andyhb Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 12 hours ago, cyclone77 said: ^Nice pics Bo. Stuck under a stratus deck for the 3rd day in a row. Kind of early in the season for persistent stratus decks around here. Thursday night is looking pretty stormy around here. Not expecting severe, as that will likely take place further west/south, but could be several non-severe storms racing through later in the night. New 00z Euro run says that might get a bit hairy. Mid/even upper 60s dews into IA with plenty of deep/low level shear and a fairly widespread area of >1000 J/kg of CAPE (even close to 2000 in parts). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Absolutely love the long range on the Euro, after a brief tick down this weekend, early to mid week next week look spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 16 hours ago, andyhb said: New 00z Euro run says that might get a bit hairy. Mid/even upper 60s dews into IA with plenty of deep/low level shear and a fairly widespread area of >1000 J/kg of CAPE (even close to 2000 in parts). Yep, pretty impressive little setup. I love these strong baroclinic setups this time of the year. Breezy, humid, warm temps in the 70s all evening long, while a few hundred miles west a biting north wind with temps in the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Yep, pretty impressive little setup. I love these strong baroclinic setups this time of the year. Breezy, humid, warm temps in the 70s all evening long, while a few hundred miles west a biting north wind with temps in the 40s. It's always fun to be outside when those very strong cold fronts come through. You can sometimes feel the temperature drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 5 hours ago, Stebo said: Absolutely love the long range on the Euro, after a brief tick down this weekend, early to mid week next week look spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 5:56 PM, cyclone77 said: Yep, pretty impressive little setup. I love these strong baroclinic setups this time of the year. Breezy, humid, warm temps in the 70s all evening long, while a few hundred miles west a biting north wind with temps in the 40s. Oy. I'm on the wrong side of that line. 41 and t-storms here tomorrow night. Down to 34 on Friday night. ''Tis the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 70+ DP's showing up at a few sites in the LOT CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Picked up a little over a half inch of rain this morning with some loud boomers. Dew up to 67 atm. A round of Iowa's sloppy seconds later tonight, and then much cooler/drier starting tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: 70+ DP's showing up at a few sites in the LOT CWA. Alma Michigan had a dewpoint of 71 earlier today. Pretty incredible considering that is north of Lansing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Official high here today was 87! Quite warm for October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Like the last system just before our river flood eleven days ago, this system looked like a widespread soaker across eastern Iowa, but didn't amount to much. I picked up about a tenth of an inch from a quick-moving cell earlier (decent lightning), but that's going to be about it. The main swath of rain has been southeast. The first upper 30s with 30-degree windchill have arrived in nw Iowa this evening. Here in east-central Iowa we just passed our avg first frost date and there are still no sub-40 temps in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 There have been a few couplets and even tor warnings for the activity in the DVN CWA, near the IL/IA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 There have been a few couplets and even tor warnings for the activity in the DVN CWA, near the IL/IA border.Looks like a handful of tors have likely occurred.Totally unexpected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 45, pouring rain, and gusts around 25mph. Absolute chill in the air tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Well, tonight sure ended up being interesting. Totally blew off tonight, as expected things to arrive much later than they did, and in a weaker state. Storms held together pretty nicely as they neared the MS River. A few decent circulations developed and became tor warned. One went right through the heart of Davenport and Bettendorf. Interested to see what they find from that tomorrow. That circulation passed about 8 miles NW of here, but came pretty close to my brother's place. Another tor warned circulation from the southern portion of the QC headed this way, but crapped the bed (luckily) before reaching us. The storms delivered a solid punch though, with 40-50mph gusts, and blinding torrents of rain. Looked like a hurricane for a brief period, which was interesting considering I've been following Matthew the past several days lol. Picked