40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Someone in the SE forum posted the UKIE ensembles. Nearly every member had a US landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 The euro solution is slower and has a flatter trough. If it sped up, or had the trough duh deeper it would probably at least graze us. The trend with Matthew has been on the slow side overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 (Pulled from SE forum) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Looks like the mean of those sphegetti charts would take it near Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 #goalposts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 know what's funny? in all the noise of lines and noodles ... it seems there are two basic camps, neither of which favors this forum - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: know what's funny? in all the noise of lines and noodles ... it seems there are two basic camps, neither of which favors this forum - I said that yesterday...either OTS, or se impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 if this thing really is moving N already ...none of the models quite precisely got that timing right - total behavior, yes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 GFS is a bit east early, and I don't see anything to change that as of yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: Soooo, Gulf solution is out, eh? Some interesting members in there for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Soooo, Gulf solution is out, eh? Some interesting members in there for sure.Looks like it came west a few tics from the 06z runSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 There's a reason why the cone only goes out 5 days lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Its east early, but ridging seems to be building a touch better and MW trough digging a hair more....ATL low is similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 I don't think we will see a NC LF this time, but will still shoot up...but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Eh...trough is a bit more progressive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: A closer look based on a posting in the main tropical thread. Mostly misses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 A closer look based on a posting in the main tropical thread. Mostly misses.Hmm, Strange that it has matthew shooting the gapSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Hmm, Strange that it has matthew shooting the gap Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Trying as hard as possible to avoid land haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Just a hair east of 12z @ 120 now...closed the gap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Just south of moorehead at 165 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Continues to trend more slowly....not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Love the look of the 18z GFS @ 162 hours especially with the energy over the CONUS. Shortwave trough looks stronger, I expect a quicker phase here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Continues to trend more slowly....not good. Why not good? Are you worried it is going to miss the phase because it def wont on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Matthew is slower though, but the trough near the Lakes is deeper making up for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 just east of hatteras at 174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Stronger vortmax rounding the midwest trough, Looks like its going to capture Matthew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 I see less N stream involvement...or slower, anyway.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Check out the shortwave over Kentucky @ 180 hours....once these 2 phase Matthew should pinwheel West Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Official phase occurring @ 192-195 hours, kind of looks like NAVGEM, this will nuke NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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