No snow for you Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 10 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: That's crazy. The GFS is the new NAM with these ridiculous totals. That superband in your image, Pack, is just insane. You've been GFS'ed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 5 minutes ago, No snow for you said: You've been GFS'ed At least we weren't hi res GFS'ed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 19 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: That's crazy. The GFS is the new NAM with these ridiculous totals. That superband in your image, Pack, is just insane. That is nuts, Maybe the new pool will be filled up with mother natures water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Rgem isn't as aggressive Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 It's weakened a lot but still doesn't look to bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 26 minutes ago, packbacker said: 18z GFS...will be interesting to see how close it can get. Even half would be a lot. Lol, hopefully cut those by 2/3rds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Any reports of flooding in bluffton? Got some friends who evacuated and I'm wondering how the area is doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Good god at the flooding commencing in savannah. Been pouring rain for hours and now the surge is headed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 16 minutes ago, Stormcatt said: Rgem isn't as aggressive Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk It never gets halfway up the sc coast. Is it too early to cliff dive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 It never gets halfway up the sc coast. Is it too early to cliff dive?Way too early . It was wrong a lot last winter and to be honest I have no clue how it does with tropical Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: It never gets halfway up the sc coast. Is it too early to cliff dive? RGEM is for suckers. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 I think this has a 50/50 shot of landfall in SC tonight. Still heading pretty much due north at a good clip. Also organization has improved considerably this evening. THis still has potential to be really bad tonight for coastal GA/SC. Inland flooding over SC/NC tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 5 minutes ago, Stormcatt said: Way too early . It was wrong a lot last winter and to be honest I have no clue how it does with tropical Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk It was successful the prior winter when it was one of the first to make the distinction between precip types. Now the nam and Euro do the same thing. The RGEM has lost its sparkle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMA1973 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 7 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: It never gets halfway up the sc coast. Is it too early to cliff dive? Never...its just a model. The storm is gonna do what it wants to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 53 MPH wind gust at James Island Yacht Club. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 18z HWRF....punishing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 5 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: It never gets halfway up the sc coast. Is it too early to cliff dive? Go figure the NAM and RGEM cut totals and the GFS bumps them up..... bizarro world. Man if this was a winter storm the board would be in full melt down mode Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 NAM shows the northern eyewall on land just north of Savannah. That will do some serious damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 First thing to notice is the convection around the eye is getting better organized if it does come in on SC its gonna be worse than Florida....second here ya go Cold Rain another precip map for ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 They called it a bust, but it's looking like florida was just the appetizer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Channel 2 in Mt. Pleasant just got a power bump. Most of the FMs in Charleston are simulcasting local TV audio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 8 minutes ago, metwannabe said: Go figure the NAM and RGEM cut totals and the GFS bumps them up..... bizarro world. Man if this was a winter storm the board would be in full melt down mode Lol No doubt! Thank you all for posting maps and analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 As mentioned above Matthew looking pretty good, moving at a good pace and has SC in his cross hairs. SC might just take it on the chin hard... That northern eye wall means businessSent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colawx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 hours ago, Stormsfury said: Don't know.. Did a video for my channel earlier..might try to vlog a bit but I do expect to lose power during the storm. is your channel on You Tube? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Seems like the NE motion he has now has settled in, he will at the least clip Charleston, I am going to predict the west side of the center getting on shore around Georgetown, SC up towards Pawleys Island and then just crush Myrtle up to ILM with the north eyewall, then move barely inland along the NC coast over Jacksonville and New Bern and then out into the sounds and smacking MHX and Emerald Isle and the OBX on the way out......I just think the track will not be such a sudden east shift right at ILM it will be a more gradual turn. Probably at least a 95-105 MPH cane when he hits.... this is pretty much the track I see Matt taking in NC ( obviously since she came in from the SE this doesnt work south of ILM ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 7 minutes ago, metwannabe said: As mentioned above Matthew looking pretty good, moving at a good pace and has SC in his cross hairs. SC might just take it on the chin hard... That northern eye wall means business Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk From just south of Savannah up to Charleston is going to take a serious lick. Might be the worst from the storm. I can stress enough how the coastline shape and unique wetlands and marshes around will allow for some very serious flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueheels2 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 http://www.beachcamsusa.com/ga/tybee-island/tybee-island-dockside-webcam May not be the right place but Idon't see a Matthew observation thread. Here is a webcam that is working on Tybee Island. Only one I could find working anywhere. Sorry if this is in the wrong place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 59 MPH wind gust at Folly Pier 10 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ser Pounce Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Wind is picking up along the lower Ashley River in Charleston. Smaller branches are starting to come down and one of them took out a nearby street light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 wont be shocked to see the water overtake the battery later tonight, tides already running very high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.