hazwoper Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 3:10 PM, Austinwx said: I'm a little surprised the NHC went with TS Watches instead of Hurricane Watches for Miami-Dade and Broward Counties...I guess the models verbatim support this, but that's a mighty close call to not even entertain the possibility of hurricane conditions, esp in Broward. On the other hand, I'm sure they don't want to unnecessarily freak out 4 million+ people either. Expand I am not surprised at all. Those areas are outside of the cone. Makes sense to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Matt's eye starting to clear out on visible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 3:39 PM, wxmx said: Matt's eye starting to clear out on visible. Expand May I please have a link to this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Recon coming in from the northeast back into the eye shortly. We should have a better idea of the condition of the inner core. As wxmx posted above it does appear the system is trying to get its act back together already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 3:39 PM, wxmx said: Matt's eye starting to clear out on visible. Expand It's also looking good on the FAA radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Video from eye? http://youtu.be/eOuVlg3mNek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Trough doesn't dig as much if at all on GFS through 42hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 gfs very similar to 06z thru 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 3:40 PM, WishingForWarmWeather said: May I please have a link to this? Expand http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 3:40 PM, WishingForWarmWeather said: May I please have a link to this? Expand Go to nhc.noaa.gov, next to Hurricane Matthew, click on "satellite" for tons of different viewing options. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 3:43 PM, wxmx said: http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html Expand On 10/4/2016 at 3:44 PM, Hugo said: Go to nhc.noaa.gov, next to Hurricane Matthew, click on "satellite" for tons of different viewing options. Expand Thanks gentlemen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 3:42 PM, WaPo said: Trough doesn't dig as much if at all on GFS through 42hrs. Expand Yeah, allows the GoM ridge to connect with the WAR...slowing down Matt and probably making it head a little more west later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Center still stays offshore of Florida although it's close enough to get borderline hurricane force winds on land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Compared to 6z run, really just ends up being slower rather than more west or east. Very similar track once it approaches the Fla. coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 Guantanamo radar showing 2 eyes. (or ground clutter) loop- http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_lite.php?rid=gmo&product=N0R&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 The max res GFS shows significant deepening on Friday with the Western eyewall just offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 looks like another chs landfall (or brush) @ 93hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 GFS still digging the trough, which is slower but still plenty amplified enough. All that really translates to is a slower movement of Matthew so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 3:56 PM, DopplerWx said: looks like another chs landfall (or brush) @ 93hr. Expand brush... moving NNE/NE at 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 So at 12z Saturday on the GFS the base of the trough is near Louisville, KY and on the Euro it's near Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 3:43 PM, wxmx said: http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html Expand Visible IR WV With these links you can change the settings (Lat/Long, number of frames, etc) based on the code for the page you have linked right in the URL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 brushing the sc coast @99. near myrtle. heading northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 The Western eyewall on this GFS run literally runs up the entire length of the SC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 The trough is even deeper this run than 06z, so expect Mathew to end up further West down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 4:02 PM, NJwx85 said: The trough is even deeper this run than 06z, so expect Mathew to end up further West down the road. Expand I dunno... its headed NE out to sea at 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 I wouldn't want to be in Southport, N.C. for this storm -- a hurricane riding the coast like this one is going to have a hard time missing that outcropping of land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 4:02 PM, yoda said: I dunno... its headed NE out to sea at 105 Expand Look at what's going on at H5 and compare it to the previous run. The trough is deeper and sharper this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 4:00 PM, NJwx85 said: The Western eyewall on this GFS run literally runs up the entire length of the SC coast. Expand The eyewall itself might brush Charleston, but I don't think you'd see it come onshore anywhere in this run. I mean, at 102, the center is a good 50+ miles offshore of MYR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 114 going bye bye heading east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 10/4/2016 at 4:03 PM, NJwx85 said: Look at what's going on at H5 and compare it to the previous run. The trough is deeper and sharper this run. Expand Wrong. It's taking a hard right 108-114. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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