Shawn Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 3 minutes ago, Bsudweather said: Is it official its made LF? It has not as of this posting, but the 80mph is true from Tybee. * its about to without a sudden East movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 I think the lowest pressure/center of eye has to be on land for it to be a landfall. Or maybe the inner side of the eyewall convection has to be on land? Not sure. It is pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 OK that's what I was thinking too that it was about 10 miles off. But saw a post that said it had made LF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 I-95 is impassable in the lower part of SC. Hope no one is out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 The radar indicates around 10.2" of rain in the storm total, west of Hilton Head, not too far from I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Just now, LovintheWhiteFluff said: Center has to reach land, not just the EW. It's been a while since we had to figure this out. But as long as some part of the "eye" comes on land, its a landfall correct? I know I have heard sometimes on media.. that lowest pressure had to be recorded in a spot.. but I thought that was when it was a "multiple landfall" deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 3 minutes ago, Bsudweather said: OK that's what I was thinking too that it was about 10 miles off. But saw a post that said it had made LF. It is dangerously close to making that landfall. It would have to literally turn hard East right now to miss the low country of SC in some capacity. Hilton Head is getting rocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 The center must cross. The center is still well off shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 2 minutes ago, LovintheWhiteFluff said: I-95 is impassable in the lower part of SC. Hope no one is out there. Heard there were lots of Accidents on I 95, why would people be out. It is very dangerous and getting worse from what I'm hearing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 It usually isn't this hard to figure out, you know, when the whole eye moves into land, then it is landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 It's not the geographical center of the eye, just wherever the lowest pressure is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 @NWSCharlestonSC Tide level at Fort Pulaski has reached 12.22 ft MLLW, which sets a preliminary all-time record! #gawx #savwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 That eyewall action at Tybee is freakin' weird to watch. What causes that? It seems rather extreme for just land interaction. Maybe it'll weaken the storm a bit more? (I'm saving off all the GR2 files. If anyone wants to see these later, just PM me) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 HHI & Tybee would rather bee in the eye right now. They're being beaten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 14 minutes ago, Chinook said: It may not come ashore here. It's change direction a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Sorry if this is just semantics at this point... But if I recall correctly, at least half of the eye has to make it over land in order for it to be classified as a landfall. In other words, as a met posted above, the true center has to officially cross over. Anyway - back to the main event. What an incredible, at times bizarre hurricane. Just hoping everyone prepared as best as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Just now, mikemost said: Sorry if this is just semantics at this point... But if I recall correctly, at least half of the eye has to make it over land in order for it to be classified as a landfall. In other words, as another poster noted above, the true center has to officially cross over. Anyway - back to the main event. What an incredible, at times bizarre hurricane. Just hoping everyone prepared as best as possible. Close, but it's the hurricane's surface center aka where the lowest pressure is. Landfall: The intersection of the surface center of a tropical cyclone with a coastline. Center: Generally speaking, the vertical axis of a tropical cyclone, usually defined by the location of minimum wind or minimum pressure. The cyclone center position can vary with altitude. In advisory products, refers to the center position at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Pretty big surge being pushed into the coast right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Is it just me or does it look like the Eye is reorganizing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKStorm Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 If Charleston has set a tidal record does anyone have an idea of what the tide may be in the area of Tybee or Hilton Head Islands? I have been looking by have not seen any reports. As I typed this I saw the post by Rjay thanks. I would suspect that that high of observed water is not going to be good at all for the islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 My friend in Savanah sent me this video. You can hear the winds roaring overhead. Savanah.3gp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1893_Sea_Islands_hurricane As far as I know (and correct me if I am wrong) there have been no hurricane landfalls directly on Georgia since 1893- since it is in an inward bend in the coast, and it has relatively few miles of coastline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 12 minutes ago, LovintheWhiteFluff said: Generally speaking, the vertical axis of a tropical cyclone, usually defined by the location of minimum wind or minimum pressure. The cyclone center position can vary with altitude. In advisory products, refers to the center position at the surface. I should've clarified, I was alluding to Chinook's post regarding lowest central pressure, but that verifies. Thanks. 6 minutes ago, Rjay said: My friend in Savanah send me this video. You can hear the winds roaring overhead. Whoa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 HURRICANE MATTHEW TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 300 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2016 ...3 AM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ...NORTHERN EYEWALL WITH HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS MOVING ONSHORE HILTON HEAD ISLAND AND PRITCHARDS ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA... A wind gust of 65 mph (104 km/h) was recently measured by NOAA buoy 41033, located just offshore of Pritchards Island, South Carolina. A wind gust of 46 mph (74 km/h) was recently reported at the airport on Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Water levels remain high along much of the St. Johns River, with 3.3 feet of storm surge inundation reported at the Racy Point tide gauge. About 4.0 ft of storm surge inundation was reported at Ft. Pulaski, Georgia, near Savannah, and 3.2 ft of storm surge inundation has been reported at the Port of Charleston, South Carolina. SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.7N 80.6W ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM S OF HILTON HEAD SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 17 minutes ago, Bsudweather said: 15 minutes ago, Fast11 said: If Charleston has set a tidal record does anyone have an idea of what the tide may be in the area of Tybee or Hilton Head Islands? I have been looking by have not seen any reports. As I typed this I saw the post by Rjay thanks. I would suspect that that high of observed water is not going to be good at all for the islands. Fort Pulaski and Charleston are the two nearest water level stations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 CHS Radar estimates are underdone. Hunter AFB in GA had had over 15" of rain, Beaufort over 11" CHS 6.69" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Just noticed they have 2 HH missions flying the center at the same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Hilton Head Island Sustained 61 Gusts 81 last hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 85mph at Hilton Head now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 3 hours ago, Chinook said: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1893_Sea_Islands_hurricane As far as I know (and correct me if I am wrong) there have been no hurricane landfalls directly on Georgia since 1893- since it is in an inward bend in the coast, and it has relatively few miles of coastline Last major hurricane was 1898 in GA. Last direct landfall was Hurricane David in 1979, landfall in Savannah, GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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