GaWx Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 11 hours ago, Chinook said: Typhoon Hinnamnor regained 85 knot strength and an eye showed up recently on infrafred imagery When Typhoon Hinnamnor approaches South Korea, it might be interesting to use GRLevel3/ Radarscope to view these two radar locations in South Korea. The latest forecast has max winds at 90 knots when hitting SE S Korea/Busan near 0Z on Sept 6th. If this verifies, it would be near the worst on record there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 11 hours ago, GaWx said: The latest forecast has max winds at 90 knots when hitting SE S Korea/Busan near 0Z on Sept 6th. If this verifies, it would be near the worst on record there. The JTWC latest update says 95 knots in the vicinity of Busan. That does sound quite bad. Also, consider Korea is pretty far north and does not get too many tropical cyclones. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 This is the only time I've been able to use Korean radar (available through the US Military bases, I believe) to track a typhoon. Typhoon Hinnamnor has tracked right by Jeju Island, South Korea, close to the forecasts. JTWC had the intensity at 100 knots at a time of 12z. west Jeju Island: RKPM 051348Z 36042G063KT 3200 -RA BR BKN005 BKN080 25/24 A2871 RMK CIG005RKPM 051027Z 10036G067KT 3200 RA BR OVC010 25/24 A2896 RMK CIG010 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Wind gusts at Busan, South Korea, bumped up to minimal hurricane force, 64 knots RKPK 051900Z 11035G64KT 1600 +RA BR SCT010 BKN020 OVC030 27/25 Q0979 RKPK 051800Z 11037G47KT 3200 +RA BR SCT010 BKN020 OVC030 27/25 Q0984 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Busan should be getting about the worst of it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 this is 6:20am for them. The eye of the storm has been close to Busan, now with winds shifting to the north-northwest. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted September 9, 2022 Share Posted September 9, 2022 The models take the new typhoon Muifa to just east of Taiwan very near Ishigakijima Island and stalls it for 4 to 5 days. Would be a rough ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 Typhoon Muifa is heading directly into Shanghai China soon. Typhoon Muifa, 85 knots, as per JTWC most recent analysis. Wikipedia: With a population of 24.89 million as of 2021, Shanghai is the most populous urban area in China with 39,300,000 inhabitants living in the Shanghai metropolitan area 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 16, 2022 Share Posted September 16, 2022 Super Typhoon Nanmadol, at 130 knots, per JTWC, will max out at 135 knots soon. It will approach Japan as it weakens some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 16, 2022 Share Posted September 16, 2022 Here is a non-tropical storm with hurricane force winds and impressively low pressures (for any time of year) to impact Aleutian Islands, and areas up to Nome. (Forecast for Nome has winds of 45mph gusting to 70mph) this storm previously had been Typhoon Merbok but transitioned to extratropical at about the time shown here: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 16, 2022 Share Posted September 16, 2022 3 hours ago, Chinook said: Super Typhoon Nanmadol, at 130 knots, per JTWC, will max out at 135 knots soon. It will approach Japan as it weakens some. 115 knots approaching Kyushu is not chopped liver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 5 hours ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: 115 knots approaching Kyushu is not chopped liver. Now JTWC has analyzed this to be 135 knots, which I believe is just below Cat-5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Today's HWRF (12z) showed up to 130 knots at 850mb as it approaches an island close to the coast that has mountains that could feel the 130 knots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 typhoon Nanmadol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 37 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah the forecasting on this one has been pretty awful all around. Absolutely unbelievable. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: Is that perhaps a record for rapid intensification? It does underscore how primed the area is for a storm, just waiting for a trigger event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, etudiant said: Is that perhaps a record for rapid intensification? It does underscore how primed the area is for a storm, just waiting for a trigger event. I thought I saw top 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/4/2022 at 11:14 AM, Chinook said: The JTWC latest update says 95 knots in the vicinity of Busan. That does sound quite bad. Also, consider Korea is pretty far north and does not get too many tropical cyclones. Yes Korea is considered the equivalent of NJ as far as SST and hurricane impacts are concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 8 hours ago, eyewall said: Yeah the forecasting on this one has been pretty awful all around. Absolutely unbelievable. Wow will this be as bad as Haiyan was there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Pretty ludicrous tbh. it appears the models missed a little short-wave ridge north of it. 16 hours ago, eyewall said: Yeah the forecasting on this one has been pretty awful all around. Absolutely unbelievable. Said short-wave ridging did two things. Typhoon turned left with RI. Andrew pulled a stunt like that east of Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 10 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Wow will this be as bad as Haiyan was there? I hope this doesn't sound dumb, but Super Typhoon Haiyan set a record, I believe with satellite-estimated 195mph winds, (with 1-minute winds, JTWC-American style) and it directly