Hoosier Posted December 23, 2016 Share Posted December 23, 2016 Welcomed change on Tropicaltidbits. Most of their models now use simulated near-surface reflectivity instead of composite, which gives a more accurate representation of where precip is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 34 and rain here, awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 15 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Well, overall the sub must be doing a bit better than at this time last year. This time last year the complaint thread was up to page 18, with over 500 posts. We're only at page 4/120 posts so far this season. True, and a majority of the posts here are not complaints, just banter. It would even be a shorter thread if it were not for yours truly whining and bitching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 0:10 PM, buckeye said: Merrry Christmas from the fine folks at GGEM! On 12/15/2016 at 6:29 PM, Jonger said: No chance of that. The GFS and Euro have a milder pattern, but subtract about 15 degrees from all that. A little Christmas morning bump trolling fun. Maybe 18 or so hours off, but..... Showers, mainly between 7am and 1pm. High near 60. Jon, you should know by now something that I learned a long time ago and that's 'never say never with weather'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 30 minutes ago, IWXwx said: A little Christmas morning bump trolling fun. Maybe 18 or so hours off, but..... Showers, mainly between 7am and 1pm. High near 60. Jon, you should know by now something that I learned a long time ago and that's 'never say never with weather'. Merry Christmas to everyone! I wish we were all getting a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Merry Christmas everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 34 , wind and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 14 hours ago, IWXwx said: A little Christmas morning bump trolling fun. Maybe 18 or so hours off, but..... Showers, mainly between 7am and 1pm. High near 60. Jon, you should know by now something that I learned a long time ago and that's 'never say never with weather'. That has upper 40s in spots that will be in the upper 30s. It nailed the general idea, but it was a big too overdone in the northern areas. That map has Hearst Ontario at 48F, they're going to peak at 31F on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 9 hours ago, Jonger said: That has upper 40s in spots that will be in the upper 30s. It nailed the general idea, but it was a big too overdone in the northern areas. That map has Hearst Ontario at 48F, they're going to peak at 31F on Monday. You're right in that it nailed the general idea. Not bad for 240 out. You may also be right about the warmth not getting as far north as depicted. However it UNDERforecast temps down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Even though many of us got what we didn't want with this storm system, it was pretty nice to see a storm not turn into a strung out POS like a few of them have recently. That's one positive out of this grinch of a storm anyway, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 35 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Even though many of us got what we didn't want with this storm system, it was pretty nice to see a storm not turn into a strung out POS like a few of them have recently. That's one positive out of this grinch of a storm anyway, lol. True. Hopefully we don't return to strung out when the setups are more favorable for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Even though many of us got what we didn't want with this storm system, it was pretty nice to see a storm not turn into a strung out POS like a few of them have recently. That's one positive out of this grinch of a storm anyway, lol. 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: True. Hopefully we don't return to strung out when the setups are more favorable for the region. Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Ugh, the monday-tuesday storm coming up looks like a hot mess. Such a waste of a normally good storm track for around here. The Grinch storm melted 80% of my snowpack, then trolled me hard when the cold front came through with some nice wind gusts by knocking my power out for 12hrs from a stupid dead tree falling on the power lines. Now this ugly monday / tuesday storm is going to rain again and finish off whats left of my snowpack just to let me see frozen brown grass for a week+ after. At least I have had 24.5" of snowfall for the season though, which is already like 55% of my usual seasonal total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 I bought my first ever snowblower and snowmobile. RIP Winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 45 minutes ago, UMB WX said: I bought my first ever snowblower and snowmobile. RIP Winter The trailer is probably more important than the snowmobile. Mine has probably 5,000 miles on it in one year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 2 hours ago, smoof said: Ugh, the monday-tuesday storm coming up looks like a hot mess. Such a waste of a normally good storm track for around here. The Grinch storm melted 80% of my snowpack, then trolled me hard when the cold front came through with some nice wind gusts by knocking my power