HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Jacksonville is going to get a pretty good drink of water this morning. Many inches incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
e46and2 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: All the idiots that said "I'm not leaving, it's never as bad as they say it will be" will feel vindicated. those people exist in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Most of them will never know how close they were to experiencing a strong cat 4 landfall. Honestly, many of us thought that were hyping it beyond what we knew starting in the evening. Recon continued showing weak sauce winds and the model consensus changed that there would not be a Florida landfall in central Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Did anyone see the 06z HWRF run? It actually has Matthew absorbing Nicole in 4-5 days off the New England coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Anyone have anything substantial to report out of Freeport? Communications are nil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Did anyone see the 06z HWRF run? It actually has Matthew absorbing Nicole in 4-5 days off the New England coast. Way offshore though GFDL is also close. Doesn't loop the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 CNN going strong this morning telling people to brace for the worst and generally making this out to be a much bigger deal than it will be. The forecast yesterday was tough because as we know if the storm had been just 25-50 miles west it would have been devastating. Imagine the eye moving in this trajectory but 50 miles west. The beachfront communities would have all been in the NE quad all the way up the coast. So this could have been a huge hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 107 MPH USAF tower.Volusia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=mlb&loop=yes The Western eyewall has definitely improved over the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: 107 MPH USAF tower.Volusia Sustained or gusts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 3 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Sustained or gusts? gust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 A lot of posters in here downplaying the situation when the eye wall is currently hammering New Smyrna Beach. This board becomes a pain to read sometimes with posters slamming the NHC and calling a bust when the eye is around 10 miles off shore. Wouldn't take a huge wobble to make landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, Hvward said: A lot of posters in here downplaying the situation when the eye wall is currently hammering New Smyrna Beach. This board becomes a pain to read sometimes with posters slamming the NHC and calling a bust when the eye is around 10 miles off shore. Wouldn't take a huge wobble to make landfall. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Outer rain bands already encroaching on the Charleston area if you look at the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 I think this is the newest one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 http://www.tribune242.com/news/2016/oct/07/grand-bahama-suffers-significant-damage-matthew-ro/?newsFinally a report. A lot of debris and reports of roofs gone. They're still trying to get around but a lot of debris and trees down."Portions of the homes were blown out and roofs were completely blown off," she told The Tribune shortly before 9am on Friday as authorities began making initial assessments of the damage the category 4 storm caused in Grand Bahama.There were, however, no reports of lives lost."We had some very, very high winds," Ms Colebrooke said. "We think we caught 140mph conditions in the west. We had people still stuck in the west end area, reaching out for help. Right now we're trying to clear roads to make them passable. Our team has not reported back yet though."Great news that so far no reported loss of life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 3 minutes ago, pstar3182 said: The MMQB'ing is obnoxious and creates a tone that trickles down through social media, where the public begins to not trust the NHC/NWS. All because some feel their weatherbug skills are some how better than actual forecasting. Haters gona hate. This is 100% right. People also conveniently forget that EWRCs are hard to predict, and you never know the outcome of one. Also, the eyewall is 10 miles offshore! If this thing makes a big wobble, it could rake Jacksonville still. This isn't over yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 First storm "related" death reported in St Lucie. Woman in cardiac arrest could not get help from emergency personnel due to high winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 16 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: This Can tell you guys from local tv video of Daytona Beach it does not bust like down there. Pretty heavy looking stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wendy Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Storm surge in Daytona - Wednesday vs today https://twitter.com/greenishp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Can tell you guys from local tv video of Daytona Beach it does not bust like down there. Pretty heavy looking stuff.And that's still outside of the worst portion of the western eyewall. This bust talk is maddening. If anyone thinks they can forecast a parallel track any better, stop thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN NASSAU COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA... SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 3 minutes ago, friedmators said: THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN NASSAU COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA... SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... Tornado warned St Marys ,GA JEA worker took a bolt while working in a bucket truck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Worst Case Scenario not happening is NOT a bust. TOR warning for just north of Jacksonville, now, too. Matthew's going to be going through the cooler waters west of the Gulf Stream for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 This is why there is a tornado warning. This was Tweeted by Addison Alford. He is with the OU Smart-R trucks doing research. They have a live reflectivity feed at http://smartr.metr.ou.edu/smartr2/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 183,000 without power in Brevard County, only 300,000 customers in that County. Is that a bust? 130,000 out of 175,000 without power in Volusia County, is that a bust? Thats 75% of the County without power. I doubt this is a bust to those people. 573,000 customers without power in Florida right now...is that a bust? This is a high impact storm for a large and growing area. While it wasnt catastrophic, it was not a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, SharonA said: Worst Case Scenario not happening is NOT a bust. TOR warning for just north of Jacksonville, now, too. Matthew's going to be going through the cooler waters west of the Gulf Stream for a while. Worst case not happening is good. For Christ sake, if you predicted a landfall on Cape Canaveral, your track was off by about 10miles. That's excellent forecasting. Gotta keep an eye on the GA and SC coasts as it moves north. If the turn happens slower we landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 The NHC also did pretty well forecasting intensity, the eyewall is currently a mile or two offshore of Daytona beach. Any minor wobble and the west eyewall is onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Listen up folks.....keep it on topic...the next bust/not happening/this is terrible/nhc sucks/etc post will have warnings and suspensions added to the person posting these things. Do not just post to see your name in this thread either, as this will cause you to have a faster track to the outside not able to look in. Keep the banter in the appropriate thread Now back to your regular scheduled discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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