granted, it was not as pronounced as this one (weaker system?), but I think that lends credence to the ideas put forward here regarding the influence of convergence with the trade winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 The blob explanation makes sense but I can't get over that Matt is west of it......and is thriving meaning the inflow is healthy....how do westerlies make it to the blob? Isn't Matt absorbing the westerlies from the west and not letting them east of his center? If no then how do westerlies exist east of his center? It's very strange.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, ice1972 said: The blob explanation makes sense but I can't get over that Matt is west of it......and is thriving meaning the inflow is healthy....how do westerlies make it to the blob? Isn't Matt absorbing the westerlies from the west and not letting them east of his center? If no then how do westerlies exist east of his center? It's very strange.... I believe the westerlies are east to west winds not the opposite edit: What I think they mean is trade winds not westerlies.. sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: I believe the westerlies are east to west winds not the opposite edit: What I think they mean is trade winds not westerlies.. sorry. Ah maybe I'm getting my directions backwards....lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 What is it with the perverse negative correlation between Matthew's intensity, and how close it gets to us........the closer it is, the weaker....the urns further out to sea, stronger. I mean, a legit, perfect correlation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Scrapes ACK.....I think this maybe about the most exciting solution possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Hr 162 on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is it with the perverse negative correlation between Matthew's intensity, and how close it gets to us........the closer it is, the weaker....the urns further out to sea, stronger. I mean, a legit, perfect correlation. Hmm maybe Hurricanes are stronger when they're over water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 CMC misses the area up here but wow, way west of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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