out for 12hrs from a stupid dead tree falling on the power lines. Now this ugly monday / tuesday storm is going to rain again and finish off whats left of my snowpack just to let me see frozen brown grass for a week+ after. At least I have had 24.5" of snowfall for the season though, which is already like 55% of my usual seasonal total. I'd rather have suppression with clippers. Much safer setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 I'm unsatisfied with the amount of snowfall in DSM so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 It seems there have been snowfall rates up to 6"/hr in coastal Maine this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 4 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: It seems there have been snowfall rates up to 6"/hr in coastal Maine this evening. On my bucket list to see insane snow rates like that. Highest I have seen was under a super bowl Sunday thunder snow event in the late 2000's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 5 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: On my bucket list to see insane snow rates like that. Highest I have seen was under a super bowl Sunday thunder snow event in the late 2000's. That was a great event. Think the highest snow rate/intensity I've ever seen was during the squall for the ages that happened back in Feb 2003. Squall line of heavy snow with 50-60mph winds that even triggered a warning southeast of us. Only lasted a few mins, but was just insane. Heaviest rates over the period of an hour would probably be the GHDI storm. Had legit 3"/hr rates for a few hours during the mid evening. If the wind wasn't blowing so hard and shattering the dendrites the rate may have been even higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I wonder if anyone in Indiana and Ohio has a recollection of Feb. 24th, 1990. Surprise snow squall that stranded many motorists across central and northern IN, OH into PA. General 4-8" of snow in a very short period of time. I-71 between Columbus and Cleveland became a parking lot with people abandoning their cars to walk to off ramp motels. That was the heaviest snowfall rate I ever witnessed. Came in right after sunset like a wall with virtually no fanfare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I'm unsatisfied with the amount of snowfall in DSM so far this winter.The snowfall for KOKK also is very unsatisfying. I keep hearing how the pattern is becoming favorable and he ensembles show an active pattern but that is what I've been told for the past 45 days. I am tending to not believe it. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 14 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: It seems there have been snowfall rates up to 6"/hr in coastal Maine this evening. Yep. Thanks to the dynamic cooling from those rates, it ended up being a good bust for many areas too that were going to see a fair amount of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 There was actually one report of 4 inches in 30 minutes, which is pretty insane. The highest rate I've ever seen here is probably 3"/hr. It's hard enough just to get 1"/hr here in this nickel & dimer climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 1 hour ago, KokomoWX said: The snowfall for KOKK also is very unsatisfying. I keep hearing how the pattern is becoming favorable and he ensembles show an active pattern but that is what I've been told for the past 45 days. I am tending to not believe it. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Jan will be rockin' TM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I'm sure most of us have seen insane rates on a brief time scale, say 5 or 10 minutes, but sustaining it for 30 minutes or an hour is another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: I'm sure most of us have seen insane rates on a brief time scale, say 5 or 10 minutes, but sustaining it for 30 minutes or an hour is another story. That's a good point. Not too long ago I had 0.7" in 5 mins. That's 8-9" an hour. But it didn't last but 5 mins. I've seen that many times with squalls. As far as sustained I've seen 6" in 2.5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 4 hours ago, KokomoWX said: The snowfall for KOKK also is very unsatisfying. I keep hearing how the pattern is becoming favorable and he ensembles show an active pattern but that is what I've been told for the past 45 days. I am tending to not believe it. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk And if you believe the long term model runs, they currently show Iowa inside of a relatively small swath of total snowlessness while the rest of the entire country that's in a climate prone to snow gets a lot of snow. Even Reno, Nv is progged to see 12 inch plus snows and lake effect snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 2 hours ago, ConvectiveIA said: And if you believe the long term model runs, they currently show Iowa inside of a relatively small swath of total snowlessness while the rest of the entire country that's in a climate prone to snow gets a lot of snow. Even Reno, Nv is progged to see 12 inch plus snows and lake effect snows. Taking a long term model at face Value is 100% pointless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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