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Matthew


NWNC2015

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45 minutes ago, metalicwx366 said:

They are getting hammered at Hilton Head with hurricane force gusts. 74kts(85mph)

KHXD 080915Z AUTO 35052G74KT 1/4SM +RA OVC001 24/24 A2863 RMK AO2

 

I spend a lot of time in HHI/Beaufort. I'm not looking forward to seeing the changes this storm will bring :(  

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1 minute ago, FallsLake said:

All I have is radar, but it does look like it's making landfall. Heavy echo's:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=clx&loop=yes

 

 

1 minute ago, Animal said:

no reports, but looking at the radar, it does looks as if the eye went over the city just now possibly.

Radar is what I was looking at too. Hopefully there will be a report to confirm or deny soon ;) 

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He does look like crap this morning, wind will be becoming much less of a issue, unless the dry air working into the circulation factor plays into it then 50-60 mpg gust may be widespread over eastern NC and SC even after the center has passed well east of us. ILM still talking about this happening though the size of the area affected is a ?, though in Hermine it was basically the entire NW side of the circ....

 

From ILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
704 AM EDT Sat Oct 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
The center of Hurricane Matthew will move very near the coast of
South Carolina this morning, and should barely miss Cape Fear this
evening as the storm turns east and moves out to sea. Life threatening
flash flooding, damaging winds, and storm surge flooding are expected.
Behind Matthew, Canadian high pressure will bring the coolest air
of this Fall season, with dry weather expected through Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 700 AM Saturday...Hurricane Matthew will continue to move
north-northeastward along the South Carolina coast this morning,
turning more east-northeastward toward Cape Fear this evening.
Tremendous moisture content in the atmosphere (precipitable water
values 2.6 to 3.0 inches) is not only a record high for October,
but likely is in the top few events for all of recorded history
here! An exceptionally high risk for flash flooding exists as an
additional 7-10 inches of rain is expected to fall today, making
storm totals near 15 inches in spots. Referencing values on the
NOAA Precipitation Frequency Atlas, 45-day rainfall totals (Sep 1
through Oct 15) are probably going to be in the 50 to 100 year
average return interval after Matthew is done with us.

 

Tropical storm force winds will continue to spread northward
along the coast this morning, but I fear there is a surprise
waiting for us late this afternoon into this evening. For several
days the GFS model has been indicating as the center of Matthew
passes south of Cape Fear, rain-cooled air across interior North
Carolina would get pulled south behind the storm. As lapse rates
steepen in the lowest 1500-2000 feet of the atmosphere, winds of
60-80 mph may get transported down through this mixed layer to the
surface. For many locations north of Myrtle Beach this may be the
strongest winds we see from the entire event, and could pose quite
a shock as the system will seem to be on its way out to sea by
then. After a foot of rain, gusts this strong would almost
certainly uproot trees causing power outages and blocked roads.

&&
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9 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Pouring rain here with an occasional non-impactful wind gust.

i hope you guys down south and along the coast are doing ok!

Lots of rain down here towards Fayetteville as well.  Gusty winds at times, NWS is showing Fayetteville with a North wind at 30 with guts to 43 mph already.

Just received a flash flood warning alert on my phone for this area as well.

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