Amped Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Inner eye wobbling a bit and no longer concentric. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowlieSnowstormson Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Silly question for the mets, but is it possible for the inner eye to begin interacting with the outer eye given how close they seem to be getting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 warmer cloud tops now completely circle the inner eye wall (time sensitive of course). http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SATRAPID/satloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, hazwoper said: warmer cloud tops now completely circle the inner eye wall (time sensitive of course). http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SATRAPID/satloop.html Colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, hazwoper said: warmer cloud tops now completely circle the inner eye wall (time sensitive of course). http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SATRAPID/satloop.html Do you mean cooler cloud tops? Eye wall looks amazing right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, jojo762 said: Do you mean cooler cloud tops? Eye wall looked amazing right now. Yea that is the best it has looked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Lightning in the eye wall right now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, jojo762 said: Do you mean cooler cloud tops? Eye wall looks amazing right now. oops...yes, sorry ;( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 You can see the convection in the inner eyewall intensifying nicely on KAMX radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 You can see Nichole is affecting the outflow pattern to the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 wow those cloud tops are really starting to explode! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 This looks as a failed attempt at a ERC. You can see the inner eye intensifying and the outer eye dissipating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Looks like it may be getting stronger, again. Next loop of recon will tell us if that's true or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, SN_Lover said: This looks as a failed attempt at a ERC. You can see the inner eye intensifying and the outer eye dissipating. Matthew has never liked classic ERC's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 LSU @ UF postponed Saturday. No makeup scheduled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Looks like it may be getting stronger, again. Next loop of recon will tell us if that's true or not. Yeah, recon should be heading in at the perfect time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 The western band of the outer eye is looking stronger. The NE quadrant of the inner eye looking even more intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, Windspeed said: The western band of the outer eye is looking stronger. The NE quadrant of the inner eye looking even more intense. Freeport is gonig to get utterly raked by the inner eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 9 minutes ago, SnowlieSnowstormson said: Silly question for the mets, but is it possible for the inner eye to begin interacting with the outer eye given how close they seem to be getting? Yes....and if it does, some of the angular momentum can be transported into the inner EW, and relative the the outer, become stronger....thus halting the ERC.... ....and yes, this can lead to strengthening of the max wind speeds in the inner EW, and a deeper pressure...but at the expense of the outer bands intensity... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Dropsonde just found earlier 115kts in the eyewall. Ckearly still a Cat 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Maybe this has already been discussed today but how are the tidal charts lining up with possible landfall? I briefly glanced at the charts for most of the Fla coast last night and it seemed high tides are occuring in the 1-2 AM time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Should see more convection blowing up in the eyewall once we get closer to sundown Could be an interesting D-Max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 This wind sensor west of Freeport at the western tip of the island will give us lots of data (I hope) as the eye seems likely to pass right over it in 3-4 hours. Winds are recorded every 10 mins. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SPGF1 (Settlement Point, it's always on the Florida hourly obs with Florida southeast buoys too) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Interesting features on the 0.5 degree scan from KAMX in the eastern part of the inner eyewall. Large Zdr and Kdp for a tropical system. It happens to coincide with the bottom of the melting layer so I wonder if it is a result of both a large number of moderate sized raindrops and a few, oblate melting aggregates. Also some nonuniform beam filling reducing RhoHV along a few radials that partially intercept the top of the convection in the eyewall.Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, heavy_wx said: Interesting features on the 0.5 degree scan from KAMX in the eastern part of the inner eyewall. Large Zdr and Kdp for a tropical system. It happens to coincide with the bottom of the melting layer so I wonder if it is a result of both a large number of moderate sized raindrops and a few, oblate melting aggregates. Also some nonuniform beam filling reducing RhoHV along a few radials that partially intercept the top of the convection in the eyewall. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Its probably birds. We saw the same thing with Hermine and Alex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 6 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said: Maybe this has already been discussed today but how are the tidal charts lining up with possible landfall? I briefly glanced at the charts for most of the Fla coast last night and it seemed high tides are occuring in the 1-2 AM time frame. From here you can navigate to wherever just not Colorado. http://www.findu.com/cgi-bin/tidestation.cgi?call=EW7223 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, Superstorm93 said: Its probably birds. We saw the same thing with Hermine and Alex Several mets have mentioned that on twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said: Several mets have mentioned that on twitter. Can you please suggest a few accounts I should be following? Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 18 z NAM looks to be a coastal hug again. This will be a close call for sure for the FL, GA, SC coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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