metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Matthew looks to be slowing down some, not sure temporary or just about to make more of a northward turn, wonder what effect if any this will have on track.... or is this pretty much on "schedule" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 6 minutes ago, Hugo said: Local news is running the text of a hurricane warning for inland areas of SC and SE NC, all the way back to just west of 95. It includes places like Darlington and Lumberton. NWS page is not showing it. Very odd. Yeah NWS only has coastal counties with cane warning, maybe there is a upgrade and they havent updated yet....all those flood warnings already going in the ILM NWS area equal .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 We are now under a Tropical Storm Warning, most inland counties east of 95 and south of 264 I believe, but coastal counties as far east as Carteret County is under a Hurricane Watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Nice rains making their way back to the foothills. Its even raining at Shettleys house lol. Poor fellow wouldnt know what to post if he was on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Wow cant recall ever remember seeing them issue a flood warning like this out in front of a event..... Flood Warning FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC 1252 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina... Tar River At Greenville affecting Pitt County PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas. Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks. Flood waters will weaken the banks making them dangerous. A followup product will be issued by the National Weather Service a little later. && NCC147-081652- /O.NEW.KMHX.FL.W.0028.161009T1636Z-000000T0000Z/ /PGVN7.2.ER.161009T1636Z.161011T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1252 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016 The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a * Flood Warning for The Tar River At Greenville. * from Sunday afternoon until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11 AM Friday the stage was 6.2 feet. * Moderate flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Sunday afternoon and continue to rise to near 17.6 feet by Monday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...Much of River Park North flooded. River Drive, including Dockside Duplexes, in Greenville begins to flood. Seine Beach Road in Grimesland flooded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 UKMET brings it in around Hilton Head/Charleston. Parts of east central/E.NC get absolutely hammered by heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted October 7, 2016 Author Share Posted October 7, 2016 lot of water pilling up against the blue ridge. total washout today in the wedge. pressure gradient will cause inland wind this weekend too for Piedmont Triad, Foothills, MTNS. but nothing like down east. still noteworthy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Socked in with a nice cloudy day. Typical of an approaching hurricane for this part of the world. It's nice and cool with no sun and a few spits of rain. The GA coast is about to get pounded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Saw this on another blog. Death toll in haiti over 600 now and still going up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 5 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Saw this on another blog. Death toll in haiti over 600 now and still going up It's very sad. We sponsor a child there, and right now, we can't get any word on him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 This is a particularly good AFD from NWS Wilmington discussing how Matthew will have it's top blown off by the westerlies prior to encroaching onto the upper SC, SE NC area: 645 FXUS62 KILM 071624 AFDILM AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1224 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016 SYNOPSIS HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE NORTH FLORIDA COAST THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE PASSING JUST OFF THE GEORGIA COAST TONIGHT. MATTHEW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY, BEFORE CURLING SHARPLY OFFSHORE LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WHILE WEAKENING. DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE A MUCH WEAKER MATTHEW DROPS SOUTH INTO THE BAHAMAS. NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/ AS OF 1215 PM FRIDAY...LULL ON RADAR AT PRESENT BUT STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL TRIGGER A GREATER COVERAGE OF LANDWARD MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH TODAY AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT EXISTS ALONG THE SC COAST AS HELICITY FIELDS INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE FAVORED NEAR THE COAST. THE AREA HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A 'HURRICANE WARNING' AND THE CURRENT FORECAST WIND FIELD AROUND MATTHEW WILL NECESSITATE EXPANSION OF A 'TROPICAL STORM WARNING' FOR A GOOD PORTION OF INTERIOR NE SC AND SE NC WITH THE MIDDAY UPDATES. SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/ AS OF 3 AM FRIDAY...HURRICANE MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE JUST OFF THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA UP TO AROUND THE LATITUDE OF CHARLESTON ON SATURDAY, BEFORE INCREASING WIND SHEAR INDUCES AN EASTWARD SHIFT IN TRACK AND RAPID WEAKENING. IT'S FASCINATING WATCHING MODEL SIMULATIONS OF THE STORM'S VERTICAL CIRCULATION BECOMING DISTORTED AND FINALLY BREAKING UP, WITH EVERYTHING ABOVE 500 MB SAILING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WHILE THE LOWER HALF OF THE STORM LIMPS IN A CLOCKWISE CIRCLE OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST. MATTHEW WILL STILL HAVE A POWERFUL SWIRL OF WINDS ENCIRCLING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE, AND WEAKENING WON'T HAPPEN FAST ENOUGH TO PREVENT A STRONG WIND AND HIGH-END FLOODING RAIN EVENT FROM HAPPENING HERE IN THE CAROLINAS. THE SUITE OF 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED A BIT FARTHER NORTHWARD WITH MATTHEW'S TRACK SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS CHANGE IS NOT SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO ALTER OUR RAINFALL FORECASTS WHICH ARE ALREADY EXTREME: 10- 15 INCHES OF RAIN SHOULD FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL CAROLINAS WITH LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED. UTILIZING DOWNSCALED NHC 4-QUADRANT WINDS, OUR FORECAST INCLUDES WIND SPEEDS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH DEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING. WE NOTICED WITH HURRICANE HERMINE LAST MONTH THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS OF THAT EVENT OCCURRED ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE STORM WITHIN A REGION WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL INTO DRIER AIR, CAUSING EVAPORATIONAL COOLING AND A SUBSEQUENT STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO DEVELOP. THE SAME TYPE OF EVENT COULD OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT ON THE BACKSIDE OF MATTHEW AS DRIER AIR BECOMES ENTRAINED BENEATH THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE HEAVY RAIN SHIELD. 