e46and2 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 cocoa beach live feed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Basing off the vector from the most recent recon fixes, it is going to be a very close call for cape canaveral later this morning. Something near to or slightly under 100kts sustained should be expected (barring some unforeseen strengthening/weakening.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 50+ mph gusts from Daytona Beach down to Stuart on the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 I seem to recall a bunch of reporting stations by the Cape yet I see none reporting now. I wonder if they are all usually manned stations and don't have an ASOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I seem to recall a bunch of reporting stations by the Cape yet I see none reporting now. I wonder if they are all usually manned stations and don't have an ASOS. FWIW, this buoy will be very near, if not in, the center later this morning. Should be interesting to watch. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Basing off the vector from the most recent recon fixes, it is going to be a very close call for cape canaveral later this morning. Something near to or slightly under 100kts sustained should be expected (barring some unforeseen strengthening/weakening.) Yeah, Cape Canaveral may just take a landfall after all. I might be eating crow. Hopefully not. Curious how the eyewall is definitely reorganizing too. Maybe that makes the max winds less, but spreads them over a larger area. That area, down towards Merritt Island and Cocoa Beach should have cat 1 conditions at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 62 MPH gust in Vero Beach. 47 in Stuart. 52 MPH gust in Melbourne just now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Here we go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 The fact that the Eye wall replacement cycle appears to be finally "completing" is very concerning for a few reasons. 1. The wind field, especially the hurricane force wind field will expand even further, 2. It will still be over very warm water long enough to possibly restrengthen some... Even if this isn't in the form of stronger cat 4 winds, but just an expansion of the radius of the strongest cat 4 winds, it is just as concerning. 3. A larger wind field means the storm surge impacts further down the coast (especially along the particularly susceptible portions in N FL/ S G) will be even more significant as strong easterly winds will be pushing water along the coast for even longer. It is prudent to remember that this is still likely a once in a lifetime (or even worse) type storm surge for portions of northern Florida and Southern Georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Peak wind gust on land in FL at 04z (midnight EDT) was 62 mph at Vero Beach. Offshore there was a reading of 46 knots off Cape Canaveral (that is about 54 mph). From the looks of the radar posted above, I am expecting these values to show a marked increase next hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 For folks trying to access NOAA and NCEP products and websites:SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD 0408Z FRI OCT 07 2016 NCEP WEBSITE CONNECTIVITY UPDATE... PROBLEMS IN ACCESSING NCEP WEBSITES HAVE BEEN TRACED TO A TECHNICAL ISSUE AT THE WOC. WOC/NCO SUPPORT HAS BEEN NOTIFIED AND ARE TROUBLESHOOTING THE ISSUE...ETA IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME. SDM/NCO/NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 eye wall looks to be 30 miles off the coast. suspect we get it men/women Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Melbourne to Titusville and the Cape, hang on. Recycled wall approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said: Just remember at that range the beam is probably looking at 8,000 feet +/- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, DoctorMu said: Melbourne to Titusville and the Cape, hang on. Recycled wall approaching. Need a jog west. Sorta exciting watching the storm off the coast. 50/50 imop if it hits land at this points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, Tibet said: Just remember at that range the beam is probably looking at 8,000 feet +/- Which is roughly Flight level, in fact a bit under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Chances goes way up if it can complete the EWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 3 minutes ago, Tibet said: Just remember at that range the beam is probably looking at 8,000 feet +/- Yeah I thought I had captured that in the screen cap. Roughly 7500 feet off the sea surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Hot towers in the NE eyewall:Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 4 minutes ago, LovintheWhiteFluff said: Chances goes way up if it can complete the EWR. IEW continues to more or less troll the OEW. Just when I thought they were going to "merge"... Its getting close though. Definitely is developing a new center right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 00z UKIE sends Matthew into CHS landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 0z Ukie is slightly more north for the mid atlantic people. Matthew gets to Hatteras. Never did on the 12z run 0z http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=072&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060 12z http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=060&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=072 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 for one radar scan, it looked like an unhappy face. Meanwhile on Sep 30 at 0145z, the IR image with enhancement showed that Matthew was smiling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 00z HWRF landfall near CHS at 938mb it would appear on Saturday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, Chinook said: for one radar scan, it looked like an unhappy face. Meanwhile on Sep 30 at 0145z, the IR image with enhancement showed that Matthew was smiling lol - Matt does not like that land mass. Like all hurricanes it prefers the H2O. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 UK and Euro both have it getting to Hatteras now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Just now, Brick Tamland said: UK and Euro both have it getting to Hatteras now? Think he meant to say, "No loop like the Euro". 12z had the loop and 0z isn't out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Vero Beach ASOS 70 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Almost looks like a westward bump as the new eye starts to take over. Anyone else seeing this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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