DoctorMu Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 26 minutes ago, Thesolmachine said: Wow, It's been doing that for a few frames too. What is the steering force pushing it back to the North? Sorry for being a noob. Eyewall convergence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 21 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Unless Matthew is screaming up the coast, it won't travel in a perfectly straight line paralleling the coast.... thus even if the models never make landfall, the trochoidal wobbles, will certainly increase the chances of multiple landfalls if indeed Matthew rides just offshore by 20 or 30 miles... Nevertheless I think the East Coast of Florida from Melbourne northward will periodically at least be in the western eye wall... ... and that is not even mentioning the often difficult to model land interaction of a core so close to land.... Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arcc Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 3 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Seems like the outer eye wall is shrinking. Signs of strengthening, after the ERC is complete (if it ever is complete.) Even with the decay of the inner eyewall, the organization looks to be improving with symmetry of the CDO and the center becoming more well placed in it as it expands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 22 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: 65 knots sustained, 76 knot gusts from the Freeport buoy. 97 mph sustained 121 gusts just now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 7 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: Incredible battle between the inner and outer. Outer looks wicked right now. biggest eye to make landfall? Really interesting radar loop.. I think any wobbles or direction changes people are seeing with the inner circulation are more related to this interaction than the overall movement of the system. As some posted above watch the movement of the outer eyewall feature to determine system movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Blast from the IEW, fighting again. Fascinating to watch. Looked like the dry moat was filling in and then it reappeared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, bobbutts said: Really interesting radar loop.. I think any wobbles or direction changes people are seeing with the inner circulation are more related to this interaction than the overall movement of the system. As some posted above watch the movement of the outer eyewall feature to determine system movement. Still headed in the direction of Cape Canaveral and Melbourne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Blast from the IEW, fighting again. Fascinating to watch. Looked like the dry moat was filling in and then it reappeared. The Miami radar is amazing as the outer wall tightens it grip on the inertial while the friction of closing is almost retrograding the inner eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 IEW is trying to wrap convection around itself again. Wow. Northern side looks beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, homedis said: Wow, the storm is really going Westward now. This move was modeled very well by the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Freeport Bahamas is getting demolished by that NE Eyewall. Too bad Josh didn't head there. Town of 55k. Pictures out of there will be devastating most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Looks like a trichoidal loop, if you take the average of the last several frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Anybody got good livestreams? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, nycsnow said: Anybody got good livestreams? Try periscope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wendy Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Twitter account for a journalist in Freeport - she's still posting videos. It's pretty windy. https://twitter.com/InvRodzOfficial Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 The thing about wobbles is if it goes one way it usually comes back the other, it may take several hours though. My guess is it goes west of the track and then turns east of it again and we get 5000 more radar hallucination posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 As modeled by the NHC in the current advisory, this storm will be in approximately the same position on Tuesday at this time as it is now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 About the IEW/OEW movement/interaction is similar to the old 80s Spirograph drawing game, plus translation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 ^ Awesome. I still have mine...it's in near perfect condition! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 At 6:11pm 104.7mph wind gust measured here.. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spgf1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 22z HRRR continues to bring the eye of Matthew right along and over the coast for a long distance, from about Vero Beach north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 CDO is more expansive than it was earlier, but tops around the core have warmed up pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Freeport is getting absolutely mauled. The NE eyewall has been stationary over it for too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, snywx said: At 6:11pm 106.7mph wind gust measured here.. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spgf1 Looks like it's still juussst a bit outside of the main eyewall. Next hour should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Looks like it's still juussst a bit outside of the main eyewall. Next hour should be interesting.Yes if you look at the previous scan I just posted, that station is still a bit NW of the eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: Looks like it's still juussst a bit outside of the main eyewall. Next hour should be interesting. Yeah looks like it's actually in it now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Freeport is getting absolutely mauled. The NE eyewall has been stationary over it for too long. wxmx's Spirograph effect...while the body of the storm moved NE and the inner wall retrograded under the outer wall, it's stayed nearly stationary in real space. lol I remember mine well from back in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Mark Levin has JB on if anyone is interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Last 6 hours of radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 8 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Freeport is getting absolutely mauled. The NE eyewall has been stationary over it for too long. So sad.. I was just in pelican bay about 30 days ago. Never would have thought that one month later they will be rebuilding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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