Stebo Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 3 minutes ago, hazwoper said: Wrong. It wouldn't approach Sandy or Katrina. If the projection on the 18z is correct there is a chance. I don't know how you can definitively say it won't knowing that the GFS tracks it basically along the coast from Fort Lauderdale to Wilmington. That is a very long track of coastal cities potentially having significant damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Eyewall is now closed per latest VDM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: The LBAR finally corrected itself yet still somehow ends up in the Gulf of Mexico Who knows, LBAR might be right if this continues to trend west lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 10 minutes ago, yoda said: John Morales @JohnMoralesNBC6 34m34 minutes ago Feeder band that evolved from "the blob" NE of #Matthew has dumped 8.19" of rain in La Vega and 16.59" in Pedernales, Dominican Republic. Santo Domingo the capitol, is in a bad spot blob is headed for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, andyhb said: Wow... wonder if they will make it down to the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
p626808 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 936 MB in eye with 9 KT wind.. so still around 934-5 MB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU4Real Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 1 minute ago, yoda said: Wow... wonder if they will make it down to the surface There's a large portion of western Haiti where 886' is the surface. And not too far inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Wow... wonder if they will make it down to the surface Well would they really have to seeing the area in Haiti it is heading towards is elevated? If the wind doesn't come down to the land but the land rises... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Msalgado Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 The LBAR is meant to handle extremely shallow tropical systems like a depression or weak tropical storm. Its not supposed to be useful for storms like Matthew. Just disregard it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConfusedKitten Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 1 minute ago, Msalgado said: The LBAR is meant to handle extremely shallow tropical systems like a depression or weak tropical storm. Its not supposed to be useful for storms like Matthew. Just disregard it. I think people are aware of that by now, it's just a running joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 A Major Disaster is about to unfold in Hati and Cuba soon, and the sad thing about doing this kind of thing is that we can't do a single thing about it, except help out afterward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 So I have family in Orlando, FL (Disneyworld) on vacation thru Saturday. I fully understand that the immediate coast doesn't always receive the worst damage/casualties irt to tropical systems but that flooding can be of larger impact. With recent tracks of Matthew near/over FL being shown and some of the rainfall amounts (15-35") associated with this storm, does anyone know if the theme park has any sort of drainage to deal with potential flooding like this? Do they have emergency plans in place for anything like this? Just curious. I haven't "sounded the alarm" yet to my family but they are aware of Matthew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 You'll want to watch this if you're interested in this storm, with Dr. Phil Klotzbach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: So I have family in Orlando, FL (Disneyworld) on vacation thru Saturday. I fully understand that the immediate coast doesn't always receive the worst damage/casualties irt to tropical systems but that flooding can be of larger impact. With recent tracks of Matthew near/over FL being shown and some of the rainfall amounts (15-35") associated with this storm, does anyone know if the theme park has any sort of drainage to deal with potential flooding like this? Do they have emergency plans in place for anything like this? Just curious. I haven't "sounded the alarm" yet to my family but they are aware of Matthew. I am sure there will not be an issue. Use common sense and call Disney World with these questions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 I am sure there will not be an issue. Use common sense and call Disney World with these questions.Planned on it tomorrow morning. Just posting here to see if any of you folks knew. Thank you.Edit: found some info online....aside from being dubbed "the happiest place on earth", Disneyworld is considered one of the safest places in the entire USA to be during a hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Planned on it tomorrow morning. Just posting here to see if any of you folks knew. Thank you. Disney World tends to close the parks ahead of significant tropical systems IIRC. So if they are visiting WDW they may end up holed up inside a hotel since the parks may not even be open if the winds are high enough and the storm is close enough. Back on topic - it does seem like the trend for 0z could be a bit west with the FL portion of the track and a bit east with the northern portion of the track. All eyes will be on that trough coming across the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 16 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: So I have family in Orlando, FL (Disneyworld) on vacation thru Saturday. I fully understand that the immediate coast doesn't always receive the worst damage/casualties irt to tropical systems but that flooding can be of larger impact. With recent tracks of Matthew near/over FL being shown and some of the rainfall amounts (15-35") associated with this storm, does anyone know if the theme park has any sort of drainage to deal with potential flooding like this? Do they have emergency plans in place for anything like this? Just curious. I haven't "sounded the alarm" yet to my family but they are aware of Matthew. Disney always takes necessary precautions. They last shut down in 2003 for Hurricane Charlie which brought 102 mph winds and lots of damage to Orlando. Friends said guests hunkered down in hotels. No matter how good drainage is, none of it holds up to torrential Florida rains. I was