ragtop50 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Will there be a Tornado threat in any parts of SE NC as Matthew works his up the SC and possibly NC coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, ragtop50 said: Will there be a Tornado threat in any parts of SE NC as Matthew works his way by or onto the SE NC coast? Yes there will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Got 1.05 so far here from that first band and hoping for more later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, jshetley said: Got 1.05 so far here from that first band and hoping for more later. That's awesome man! Now don't ever break character again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Euro close to Charleston LF looks like and best I can tell with 24 hr maps looks like it too is further north before making the turn... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ser Pounce Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 21 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: high tide tonight at 1am will be wild. Should be! Even if it were daytime I'm in no position to observe any of it, we're much too high. Wind has the potential to be more interesting from here, in particular the trees between our location and the Ashley River. Any wind with an easterly component will be coming straight off the peninsula, the Ashley River and salt marshes before reaching them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 10 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Euro is the last man up. Will be interesting to see if it stays south and continues the looping scenario. Euro definitely trended north, so that's it right, pretty much all models now have trended that way.... would love to see some precip maps from the Euro, gotta think those totals gonna be high also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Euro is a lot of rain. Looks like 6-9" across Wake County, but 30-40 miles west it's 3-4". Looks like jackpot is 12-16" between FAY and PGV with Goldsboro being jackpot. ColdRain is in the 9" range where Durham is 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Flash flood watch has been issued for Wake county now as well as the rest of Central and Eastern NC , south and East of Wake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 9 minutes ago, jshetley said: Got 1.05 so far here from that first band and hoping for more later. Impossible That is where the next great dust bowl was to happen Glad you got some rainfall finally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Euro is still south of GFS/UK/4kNAM at 36. It's just a little slower then the other models and it's been that way for a couple of days now. It you got the GFS track with Euro QPF shield... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 my point in click updated Saturday Night Tropical storm conditions expected. Showers. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 62. Northeast wind 31 to 36 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 3 and 4 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 6 minutes ago, packbacker said: Euro is still south of GFS/UK/4kNAM at 36. It's just a little slower then the other models and it's been that way for a couple of days now. It you got the GFS track with Euro QPF shield... Which track is most likely to verify, Pack? Come on...make a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Just now, Cold Rain said: Which track is most likely to verify, Pack? Come on...make a guess. I think it climbs a little higher before it turns east, so would go with UK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Per Edisto Beach PD, waves are now starting to breach the dunes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Power will be cut off to Kiawah and Seabrook Islands at 3pm per Berkeley Electric Cooperative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 8 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Per Edisto Beach PD, waves are now starting to breach the dunes Wow already and they still have 12-18 hours to go, gonna be a long night there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 3 minutes ago, metwannabe said: Wow already and they still have 12-18 hours to go, gonna be a long night there Indeed Here's the link to the video they posted https://www.facebook.com/278137138978231/videos/593854297406512/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Edisto is a beautiful place. Not really a "party spot". Sucks to hear they are already seeing problems with much more to go. The Euro comes in North of CHS I would say, sharp gradient of rain amounts basically cutting my county in half. 3-5 inches sounds like an okay forecast through here with locally higher amounts. Columbia sees a bit more, of course being closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 ^^I see all impact areas have been shifted NW a bit by NWS, my county for instance was in the isolated only earlier, now it's split in half with isolated and localized dangerous impacts. Will be real interesting to see how this all plays out, big shift from the almost all clear the state issued just the other day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rowjimmy73 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 i wish nws rnk would update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, metwannabe said: ^^I see all impact areas have been shifted NW a bit by NWS, my county for instance was in the isolated only earlier, now it's split in half with isolated and localized dangerous impacts. Will be real interesting to see how this all plays out, big shift from the almost all clear the state issued just the other day Yes, they adjusted it. 2:30 PM Fri: We've updated our Impact Severity map to increase the danger & urgency across the southern I-95 & Sandhills areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Matthew looks like he is trying to reorganize if he really needed to do so, but some deep convection blowing up in the north eyewall now, also trying to wrap the eye completely.... It almost looked like he had stalled but he is definitely on the move again, not sure he completely stalled when you focus on the EW and not the center Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 This was posted by MHX and they use the one buzzword that people here lose their **** over.....upped Tar river chance of reaching major flood stage to 50% • The rainfall forecast has further increased to 6 to 12 inches with local amounts up to 15 inches. This is a dangerous and life threatening flooding event this weekend! • The combination of abnormally high coastal water levels, additional storm surge, and extremely heavy rainfall, will produce increased dangerous flood levels, from flash flooding and storm surge combined. • This event has the potential to create once in a lifetime flooding levels for some areas! Rivers could flood in the days to come, reaching moderate to major flood levels. This could be the worst flooding seen in Eastern NC since Hurricane Floyd! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Dorchester County upgraded to a Hurricane Warning from a tropical storm warning. Also Dorchester County has a 6pm curfew in effect starting tonight and effective until further notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colawx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 hours ago, Stormsfury said: Keep in mind...these notes. First that was a great bit of information from ILM regarding Hermine. Matthew could easily experience this same kind of transition.Two, it looks quite likely that Matthew will be an exceptionally prolonged event in SC/lower SE NC. Details have been discussed already with numerous posts and no need to rehash. Three..this is the first DIRECT effect of a hurricane on the GA coast since David in 1979! Stormsfury- will you be posting observations/your thoughts throughout the night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 13 minutes ago, downeastnc said: This was posted by MHX and they use the one buzzword that people here lose their **** over.....upped Tar river chance of reaching major flood stage to 50% • The rainfall forecast has further increased to 6 to 12 inches with local amounts up to 15 inches. This is a dangerous and life threatening flooding event this weekend! • The combination of abnormally high coastal water levels, additional storm surge, and extremely heavy rainfall, will produce increased dangerous flood levels, from flash flooding and storm surge combined. • This event has the potential to create once in a lifetime flooding levels for some areas! Rivers could flood in the days to come, reaching moderate to major flood levels. This could be the worst flooding seen in Eastern NC since Hurricane Floyd! That's an attention getter, as long as the wording doesn't have to change to "worse then"..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Y'all see the D10 Euro? Matthew heading back where it came from traveling SE through the Bahamas.... crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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