Damage In Tolland Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Ed Vallee @EdValleeWx 6m6 minutes ago Incredible amount of ocean heat content in the path of #Matthew. Combined with low shear, potential for re-strengthening to Cat 5 is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 52 minutes ago, Dunkman said: Certainly what it looks like to me. Maybe they can sub in the plane in St. Croix instead? I don't know. Looks like that's what they did. AF303 enroute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Officials: At least 108 people dead in Haiti from Hurricane Matthew, number expected to rise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, Morris said: Officials: At least 108 people dead in Haiti from Hurricane Matthew, number expected to rise Yeah, tbh I haven't really been following updates at this point... due the the facts many areas likely aren't accessible or they simply don't have the personnel to put in there... will probably be sometime still before we really have a full understanding of what has occurred there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 The western side of Matthew is really deepening and expanding as it passes by Andros. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SATRAPID/satloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 The core of Matthew looked a bit lopsided (weak on the NW side) but has recently begun to fill in and expand. It still needs to expand on the northern end a bit, but it's looking more symmetrical, IMO. I wouldn't bet against some additional strengthening taking place as it moves away from the islands, especially if the eye clears out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 12z GGEM LF's around Melbourne in 24....over Jacksonville at 36....JUST south of Charleston at 48... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/uve UVE down 15% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, Morris said: http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/uve UVE down 15% Obvious victims of speculation... the poor shareholders.... /s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 http://www.portcanaveralwebcam.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 death toll has reached 136 in Haiti, 140 total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 They are closing Walt Disney World as of 5PM today. Hope to reopen Saturday. This is only the fourth time it has happened in history. My guess is the last time was for Charley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Down The Rabbit Hole Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Correct me if I'm looking at it wrong, but Matt's starting to look a lot more stacked on satellite, isn't he? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Western eye wall coming into AMX short range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, Down The Rabbit Hole said: Correct me if I'm looking at it wrong, but Matt's starting to look a lot more stacked on satellite, isn't he? Yes he is looking more circular with his CDO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, Tater Tot said: Is that dry air affecting it? That's from a week ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickg2 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 evacuation orders for places east of i-95 near Savannah, I was on the phone with my father (he is near tybee Island) and he got the call. they are being told to expect a strong surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: They are closing Walt Disney World as of 5PM today. Hope to reopen Saturday. This is only the fourth time it has happened in history. My guess is the last time was for Charley. I think I heard 1989 and some time in the late 70s were the othet two and I don't think either was because of a hurricane because I don't recall major hurricanes hitting that area in either of those periods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 4 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: They closed it one time during the "winter" for being to cold, I was on vacation. That was probably what the 89 and late 70s closures were for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormcentral Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 5-9 FT Surge expected in Daytona Beach Shores, Ponce Inlet, Port Orange, Ormond Beach, Ordmond By The Sea, Flagler Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 12z HWRF never really brings the center onshore until near Jacksonville but the Western eyewall tracks along the coast from PBI North. Then the HWRF takes Matthew up the GA coast and is over Charleston by Saturday afternoon. Savannah makes it into the Western eyewall and the center likely goes right over Hilton head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 12z HWRF never really brings the center onshore until near Jacksonville but the Western eyewall tracks along the coast from PBI North. The the HWRF takes Matthew up the GA coast and is over Charleston by Saturday afternoon. Savannah makes it into the Western eyewall and the center likely goes right over Hilton head. How strong does it look over Hilton Head? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, Pluffmud said: How strong does it look over Hilton Head? 948.9mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, NJwx85 said: 948.9mb Isn't that WAYY NW compared to all of the other models?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: 948.9mb So Cat 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Right around the GA coast is when most modeling shows significant weakening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Just now, Pluffmud said: So Cat 3? Well since pressure has zero correlation to wind speeds, I have no idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoresman Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 9 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I think I heard 1989 and some time in the late 70s were the othet two and I don't think either was because of a hurricane because I don't recall major hurricanes hitting that area in either of those periods Floyd and Charlie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Right around the GA coast is when most modeling shows significant weakening. I'm hoping the models are right with the weakening. I know it's a bit more challenging to forecast intensities vs. track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 minute ago, allgame830 said: Isn't that WAYY NW compared to all of the other models?? It's only slightly NW of the 00z ECMWF and identical to the 12z GFS position. The difference is that the HWRF brings the center further NW towards Charleston while the GFS and Euro have already started moving East away from land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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