PaEasternWX Posted October 2, 2016 Author Share Posted October 2, 2016 Guys Matthew just disappeared..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Wherever he goes after crossing Cuba, Matty is going to be a beast again. Hope he goes out to sea because this could be very dangerous. Have to watch him closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Completely unscientific, the the "We're Due" index for a major landfall US hurricane is getting up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted October 2, 2016 Author Share Posted October 2, 2016 Guys this is not good. Thinking maybe no 00z since I know for a fact that the models use satellite data and the satellite is down. Hence the blank image I posted earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 4 hours ago, airmarci said: NHC is going with 130 kts at 5pm. 6z/18z RAOBS over eastern third of US starting tomorrow evening. Where'd you see the notification of the additional sondes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted October 2, 2016 Author Share Posted October 2, 2016 1 minute ago, huronicane said: Where'd you see the notification of the additional sondes? Do you see any satellites that are still up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Just now, WeatherFan202 said: Do you see any satellites that are still up? SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGENWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD0024Z SUN OCT 02 2016THERE IS CURRENTLY AN ISSUE PROCESSING GOES-EAST DATA AT THENESDIS-SOCC. THIS IS IMPACTING RECEIPT OF GOES-EAST ON VARIOUSPLATFORMS INCLUDING AWIPS. NESDIS IS INVESTIGATING.SHIREY/SDM/NCO/NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 next recon flight turned around too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: next recon flight turned around too Pretty hard to make fixes without satellite data... This is a very big problem if this is anything more than a few hours, as whenever this thing starts to turn and accelerate poleward is crucial to timing later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted October 2, 2016 Author Share Posted October 2, 2016 1 minute ago, jojo762 said: Pretty hard to make fixes without satellite data... This is a very big problem if this is anything more than a few hours, as whenever this thing starts to turn and accelerate poleward is crucial to timing later on. Will affect 00z models right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 5 minutes ago, WeatherFan202 said: Will affect 00z models right? In some way, I'd assume yes. Don't think it's necessarily a devastating failure though. There's probably someone in here who can answer this far better than myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Microwave data from about an hour ago definitely looks like it has started an ERC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 *Topic:*GOES-13 (GOES-East) Data Outage *Date/Time**Issued:*October 2, 2016 0035Z *Product(s) or Data Impacted: ***GOES-13 (GOES-East) Imager Data and Products *Date/Time of Initial Impact:*October 1, 2016 2315Z ** *Date/Time of Expected End:*TBD *Length of Outage: *TBD *Details/Specifics of Change:*GOES-13 (GOES-East) is currently experiencing an anomaly that prevents all data from being received at ESPC. Engineers have been notified. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/SATS/SPBULL/MSG2760044.01.txt Credit -- https://twitter.com/wxmeddler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 55 minutes ago, WeatherFan202 said: Guys Matthew just disappeared..... It will come back up once the government finishes dumping chemicals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 This buoy could be very close to the track mid-day Sunday (or late Sunday if this slow motion trend continues) http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?storm=at4 and in the absence of satellite imagery it will at least provide us with clues as to what might be happening. You can see that over the past three hours the weather conditions at this buoy have not changed very much and the wind speeds are fairly low, pressure not falling much if any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted October 2, 2016 Author Share Posted October 2, 2016 Im thinking NHC won't have enough information to issue an 11pm update I would think.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 19 minutes ago, Amped said: It will come back up once the government finishes dumping chemicals. Maybe we have been hacked by Russia! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 4 minutes ago, WeatherFan202 said: Im thinking NHC won't have enough information to issue an 11pm update I would think.... There are other sources of information. Full disk GOES West can see the hurricane, but only normally updates every 3 hours. A number of polar orbiting satellites also regularly pass over the storm, so I expect there to be enough info to maintain it at the current strength, but this lack of data will impact overnight model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 1 minute ago, allgame830 said: Maybe we have been hacked by Russia! My husband just said that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Good god with the conspiracy theories in here 00z models won't die, NHC will still issue an advisory, this isn't the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Really odd that all of a sudden a GOES satellite which has been dependable for years suddenly just goes inoperable at such an inopportune time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 GOES west remains operational and provided a good look at 0Z. If someone wanted to take out the sat. feed they would have taken them all out. Take your conspiracy theories to OT. Maybe bring up chemtrails while you're at it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Should we put our tin foil hats on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bugalou Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 1 minute ago, David Reimer said: GOES west remains operational and provided a good look at 0Z. If someone wanted to take out the sat. feed they would have taken them all out. Take your conspiracy theories to OT. Maybe bring up chemtrails while you're at it Don't forget HAARP either. Perhaps GOES taking a major outage during a key time will convince congress to actually fund NOAA better... Yeah right, someone will be scapegoated, fired, and next year's budget quietly slashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Really odd that all of a sudden a GOES satellite which has been dependable for years suddenly just goes inoperable at such an inopportune time. It clearly caught something from KDIX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 at the nutjobs in here. I really needed the laughs guys, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Surprised nobody's mentioned the Solar Storm yet. It's been widely publicized the last few days. https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/1881830/a-solar-storm-is-blasting-towards-earth-and-it-could-cause-chaos/ Quote TECH MELTDOWN FEARS - A solar storm is blasting towards Earth and it could cause CHAOS Radiation from a gigantic hole in the Sun is heading our way and it's threatening to play havoc with the sophisticated technology which powers modern civilization Earth is about to be bombarded by a solar storm which could cause mayhem on our planet. A massive hole in the Sun is spewing out vast amounts of radiation which is expected to reach us by Friday. But radiation also plays havoc with modern technology and could knock out the satellites which connect modern civilization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
driven3 Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 They just don't want anybody know where they're moving the residents of Gitmo. On an unrelated note, if this comes even close to the NJ coast, it could be ugly. Our beaches took a huge hit this week from our little stalled cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Is GOES-E inoperable indefinitely? Polar orbiters will get valuable information about the storm. I wonder how many SSMI satellites pass over that spot per day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted October 2, 2016 Author Share Posted October 2, 2016 Quote ubject: Product Outage/Anomaly: GOES-13 (GOES-East) Data Outage This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --Boundary_(ID_72UudT5XMgH/J+WR6M4nHA) Content-type: text/plain; charset=windows-1252; format=flowed Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT *Topic:*GOES-13 (GOES-East) Data Outage *Date/Time**Issued:*October 2, 2016 0035Z *Product(s) or Data Impacted: ***GOES-13 (GOES-East) Imager Data and Products *Date/Time of Initial Impact:*October 1, 2016 2315Z ***Date/Time of Expected End:*TBD *Length of Outage: *TBD *Details/Specifics of Change:*GOES-13 (GOES-East) is currently experiencing an anomaly that prevents all data from being received at ESPC. Engineers have been notified. *Contact Information for Further Information:* ESPC Operations at [email protected] at 301-817-3880** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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