00Z GFS SOUNDINGS VALID OVER FLORENCE AND MYRTLE BEACH SHOW STEEP LAPSE RATES DEVELOPING FROM THE SURFACE UP TO ABOUT 1500 FEET AGL SATURDAY EVENING, WITH WINDS OF 60-75 MPH GETTING DUMPED DOWN INTO THIS MIXED LAYER FROM ALOFT. THIS KIND OF DETAIL IS NOT CURRENTLY IN OUR FORECASTS, BUT I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED AT ALL TO SEE A REGION OF EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING BEHIND MATTHEW. THIS SAME REGION OF STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS MIGHT ARRIVE IN WILMINGTON AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY MORNING, WITH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS BUILDING IN THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Very heavy rain sits over the same areas for about 12 hours on the Ukie,crawling up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted October 7, 2016 Author Share Posted October 7, 2016 Matthew will be retired because of impacts from Florida to NC associated with flooding/surge...not because 842 and counting people died in Haiti...that country can't afford to hire/send a representative to make a case..ever in its history. - Source from Dr Masters at WunderGround Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Man the other tropical thread is almost unbearable with the hype, bust, cry wolf debate on and on..... Anyway airmass has really changed here, temps pushing mid 70's with DP up in 70's as well and some nice "tropical" downpours rolling over the office here in Louisburg, also nice bands of rain pressing in from the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ser Pounce Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 In Charleston it's been only light rain so far with the first few small areas of moderate sneaking in. ENE winds, about 10mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rowjimmy73 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 so watching the wv loop i can see how we are going to get some good rains out here. clouds spreading out n/nnw into the piedmont and blue ridge. wv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, Ser Pounce said: In Charleston it's been only light rain so far with the first few small areas of moderate sneaking in. ENE winds, about 10mph. high tide tonight at 1am will be wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 5 minutes ago, metwannabe said: Man the other tropical thread is almost unbearable with the hype, bust, cry wolf debate on and on..... Anyway airmass has really changed here, temps pushing mid 70's with DP up in 70's as well and some nice "tropical" downpours rolling over the office here in Louisburg, also nice bands of rain pressing in from the coast Got 1" in my gauge already, been like that all morning here...thats part of the 8-12" the models have for me, hopefully lol...anyone got the UKIE yet....I had a friend txt and say it might be more NE and hugs the NC coast or even gets a little inland between ILM and Hatteras...said rainfall is epic on it as well.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Just now, downeastnc said: Got 1" in my gauge already, been like that all morning here...thats part of the 8-12" the models have for me, hopefully lol...anyone got the UKIE yet....I had a friend txt and say it might be more NE and hugs the NC coast or even gets a little inland between ILM and Hatteras...said rainfall is epic on it as well.... Hailstorm said it looked robust on rainfall totals, but I don't know any site that gives you the totals. Maybe somebody can post them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 12z UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Wow, rainfall totals literally off the chart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Thanks! How do you get to the accumulation map on meteocentre? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Thanks! How do you get to the accumulation map on meteocentre? Here...has metegrams for Raleigh and Charleston too. Looks like Raleigh is around 6"QPF. http://meteocentre.com/models/models.php?lang=en&map=na&mod=ukmet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Ukie has entire eastern third of NC with more than 8"...and a lot of it with more than 10"...no good.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 RDU meteo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Thanks, Pack. I'll play around with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 7 minutes ago, packbacker said: 12z UK Whats with all that rain reaching up into NJ... i thought it was staying far away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, allgame830 said: Whats with all that rain reaching up into NJ... i thought it was staying far away! A frontal system with Matthew throwing moisture up in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 That Ukie track is also a windier one for NC much more NE doesnt really have a crazy hard east turn at ILM ends up right over Hatteras....pretty big deal if it happens weak cane though...still that track would have a wind tide effect on the Pamlico sound and push 6-8 ft of water up the river....thats the 00Z the 12Z is actually a little more west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Euro is the last man up. Will be interesting to see if it stays south and continues the looping scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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