up over a half inch in short order, and put us up to 1.09" for the day. More storms rolling in as we speak, but not expecting anymore severe tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: Looks like a handful of tors have likely occurred. Totally unexpected. The summer with surprise tornadoes is now the fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 4 hours ago, Stebo said: Alma Michigan had a dewpoint of 71 earlier today. Pretty incredible considering that is north of Lansing. Getting low 70s dews so far north in October is about as high as it gets for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 9 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Getting low 70s dews so far north in October is about as high as it gets for this time of year. Yeah hell the 65 dew point we hat at DTW is probably top 5%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Looking forward to the cold front. Two frost chances in Michigan over the next 7 days. Sunday Am and Thursday AM. Prob in outlying areas, away from heat islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Warm this morning! 62 with some rain and thunder. Temps should fall into the 40's by later today and even a mention of snow in my point for early tomorrow. Certainly will feel cold compared to the great fall weather so far. also interesting to note... frost/freeze products from mqt end today. They issued one frost advisory a few weeks ago and that was it. Some historical warmth this fall in the UP. ok... back to watching Matt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Although this warmth hasn't been awful, I wouldn't mind some colder temps to get our foliage change underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 I don't think we have even had a frost for freeze warning issues this year and APX already stopped for the year. I wonder the last time this has happened for the area. On a side note colors our looking pretty good now in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 43 minutes ago, josh_4184 said: I don't think we have even had a frost for freeze warning issues this year and APX already stopped for the year. I wonder the last time this has happened for the area. On a side note colors our looking pretty good now in the area. My typical first freeze in mid October, it might not happen on time. Thursday is the biggest threat for that, but that's iffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Some of the usual early changing trees finally showing some color. They're easily a month+ behind though.Probably will have a decent amount of foliage, some green, well into November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Cold front looks to be passing through Lansing with barely a sprinkle. Dry airmass in front of the cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 437 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ..UPDATED NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 10/6/2016 TORNADO EVENTS OVERVIEW STORM SURVEYS HAVE BEEN COMPLETED FOR THE DAY. TORNADO #1 MUSCATINE COUNTY RATING: EF-1 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 95 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 9.5 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 30 YARDS FATALITIES: NONE INJURIES: NONE START DATE: OCT 6 2016 START TIME: 1007 PM CDT START LOCATION: 4 NNW MUSCATINE/MUSCATINE START LAT/LON: 41.4677N/-91.097W END DATE: OCT 6 2016 END TIME: 1018 PM CDT END LOCATION: 4 SSW DURANT/MUSCATINE END LAT/LON: 41.552N/-90.9515W SURVEY SUMMARY: A FAST MOVING TORNADO CAUSED MOSTLY DAMAGE TO CROPS AND TREES ALONG ITS 9.5 MILE PATH. A FEW TREES WERE SNAPPED AT THEIR TRUNKS. ONE HOG FARM HAD TWO OUTBUILDINGS COMPLETELY DESTROYED. TORNADO #2 SOUTH OF COAL VALLEY RATING: EF-0 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 85 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 4.9 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 10 YARDS FATALITIES: NONE INJURIES: NONE START DATE: OCT 6 2016 START TIME: 1041 PM CDT START LOCATION: 4 SE OAK GROVE/ROCK ISLAND START LAT/LON: 41.3796N/-90.5125 END DATE: OCT 6 2016 END TIME: 1046 PM CDT END LOCATION: 6 SSE MOLINE/ROCK ISLAND END LAT/LON: 41.4146/-90.4314 SURVEY SUMMARY: FAST MOVING EF0 TORNADO DID DAMAGE TO MOSTLY TREES AND CROPS ALONG ITS PATH. TORNADO #3 DAVENPORT/BETTENDORF/CORDOVA RATING: EF-1 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 20 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 800 YARDS FATALITIES: NONE INJURIES: NONE START DATE: OCT 06 2016 START TIME: 1036 PM CDT START LOCATION: 4 S DAVENPORT/SCOTT START LAT/LON: 41.5049N/-90.6173W END DATE: OCT 06 2016 END TIME: 1100 PM CDT END LOCATION: 1 E CORDOVA/ROCK ISLAND END LAT/LON: 41.679N/-90.3076W AN EF1 TORNADO BEGAN IN WESTERN DAVENPORT, TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST. DAMAGE BEGAN ON CREDIT ISLAND AND EXTENDED THROUGH DOWNTOWN DAVENPORT, THE VILLAGE OF EAST