metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Starting to think some of those model projections for rainfall will be correct, there is a ton of rain on the north/northwest side.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 5 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: wont be shocked to see the water overtake the battery later tonight, tides already running very high. Could definitely see that as well. The surge with this is no joke. 8 feet of water, if that's what comes, is a ton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Hello Folks... Reside in SENC, Kure /Wilmington Beach to be exact.. hoping for a Warm welcome.. Just discovered this board... Very interested In the Outcomes.. I hope to post a few Obs up here.. I did notice Postings from DownEastNC, Reading pages back... On that GFS, (Have I got that right)? Monday run, seems to be becoming to fruition... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 2 minutes ago, SENC said: Hello Folks... Reside in SENC, Kure /Wilmington Beach to be exact.. hoping for a Warm welcome.. Just discovered this board... Very interested In the Outcomes.. I hope to post a few Obs up here.. I did notice Postings from DownEastNC, Reading pages back... On that GFS, (Have I got that right)? Monday run, seems to be becoming to fruition... Welcome aboard mate! And batten down the hatches!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 5 minutes ago, metwannabe said: Starting to think some of those model projections for rainfall will be correct, there is a ton of rain on the north/northwest side.... I was just noticing the same thing, some of those are starting to creep into the southern parts of E NC The NW side of the storm inland is really firing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Winds are picking up more now. Sustained over 25-30 mph with higher gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Welcome SENC. Wondering if the eye of Matt might be in the vicinity of Wilmington tomorrow evening. I suspect it may. Observations appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 4 minutes ago, SENC said: Hello Folks... Reside in SENC, Kure /Wilmington Beach to be exact.. hoping for a Warm welcome.. Just discovered this board... Very interested In the Outcomes.. I hope to post a few Obs up here.. I did notice Postings from DownEastNC, Reading pages back... On that GFS, (Have I got that right)? Monday run, seems to be becoming to fruition... Welcome look forward to you storm reports...should be good for gust to 70-80 mph there at least....this thing is going to get hybrid fast on the NW side and if ILM is correct and the low level lapse rates do spike up when the dry air intrudes on the rain shield it could actually be worse once the center is east of you..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Welcome aboard, SENC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 charleston running 3ft higher than normal at low tide per chs nws. NOT GOOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Welcome SENC really looking forward to obs tomorrow....kinda jealous. Enjoy!Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 charleston running 3ft higher than normal at low tide per chs nws. NOT GOOD.Low country is in trouble I'm afraid..Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Lots of rain on the GA SC coast. Steadily moving north: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=clx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 2 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Welcome look forward to you storm reports...should be good for gust to 70-80 mph there at least....this thing is going to get hybrid fast on the NW side and if ILM is correct and the low level lapse rates do spike up when the dry air intrudes on the rain shield it could actually be worse once the center is east of you..... DownEast, I can give a somewhat *Limited* Obs from today.. We've had ENE, & ESE winds the past 2 Days,, This afternoons hightide was ,, how can I say? Exceptional, Way above normal by a few feet.. Covered Most of the Roads on the North end of Carolina beach.. Winds were at 15~20 Mph holding steady, No rain "YET"... We have had LOTS of rain last Wednesday & Thursday.. The Ground is very saturated... mostly I'm concerned about flood Surge, Lots of Rain, & trees coming down.. DownEast,, again a HUGE Thank you post last Mondays GFS... That seems to be in the cards... Barrier Islands here are under a Voluntary Evac as I type.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ser Pounce Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 I'm seeing the telltale green flashes of transformers going out from the downtown Charleston north of Crosstown side of the Ashley River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 20 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: charleston running 3ft higher than normal at low tide per chs nws. NOT GOOD. savannah is running 5.5 ft higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 2 minutes ago, Ser Pounce said: I'm seeing the telltale green flashes of transformers going out from the downtown Charleston north of Crosstown side of the Ashley River. I appreciate those detailed reports SP, I have a niece riding it out in Mt Pleasant. She expects to loose power, and I agree. Take care down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 TWC in house model has the eye of Matt right on Charleston at 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 going to make landfall in chs likely, still heading north and would have to take a hard right to miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU_Pi Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 24 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: charleston running 3ft higher than normal at low tide per chs nws. NOT GOOD. Am I reading this wrong? Because it looks like the low tide was only about two feet higher than the normal low tide (not that that's not significant). Or was the low from earlier in the week already higher than normal? http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=chs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 2 minutes ago, NCSU_Pi said: Am I reading this wrong? Because it looks like the low tide was only about two feet higher than the normal low tide (not that that's not significant). Or was the low from earlier in the week already higher than normal? http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=chs User Actions Following NWS Charleston, SCVerified account@NWSCharlestonSC Tides at CHS Harbor running ~3 ft higher than normal AT LOW TIDE!! Life-threatening flooding during high tide around 1 AM Sat!! #scwx #chswx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Up to 18,777 SCE&G outages. Number will only grow throughout the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Near record crest currently forecasted for the Cape Fear River near Chinquapin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 13 minutes ago, NCSU_Pi said: Am I reading this wrong? Because it looks like the low tide was only about two feet higher than the normal low tide (not that that's not significant). Or was the low from earlier in the week already higher than normal? http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=chs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 1 hour ago, colawx said: is your channel on You Tube? Yes. stormsfury777 is my channel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 1 hour ago, LithiaWx said: From just south of Savannah up to Charleston is going to take a serious lick. Might be the worst from the storm. I can stress enough how the coastline shape and unique wetlands and marshes around will allow for some very serious flooding. Indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ser Pounce Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 13 minutes ago, Jet Stream Rider said: I appreciate those detailed reports SP, I have a niece riding it out in Mt Pleasant. She expects to loose power, and I agree. Take care down there. Thanks! The transformers I saw go I'm pretty sure are related to the outage above Hampton Park on the peninsula. If you know your niece's address you can look up her specific area Here. I can't speak for specific areas but SCE&G has done a great job trimming trees far away from power lines on the inner areas just on the other side of downtown. People complain trees look bad afterwords, but it doesn't matter when you would otherwise not have power. Gusts aside from Folly are generally in the 30s-40s at this point. There's still a long way to go though. In this specific area only small branches are down right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 1 minute ago, Ser Pounce said: Thanks! The transformers I saw go I'm pretty sure are related to the outage above Hampton Park on the peninsula. If you know your niece's address you can look up her specific area Here. I can't speak for specific areas but SCE&G has done a great job trimming trees far away from power lines on the inner areas just on the other side of downtown. People complain trees look bad afterwords, but it doesn't matter when you would otherwise not have power. Gusts aside from Folly are generally in the 30s-40s at this point. There's still a long way to go though. In this specific area only small branches are down right now. I expect after midnight, thimgs are going to get quite crazy in the Lowcountry. I'm in Ladson/Summerville and I do expect and have prepared for power outages minimum. In best case scenario. Definitely the strongest storm since Hugo poised to hit us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Nice and breezy here in Raleigh tonight. Definitely thinking we see some good gusts tomorrow as the center gets near the NC/SC coastal vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 3 minutes ago, Stormsfury said: I expect after midnight, thimgs are going to get quite crazy in the Lowcountry. I'm in Ladson/Summerville and I do expect and have prepared for power outages minimum. In best case scenario. Definitely the strongest storm since Hugo poised to hit us. 1 AM tide will be quite dicey down that way. Heavier rains heading in... possible spin ups your way too. Be safe! Luckily you are a fair amount inland from CHS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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