there Sat with a 'normal' summer storm that dropped a couple inches in an hour. You couldn't avoid the big streams of water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Raw T# up to 7.1 and microwave imagery shows a nasty circulation on the north- east- southern eyewall in line for Haiti Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 18 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Planned on it tomorrow morning. Just posting here to see if any of you folks knew. Thank you. Edit: found some info online....aside from being dubbed "the happiest place on earth", Disneyworld is considered one of the safest places in the entire USA to be during a hurricane. Hey Ralph I think Disney will do their due diligence on this as I am there every year. I know back in 2004 they weathered Hurricane Charlie pretty good with sustained winds to 80 mph with gusts up to 95-100 they took a licking that year lots and lots of trees down but oddly the Magic Kingdom was spared that was not the case just to their east and towards Daytona Beach they were hit really hard. Drainage wise they are in pretty good shape. The parks during Hurricane Charlie were closed and you had to hunker down in the hotel rooms they will always side on caution for sure especially in this day and age! I always go to Disney World in August you bet I always purchase the insurance with the vacation package just for events such as this. Castaway Cay their beach community in the Bahamas I do believe is being evacuated at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Buyy 42058 hit 945mb as the eye of the storm went over http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42058 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 this will be an interesting link for later tonight: Guantanamo radar. http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=gmo&product=N0R&loop=yes Anyone have a radar link out of Haiti? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 this will be an interesting link for later tonight: Guantanamo radar. http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=gmo&product=N0R&loop=yes Anyone have a radar link out of Haiti?Its been dead for years. The whole earthquake thing kinda set them back a bit. Sent from my XT1585 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 http://www.mappery.com/maps/Hispaniola-Topo-Map.mediumthumb.jpg The southern facing slopes on that peninsula are going to get demolished tonight. Very sad when you think bout it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Mike Maze from WRAL posted this on Facebook: Someone on my Facebook page posted the track of Hurricane Hazel from back in October of 1954 and the actual track looks eerily similar to the current track of Hurricane Matthew. Unfortunately I don't have access to the upper level wind charts of how the atmosphere looked when Hazel made landfall in North Carolina so there could have been a different set of pressure patterns at play back then. We shall see what the future holds and if Matthew is more trouble than what we currently suspect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Mike Maze from WRAL posted this on Facebook: Someone on my Facebook page posted the track of Hurricane Hazel from back in October of 1954 and the actual track looks eerily similar to the current track of Hurricane Matthew. Unfortunately I don't have access to the upper level wind charts of how the atmosphere looked when Hazel made landfall in North Carolina so there could have been a different set of pressure patterns at play back then. We shall see what the future holds and if Matthew is more trouble than what we currently suspect! I believe Hurricane Hazel was absorbed and merged with an Upper Air Low / Trough over Central Pennsylvania results were well really bad!! Winds gusted to 90 mph in and around Philadelphia PA and inches upon inches of rain fell from Central PA Points East and Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Hurricane Hazel — A category four hurricane that smashed North Carolina in October, 1954, and then brought hurricane force winds as far inland as Canada. Passing 95 miles to the East of Charleston, South Carolina, Hazel made landfall very near the North Carolina and South Carolina border, and brought a record 18 foot storm surge at Calabash, North Carolina. Wind gusts of 150 mph were felt in Holden Beach, Calabash, and Little River Inlet 100 mph gusts were felt farther inland at Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Delaware, New Jersey, and New York. Hazel carved a path of destruction that left over 600 dead, and damages exceeded $350 million 1953 U.S. dollars.Hurricane Hazel — A category four hurricane that smashed North Carolina in October, 1954, and then brought hurricane force winds as far inland as Canada. Passing 95 miles to the East of Charleston, South Carolina, Hazel made landfall very near the North Carolina and South Carolina border, and brought a record 18 foot storm surge at Calabash, North Carolina. Wind gusts of 150 mph were felt in Holden Beach, Calabash, and Little River Inlet 100 mph gusts were felt farther inland at Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Delaware, New Jersey, and New York. Hazel carved a path of destruction that left over 600 dead, and damages exceeded $350 million 1953 U.S. dollars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 7 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Mike Maze from WRAL posted this on Facebook: Someone on my Facebook page posted the track of Hurricane Hazel from back in October of 1954 and the actual track looks eerily similar to the current track of Hurricane Matthew. Unfortunately I don't have access to the upper level wind charts of how the atmosphere looked when Hazel made landfall in North Carolina so there could have been a different set of pressure patterns at play back then. We shall see what the future holds and if Matthew is more trouble than what we currently suspect! Here you go..... http://www.weather.gov/mhx/Oct151954EventReview Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 As expected, winds up to 145 with the 11pm EDT advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Running dangerously close to Florida on new cone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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