DAVENPORT, BETTENDORF, AND INTO NORTHEAST SCOTT COUNTY. THE TORNADO THEN CROSSED THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER SOUTH OF PRINCETON AND HIT THE CORDOVA BEFORE IT LIFTED. ALONG THE PATH, DAMAGE WAS PRIMARILY TO TREES AND OUTBUILDINGS. SOME TREES FELL ON HOMES AND CARS. IN DOWNTOWN DAVENPORT THE ROOF OF THE JAIL AND THE ROOF OF A HOMELESS SHELTER WERE ALSO DAMAGED. PEAK WIND WAS ESTIMATED AT 100 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 437 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ..UPDATED NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 10/6/2016 TORNADO EVENTS OVERVIEW STORM SURVEYS HAVE BEEN COMPLETED FOR THE DAY. TORNADO #1 MUSCATINE COUNTY RATING: EF-1 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 95 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 9.5 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 30 YARDS FATALITIES: NONE INJURIES: NONE START DATE: OCT 6 2016 START TIME: 1007 PM CDT START LOCATION: 4 NNW MUSCATINE/MUSCATINE START LAT/LON: 41.4677N/-91.097W END DATE: OCT 6 2016 END TIME: 1018 PM CDT END LOCATION: 4 SSW DURANT/MUSCATINE END LAT/LON: 41.552N/-90.9515W SURVEY SUMMARY: A FAST MOVING TORNADO CAUSED MOSTLY DAMAGE TO CROPS AND TREES ALONG ITS 9.5 MILE PATH. A FEW TREES WERE SNAPPED AT THEIR TRUNKS. ONE HOG FARM HAD TWO OUTBUILDINGS COMPLETELY DESTROYED. TORNADO #2 SOUTH OF COAL VALLEY RATING: EF-0 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 85 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 4.9 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 10 YARDS FATALITIES: NONE INJURIES: NONE START DATE: OCT 6 2016 START TIME: 1041 PM CDT START LOCATION: 4 SE OAK GROVE/ROCK ISLAND START LAT/LON: 41.3796N/-90.5125 END DATE: OCT 6 2016 END TIME: 1046 PM CDT END LOCATION: 6 SSE MOLINE/ROCK ISLAND END LAT/LON: 41.4146/-90.4314 SURVEY SUMMARY: FAST MOVING EF0 TORNADO DID DAMAGE TO MOSTLY TREES AND CROPS ALONG ITS PATH. TORNADO #3 DAVENPORT/BETTENDORF/CORDOVA RATING: EF-1 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 20 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 800 YARDS FATALITIES: NONE INJURIES: NONE START DATE: OCT 06 2016 START TIME: 1036 PM CDT START LOCATION: 4 S DAVENPORT/SCOTT START LAT/LON: 41.5049N/-90.6173W END DATE: OCT 06 2016 END TIME: 1100 PM CDT END LOCATION: 1 E CORDOVA/ROCK ISLAND END LAT/LON: 41.679N/-90.3076W AN EF1 TORNADO BEGAN IN WESTERN DAVENPORT, TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST. DAMAGE BEGAN ON CREDIT ISLAND AND EXTENDED THROUGH DOWNTOWN DAVENPORT, THE VILLAGE OF EAST DAVENPORT, BETTENDORF, AND INTO NORTHEAST SCOTT COUNTY. THE TORNADO THEN CROSSED THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER SOUTH OF PRINCETON AND HIT THE CORDOVA BEFORE IT LIFTED. ALONG THE PATH, DAMAGE WAS PRIMARILY TO TREES AND OUTBUILDINGS. SOME TREES FELL ON HOMES AND CARS. IN DOWNTOWN DAVENPORT THE ROOF OF THE JAIL AND THE ROOF OF A HOMELESS SHELTER WERE ALSO DAMAGED. PEAK WIND WAS ESTIMATED AT 100 MPH. You just beat me lol. Yeah, the track of that EF-1 is pretty crazy. Right through the heart of a very densely populated area in Davenport and Bettendorf. Just glad it was a relatively weak tornado. Nice and cool today. Temps held near 60 most of the day with breezy conditions. Dews down in the 30s. Coldest night of the season on the way for tonight, with lows forecast near 40. 47 is the coldest we've been up to this point, which is pretty crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Map of the Davenport EF-1 from DVN... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 So Matthew never officially made landfall correct? The streak of major hurricane not striking the U.S continues lol missed by 20 miles. Looped the radar as that came out of Nassau, it's amazing how Matthew perfectly paralleled the coast, a rare track for sure. Onto to more local, September finished +5.5 AN, and 7 days into October we are running at +7, will surely be adding to that by next week. It's just amazing to me the lack of cold falls the last 4-5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 37 minutes ago, Chambana said: So Matthew never officially made landfall correct? The streak of major hurricane not striking the U.S continues lol missed by 20 miles. Looped the radar as that came out of Nassau, it's amazing how Matthew perfectly paralleled the coast, a rare track for sure. Onto to more local, September finished +5.5 AN, and 7 days into October we are running at +7, will surely be adding to that by next week. It's just amazing to me the lack of cold falls the last 4-5 years. Not this time around at least. May have another shot a week from now if some of the latest models are correct, lol. If we have to deal with these tropical systems, let's just continue to keep the **** out of the Gulf and I'm a happy camper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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