BlueDXer75 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, SnowlieSnowstormson said: On radar it looks like the inner eye wall is finally giving up... Outer looks to be taking over and getting stronger. Looks impressive on radar. It also appears to be moving more NNW, paralleling the coast, like 20 miles off shore right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowlieSnowstormson Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Radar velocities on the southern half of the inner eye are dying fast now. It must be on its last gasp. It almost looks like the northern half is having its energy absorbed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 That inner eyewall has been trolling us for hours. I don't believe anything it tries to show us it's doing. Trident Pier at the Cape is recording about 4' surge. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=trdf1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Looks like the newest cone from the NHC at 5am has the NC southern coast back in play and the mean line is closer to shore then previous tracks the past few days. May be something we need to watch? Maybe this reflects the models that have been coming in that I've seen referenced here and there yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottk Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Looks like the newest cone from the NHC at 5am has the NC southern coast back in play and the mean line is closer to shore then previous tracks the past few days. May be something we need to watch? Maybe this reflects the models that have been coming in that I've seen referenced here and there yesterday. It definitely shows it riding along the SC coast further north now (more north than Edisto beach now) and Hurricane warnings have been adjusted accordingly. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Significant enhancement in KDP with the high reflectivity in the outer/dominant eyewall. One of the radials in ZDR heading towards the north-northeast also shows values becoming more negative, indicating differential attenuation (H-polarized wave is attenuated more than the V-polarized wave by the raindrops). Definitely a sign of heavy rainfall in the eyewall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 100mph gust reported out Cape Canaveral Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 100mph gust reported out Cape Canaveral Surprised not higher. Eye wall looks to be on them now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 9 minutes ago, Animal said: Surprised not higher. Eye wall looks to be on them now We should be seeing sustained winds of 100 mph or higher for what is reported for the strength of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dizzy9479 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 The gust at Cape Canaveral was actually 107 mph according to the 7 AM position update from NHC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 The eye is offshore and its interior structure is a bit ragged. Matthew has probably weakened over the past several hours. I don't think we're likely to see 100mph sustained so far from the center unless or until it strengthens or makes landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mowfishin Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Cape canaveral web cam http://www.portcanaveralwebcam.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 17 minutes ago, eduggs said: The eye is offshore and its interior structure is a bit ragged. Matthew has probably weakened over the past several hours. I don't think we're likely to see 100mph sustained so far from the center unless or until it strengthens or makes landfall. Weather underground stations in cape canaveral are reporting sustained winds 25 to 38 mph only recently. Gust 45 to 55 mph. Very strange as the eye wall is kissing them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Gotta remember, the western eyewall isn't usually the strongest part of the structure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMADKAT Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Wouldn't it be much worse for Georgia and South Carolina for wind, then Florida , because they will get the north quadrant of the storm, as opposed to the weaker western side? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 7 minutes ago, Animal said: Weather underground stations in cape canaveral are reporting sustained winds 25 to 38 mph only recently. Gust 45 to 55 mph. Very strange as the eye wall is kissing them. Unreliable, uncalibrated stations maybe. Official stations away from the eyewall are having no problem exceeding TS force: KDAB 071122Z AUTO 02040G56KT KMLB 071132Z AUTO 26034G51KT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Pressure up to 944mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Pretty funny how the low res NAM and the RGEM called this much farther off the coast track correctly lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 It would be something if the eye never makes landfall. Cape Hatteras should be on alert as the models inched northward overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Would appear best chance for actual landfall would be CHS area (not as a major almost certainly, NHC has it as a Cat 2 at that time). SC coast will have a major surge problem if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 https://mobile.twitter.com/RussellANjax/status/784372453661302784 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 16 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It would be something if the eye never makes landfall. Capr Hatteras should be on alert as the models inched northward overnight. Well it looks like FL will catch a HUGE break! Unless we see a more western push this morning it will miss the coast by 30 or so miles. If that is the case then the hurricane sustained winds will be confined to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Pretty impressive rain bands pivoting into NE FL now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Pretty impressive rain bands pivoting into NE FL now. Yes definitely.... Getting reports from CNN out of St Augustine that they are without power and they are turning off the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 http://www.surfline.com/surf-report/daytona-beach-florida_5332/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Combination of a poorly timed ERC, increased shear, land interaction and last minute shift East on the track all combined to spare Florida what looked to be a devastating landfall. Still, that Northern and Eastern eyewall still mean business and it's attempting to wrap around the Western as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Combination of a poorly times ERC, increased shear, land interaction and last minute shift East on the track all combined to spare Florida what looked to be a devastating landfall. Still, that Northern and Eastern eyewall still mean business and it's attempting to wrap around the Western as we speak. So far not a single report of real serious damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, Morris said: So far not a single report of real serious damage. Fortunate that the ERC occurred when it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Fortunate that the ERC occurred when it did. It's not just the ERC but also the paralleling of the coast. The forward momentum of a storm hitting perpendicular to the coast at LF is far worse from a storm surge standpoint then a storm moving parallel to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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