Morris Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 In case you were looking for more signs of strengthening a burst of lightning just occurred in the northeast quadrant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Most noticeable difference to me so far is how much more intense Matthew is on this run, the wind field is much larger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 NWS Jax is doing a nice job of presenting info: http://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Distance from the coast may be a hair west, but overall it just seems about 3 hours faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Complimenting the Euro....lol! The same Euro that was all over the place just a few days ago.....and, excuse me...but did I miss the time machine where verification of T+84h has happened???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Oh boy, the Western part of the core makes it onshore at 03z Friday near PBI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Euro stronger with war and in same spot as the Gfs. Will be at least as far west as the Gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: LOL. NC Governor calling all clear, credited the EURO: Wow that is really irresponsible to post at this point. Would give folks a false sense of security. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 This is going to rake the entire E coast of FL from around PBI or just South of there and points North. Eye less than 50 miles offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Very close to making landfall in the same exact spot as the GFS, very close to Cocoa Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thesolmachine Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 1 minute ago, LakeEffectKing said: Complimenting the Euro....lol! The same Euro that was all over the place just a few days ago.....and, excuse me...but did I miss the time machine where verification of T+84h has happened???? Noobies gonna Noob. Myself Included. This run is shaping up to be a scary one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 The trough is slower to move out this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Takes almost the exact same track as the GFS, although the Eastern half of the eye doesn't make it onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: LOL. NC Governor calling all clear, credited the EURO: 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I also dont think anyone should write off anything for NC at this time. There are still indications Matthew could be a player in E NC before shooting East. agreed these may be famous last words. we can only hope he's right, but like just about all in here are saying, you count nothing out until the system passes your location. too many things can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Another terrible run for Jacksonville. Solidly into Hurricane force winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Moving back completely offshore on Friday night, very close to the FL/GA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Thats a healthy intensification per euro next 24hrs. Riding over Bahamas is bad news for E FL coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Well Northwest of the 00z position by 03z Saturday. Taking a run at the GA coast now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Very close to a second landfall at Hilton Head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Landfall at 12z Saturday near Charleston. Very intense cane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 At least the GFS pulled it inland enough to weaken it a fair bit, this is practically right of the coast the whole way to SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 15z Saturday, 100 miles or so North of the 00z position, now taking aim at Myrtle Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 One of the most devastating model runs that we've ever seen for the United States. Almost completely follows the entire shoreline from West Palm Beach, FL to Myrtle Beach, SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 The Euro is faster, allowing it to come more northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Finally moving East and weakening, just SW of Wilmington, NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: One of the most devastating model runs that we've ever seen for the United States. Almost completely follows the entire shoreline from West Palm Beach, FL to Myrtle Beach, SC. Dude, calm down. It's a dicey scenario but not the end of the world. Yeesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Just not quite enough digging by the trough to get the center completely onshore in NC, but very close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Dude, calm down. It's a dicey scenario but not the end of the world. Yeesh. You have the number one model in the world showing a major hurricane raking a thousand miles worth of coastline, all within the next five days. I think it's time to take it seriously. Just think of how many cities this would affect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Very healthy looking on visible. Perfectly circular, but clouded eye. Strong convection blowing up on N side of the eyewall. Having no issues reintensifying attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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