40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: interesting trends, but as Ray said.. 7+ days.. Even is this were 7 hours out.....these things still usually curl east faster than anticipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 I think it rides the w 495 belt.....my area east would get squashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 CMC brings the storm all the way back from the ocean and slams into Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Mt Washington isn't 6000, its 6289' Apples and oranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Man...what a perfect run. System parallels the coast perfectly the whole way up, riding the gulf stream, then fires like a cannon once it reaches HSE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Cmc looked way ots then does a hard left hook into maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Just now, 78Blizzard said: Apples and oranges. The point is 7-10 days is noise RE tracks of tropical systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Even is this were 7 hours out.....these things still usually curl east faster than anticipated. What you aren't locking this in for Phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: CMC brings the storm all the way back from the ocean and slams into Maine My guess is it captures it later.....but safe to say capture is gaining steam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Obviously there's no shortage of homes and buildings in this area that are a century or more old, but I wonder how post-50s built structures would weather that solution verbatim? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Posted for posterity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: My guess is it captures it later.....but safe to say capture is gaining steam. Mods can delete this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The point is 7-10 days is noise RE tracks of tropical systems. No one is disputing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Never mind the 7 or 10day model fantasy. The ultimate outcome is just speculation and disclaiming such is prudent. Wise to just take mini-bites in 5 day increments. A continuing track to the West beyond the next 24h renders OP models useless. So it's all fun and games ATT. I'm really starting to get concerned for down here. I don't like the trend tick, tick, tick. Amazing the intensification which was whoafully under-estimated. Having a CAT5 in that position relative to where I live is comparable to a Hatteras cane tracking toward SNE. What differs is former is and will maintain the latter more likely decaying. So in many ways it's Real-time for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 What was the trend for the CMC...west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 NAVGEM is a bit east of GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 0z GEFS have alot of hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 That GFS scenario is about as bad as it gets storm wise in this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What was the trend for the CMC...west? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: NAVGEM is a bit east of GFS Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Well, earlier it was....wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, earlier it was....wow Another model with a big left hook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 8 hours ago, dryslot said: Pretty solid. This is how you break droughts (not to mention trees and houses). Since the odds of a major sne hit are still up in the air, think of the impact of Matthew moving poleward having a profound effect on the overall pattern. Pretty cool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Pretty solid. This is how you break droughts (not to mention trees and houses). Since the odds of a major sne hit are still up in the air, think of the impact of Matthew moving poleward having a profound effect on the overall pattern. Pretty cool! I was already thinking of that lol....SNE devastation, or not.....lots of heat being sent poleward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Nature lol......1938!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 EURO smokes Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 I think this solution is just a trend towards the other camps.....at 12z, the trough completely missed it and it sat and spun......now it kicks out to the east, and isn't left behind......I'll bet at 12z it hooks into ME. I'll bet there are some hits on the EPS and the mean is west. Pretty incredible how night/day the EURO and GFS are....surface and H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FitzWx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Hopefully we get some needed rain from this but miss all the damage it would cause. We are a week away so things will change, but its a little scary how the models are coming together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 EPS mean swims with the fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 The Euro and GFS couldn't be more different The one time you hope the GFS is right with something. This will be the time the Euro wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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