BuffaloWeather Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 25, 2016 Author Share Posted October 25, 2016 Sam Lashley at IWX has mentioned in his couple of discussions that isolated severe is not out of the question tomorrow across northern IN, especially near the triple point. Another instance of low CAPE/high shear values. Any thoughts from the severe guys? Another event with strong shear and weak instability but surface low tracks right across the area. This has proven interesting in several cases this year with some cases producing isolated weak tornadoes and downbursts. Certainly not advocating that in this event but worth noting given strong wind profiles and low level shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 View from my desk at work...definitely the best in Fall! Its been a weird Fall as color is overall behind but tomorrows rain and wind will undoubtedly knock lots of leaves off, when quite a handful of trees still need to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 4 hours ago, IWXwx said: Sam Lashley at IWX has mentioned in his couple of discussions that isolated severe is not out of the question tomorrow across northern IN, especially near the triple point. Another instance of low CAPE/high shear values. Any thoughts from the severe guys? Another event with strong shear and weak instability but surface low tracks right across the area. This has proven interesting in several cases this year with some cases producing isolated weak tornadoes and downbursts. Certainly not advocating that in this event but worth noting given strong wind profiles and low level shear. Given the number of sneaky events this year, I don't think it's off base to mention the possibility. Low level shear looks very good tomorrow but instability is pretty terrible, especially in the IWX cwa. Never say never but I think the lackluster instability/dews will hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 26, 2016 Author Share Posted October 26, 2016 6 hours ago, Hoosier said: Given the number of sneaky events this year, I don't think it's off base to mention the possibility. Low level shear looks very good tomorrow but instability is pretty terrible, especially in the IWX cwa. Never say never but I think the lackluster instability/dews will hurt. Thanks. I know SPC is thinking the same, but I also know Sam wouldn't mention it if he didn't think that at least a severe storm is possible (he is a weenie like us). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Getting light rain here with a very cool temperature of 38° now at my house. With the forecasted high today in the mid 40’s Today looks to be the coldest October 26th at GRR since 2001 and the 3rd coldest in the last 30 years While the coldest maximum for the date (35° set in 1942) is safe. In fact there have been 5 years in the past when October 26 has not gotten out of the 30’s the last time that happened was 1988. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 I picked up a better-than-expected 1.40" of rain overnight and this morning, our first good rain in over a month. There was some decent lightning/thunder with the initial line as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Snow mixing in with rain here in Howell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Some sleet in the Cleveland area. Very dry layer in the low levels allowing it despite temps in the low to mid 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 I can confirm that sleet is mixing in here in Cleveland this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Yep same here, though sometimes looks like snow flakes on the home webcam . Great baseball weather ! GO tribe ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Almost RIPPING snow outside here in central MI, welcome back old man winter! I have a nice white coating on the grass and cars etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 14 minutes ago, dta1984 said: Yep same here, though sometimes looks like snow flakes on the home webcam . Great baseball weather ! GO tribe ! The warm layer above the dry low levels is like 33 degrees per RAP forecast soundings so it's possible some flakes are making it through, especially when it comes down a little. It's a little colder the farther east you go so maybe there's a better shot at some globby flakes making it through out in Geauga County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 I'm surprised this is sticking so well, Here's a nice pic after the first 2hrs of snowfall for the season here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 It's rained here pretty much all day. Have had two rounds of thunderstorms as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Central Illinois will be returning to summer-like temps for Halloween weekend as the month closes--the current 10-day Weather Channel forecast for SPI is predicting a high of 80 on Halloween Monday. (However, the record high for Halloween in Springfield is 85 in 1950). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 1.12" here. Had some decent boomers early this morning, and some decent downpours. Stayed really dark until mid-morning from the very thick clouds/low sun angle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Snowing pretty good here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConfusedKitten Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Saw the first flakes of the season, it's mostly back to rain though and I with the high RH now I doubt it'll switch back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Keep the snow pictures coming! Enjoying them. Got up to 67 with 0.32 in of rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Hit 21F last night so I figure it's time to start posting again. First hard freeze of the year. Chilly bike ride this morning but beautiful with a thick layer of frost. Wet snow in the forecast for tonight so could see the season's first flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Saw first flakes of the season at UWO in London, On. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 There was enough snow here earlier this evening to coat the grass and cars. It has changed over to a wonderful 34F and rain. Also had a hard freeze Tuesday night. It made it down to 26F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Congrats for those that saw some flakes today. Still probably a good 3-5 weeks away from our first flakes the way this fall season has gone so far. Still awaiting the first freeze, which still looks weeks away. Far cry from a few years back when our first flakes flew on Oct 4th lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Seen the first flakes of the season here in Vaughan, just north of Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Yesterday’s high here in Grand Rapids of 40° was the coldest high since April 9th high of 36° when we had 5” of snow on the ground. While many areas received snow, I did not see any here nor was there any reported at the airport. Over in Bay City my mother in reported they had huge flacks and at times it covered the ground. Here at my house I received 0.95” of rain. At the airport, the report was 0.89” and that is a new record for the date. So far this month GRR has reported 6.04” Since September 1st the total is 8.44” and for the year GRR is now at 39.98” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 10 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Congrats for those that saw some flakes today. Still probably a good 3-5 weeks away from our first flakes the way this fall season has gone so far. Still awaiting the first freeze, which still looks weeks away. Far cry from a few years back when our first flakes flew on Oct 4th lol. Can probably bet on it not going down like last year, when many places had their first flakes with that Nov 20-21 storm. Anecdotally, seems like it's often a wound up cutter that initially puts us in the warm sector and gives some backwash flurries/snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 -SN right now in Guelph. Amazing considering there was a heat index over 80 here just eight days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 6 hours ago, Hoosier said: Can probably bet on it not going down like last year, when many places had their first flakes with that Nov 20-21 storm. Anecdotally, seems like it's often a wound up cutter that initially puts us in the warm sector and gives some backwash flurries/snow showers. If an early heavy snow like last year means what we got the rest of last winter, then I'm content to wait till December for the first 1"+ lol. Only made 49 today, with plenty of pesky clouds. Coldest day of the season so far. We launch into the 70s tomorrow, and I think we give 80 a run on Saturday with favorable west-southwest winds immediately ahead of the incoming cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 27, 2016 Share Posted October 27, 2016 Certainly no frost in sight here. Our latest frost on record is the 29th of October, which will certainly be smashed by probably at least a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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