affected Tacloban city, with a storm surge that came in almost as fast as a tsunami. So, yeah, I can't think of anything more devastating. according to Wikipedia: Quote Thereafter, Haiyan continued to intensify; at 12:00 UTC on November 7, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) upgraded the storm's maximum ten-minute sustained winds to 230 km/h (145 mph), the highest in relation to the storm. The Hong Kong Observatory put the storm's maximum ten-minute sustained winds at 285 km/h (180 mph)[5] prior to landfall in the central Philippines, while the China Meteorological Administration estimated the maximum two-minute sustained winds at the time to be around 78 m/s (280 km/h or 175 mph). At the same time, the JTWC estimated the system's one-minute sustained winds at 315 km/h (195 mph), unofficially making Haiyan the strongest tropical cyclone ever observed based on wind speed, a record which would later be surpassed by Hurricane Patricia in 2015 at 345 km/h (215 mph).[6] Syper Typhoon Noru--I don't believe I've ever heard of a storm that went from 50mph to 155mph in official (satellite) analysis in roughly 24 hours (correct?) I watched a 16-hour loop on Tropical Tidbits yesterday and that showed pretty much the entire development cycle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 17 hours ago, Chinook said: I hope this doesn't sound dumb, but Super Typhoon Haiyan set a record, I believe with satellite-estimated 195mph winds, (with 1-minute winds, JTWC-American style) and it directly affected Tacloban city, with a storm surge that came in almost as fast as a tsunami. So, yeah, I can't think of anything more devastating. according to Wikipedia: Syper Typhoon Noru--I don't believe I've ever heard of a storm that went from 50mph to 155mph in official (satellite) analysis in roughly 24 hours (correct?) I watched a 16-hour loop on Tropical Tidbits yesterday and that showed pretty much the entire development cycle. The other thing with Haiyan which I found amazing (not in a good way) was it's large size. We typically don't see such a large physical size with storms of such extreme intensity. The West Pac can sustain them much better than the Atlantic can of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Meanwhile...Noru back at it again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Not the wpac but a beast none the less https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=05S&product=ir 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 No One talking about TS Freddie? Dangerous Cyclone Freddy Taking Aim At Africa There is concern that Tropical Cyclone Freddy will make landfall next week on the eastern coast of Africa with high winds and heavy rain. &&& Tropical Cyclone Freddy could be headed for the record books Tropical Cyclone Freddy formed in Australian waters about two weeks ago and is still tracking across the Indian Ocean, putting it on track to challenge two world records. The tropical low that would become Tropical Cyclone Freddy initially formed late on Saturday February 4, before being upgraded to a category 1 tropical cyclone on Monday, February 6. Freddy initially moved to the south until it was about 660km northeast of Broome, where it took a turn to the west. While in Australian waters, Freddy posed no threat to the mainland, Christmas or the Cocos (Keeling) Islands, even as it became a category 4 severe tropical cyclone with wind gusts of up to 265km/h. It eventually left Australia's region of responsibility on February 14, as it tracked towards the west across longitude 90 degrees east. More @ link---> Tropical Cyclone Freddy could be headed for the record books (weatherzone.com.au) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 On 2/17/2023 at 2:32 PM, SENC said: No One talking about TS Freddie? Dangerous Cyclone Freddy Taking Aim At Africa There is concern that Tropical Cyclone Freddy will make landfall next week on the eastern coast of Africa with high winds and heavy rain. &&& Tropical Cyclone Freddy could be headed for the record books Tropical Cyclone Freddy formed in Australian waters about two weeks ago and is still tracking across the Indian Ocean, putting it on track to challenge two world records. The tropical low that would become Tropical Cyclone Freddy initially formed late on Saturday February 4, before being upgraded to a category 1 tropical cyclone on Monday, February 6. Freddy initially moved to the south until it was about 660km northeast of Broome, where it took a turn to the west. While in Australian waters, Freddy posed no threat to the mainland, Christmas or the Cocos (Keeling) Islands, even as it became a category 4 severe tropical cyclone with wind gusts of up to 265km/h. It eventually left Australia's region of responsibility on February 14, as it tracked towards the west across longitude 90 degrees east. More @ link---> Tropical Cyclone Freddy could be headed for the record books (weatherzone.com.au) A good bit of discussion happening on the storm2k forum. Freddy is a beast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 2 hours ago, olafminesaw said: A good bit of discussion happening on the storm2k forum. Freddy is a beast! True I can't believe nobody over here is talking about it. It looks insanely impressive right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 On 2/19/2023 at 3:42 PM, TheDreamTraveler said: True I can't believe nobody over here is talking about it. It looks insanely impressive right now Even more so that Freddy is back and may become the longest lasting tropical cyclone in recorded history; this definitely isn't a board that into the tropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Freddy is still there lol. It was classified on February 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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