Chinook Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 Typhoon Haima, now a lot weaker, is approaching Hong Kong, and the large ragged eye is visible on Hong Kong radar. JTWC predicts it will make landfall ENE of Hong Kong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted December 23, 2016 Share Posted December 23, 2016 Nock-ten has popped a pretty clear eye all of a sudden. Anyone else think this gets to a stronger storm than currently projected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Pretty rapid intensification on nock-ten and he's now sitting at 130kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Nice pinhole eye trying to reform. Forecast has it a CAT 1 close to Manilla early on the 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Latest track has Nock-10 as a 90 knt storm basically right over or just south of Manila still, the southern end of the island of Cantanduanes and its "capital" Virac a city of 75k people looks to have took a direct hit though and the storm was easily a 130-140 knt storm when it hit there.......the path it is on is good for the rest of the folks there though over land and this thing should weaken fairly quickly..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted March 2, 2017 Share Posted March 2, 2017 Yikes... 879 MB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 On Thursday, March 02, 2017 at 11:48 AM, Jason WX said: Yikes... 879 MB Making landfall soon and has winds of 125kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 27, 2017 Share Posted March 27, 2017 Debbie raising hell in Australia this location is just SE o where Josh is sustained 110 gusting 132... https://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=Proserpine+Hamilton+Isla%2C+Australia This is where Josh actually or as close of a obs point as I can find to his location.... https://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=pws:IQUEENSL1168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Gusting to 163mph. Pretty impressive, if accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted May 27, 2017 Share Posted May 27, 2017 A system is developing in the Bay of Bengal. Models have a solid cyclone lifting northward into Bangladesh or western Myanmar Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted June 25, 2017 Author Share Posted June 25, 2017 Slow start for the WPac this year, although that has been fairly typical these past few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted July 22, 2017 Author Share Posted July 22, 2017 After one of the quietest starts to date, the WPac has woken up in a big way. Six tropical cyclones or invests currently are spread through the basin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Will be in Tokyo next week, wonder if I get a nice visit from Noru towards the end of the week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 12 hours ago, Bostonseminole said: Will be in Tokyo next week, wonder if I get a nice visit from Noru towards the end of the week! Certainly possible, Going to be nuts in the west pac, even if it doesn't make landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 31, 2017 Share Posted July 31, 2017 On 7/26/2017 at 7:07 AM, Bostonseminole said: Will be in Tokyo next week, wonder if I get a nice visit from Noru towards the end of the week! Noru rapidly intensified before leveling off. Nice small annular storm that's taken an interesting track thus far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 31, 2017 Share Posted July 31, 2017 Fujiwhara effect then RI. Pretty cool https://mobile.twitter.com/StuOstro/status/890316150172565506/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted July 31, 2017 Share Posted July 31, 2017 8 hours ago, Rjay said: Noru rapidly intensified before leveling off. Nice small annular storm that's taken an interesting track thus far. Not supposed to stay small. Ecmwf and Gfs now make landfall next Monday/Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted July 31, 2017 Share Posted July 31, 2017 12z Gfs and Euro went west and stronger. Going to be a good chase for josh. Possible sub 930 landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 1, 2017 Share Posted August 1, 2017 this would seem to be an interesting run of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted August 1, 2017 Share Posted August 1, 2017 1 hour ago, klw said: this would seem to be an interesting run of the GFS I've noticed there seems to be a problem with the GFS over-amplifying TCs lately. It was doing this last week too and has in the EPAC as well, although to a lesser extent. I'm pretty sure the GFS just had an update recently and this update brought a bit of an over-amplifying issue it seems. Either way, I wouldn't buy that, although decent strengthening is probable, just not to 870mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 1, 2017 Share Posted August 1, 2017 Typhoon Noru has been a named storm since 7/21/12z. It has 31 ACE units, the most in the year thus far, beating out Hurricane Fernanda. It has the highest intensity (Cat. 5, briefly 140 kt) and highest ACE of any storm in the northern Hemisphere this year. I believe it has been the strongest storm in the world since Super Typhoon Haima (2016) of 145 kt intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 2, 2017 Share Posted August 2, 2017 Noru certainly has that 'truck tire' appearance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 On 8/1/2017 at 1:33 PM, klw said: this would seem to be an interesting run of the GFS Is it approaching 870mb yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted August 4, 2017 Author Share Posted August 4, 2017 On 8/1/2017 at 5:25 PM, Chinook said: Typhoon Noru has been a named storm since 7/21/12z. It has 31 ACE units, the most in the year thus far, beating out Hurricane Fernanda. It has the highest intensity (Cat. 5, briefly 140 kt) and highest ACE of any storm in the northern Hemisphere this year. I believe it has been the strongest storm in the world since Super Typhoon Haima (2016) of 145 kt intensity. Nock-Ten also had a 140 kt intensity on Christmas Day 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 6, 2017 Share Posted August 6, 2017 Just when I thought this was the Irene of the WPAC, somehow it has made a comeback while skimming the coast. Very nice looking for a CAT1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 7, 2017 Share Posted August 7, 2017 Phil Klotzbach tweeted this: After 14.25 days as a typhoon, #Noru has finally weakened to a tropical storm. It is 2nd longest-lived NW Pac typhoon on record (since 1950) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 23, 2017 Share Posted August 23, 2017 Hong Kong just had a wind gust to typhoon force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 23, 2017 Share Posted August 23, 2017 Typhoon Hato intensified from 45 kt to 90 kt in a relatively short time (JTWC analysis) . Here is the typhoon on Aug 22 at 22:30z (which was morning for this part of the world). Hong Kong is just north of the eyewall. Macau is north of the eyewall. On the HWRF map you can see Hong Kong getting the tip of the 64 kt winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 I think we can safely say that the 12z GFS intensifies Tropical Cyclone Sanvu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 Typhoon Talim, now west of Okinawa and northeast of Taiwan, has been rated at 115 kt (Category 4 starts at 113kt) by the JTWC. It is heading for landfall in southern Japan soon with a wind of 100-110 kt. The storm should track over a considerable section of Japan. JTWC discussion mentions that it likely peaked at 127 kt a few hrs ago. Quote TYPHOON 20W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 172 NM WEST OF KADENA AB ... THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 115 KNOTS BASED ON SUBJECTIVE DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 KNOTS) FROM ALL REPORTING AGENCIES. TY 20W LIKELY REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AROUND 2100Z, WHEN AN INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T6.5 (127 KNOTS) WAS REPORTED BY PGTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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