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PTC Matthew


PaEasternWX

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2 minutes ago, JasonOH said:

I disagree. So far there has been no surface wind over 115kt.  I see no reason for 140mph.   I'm thinking 130mph will be the next update.

Yes there was a 121 Dropsonde.  It's intensifyingbfast so might as well stay ahead of the game even if there wasn't

 

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Going to have to worry about an Eyewall Replacement Cycle soon. That process would likely bring a halt to this RI episode. Just a matter of time and how high (and low) it can go first.

There is no evidence of this in the short term based on radar or recon data. In fact, the western periphery is still restricted and weak in outer banding, so I don't expect an outer eyewall and wind maxima to begin developing until the system can expand westward some more.

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