Tallis Rockwell Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 This one crazy storm...200+mph wind gusts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 15 minutes ago, Tallis Rockwell said: This one crazy storm...200+mph wind gusts? Easily... Saw Reed say up to 250 mph on Twitter but that's just so difficult to comprehend... Was that him guesstimating or an official figure (again, for gusts)? Edit: Seen a couple other figures of 235 mph gusts, which seems more... realistic, for lack of a better word. Very extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 PAGASI radar via Rain Viewer. Unable to access the radar site via PAGASI directly. This image may even be 30 minutes old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tallis Rockwell Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 The one of the best eyes I have ever seen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tallis Rockwell Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 12 minutes ago, TexMexWx said: Easily... Saw Reed say up to 250 mph on Twitter but that's just so difficult to comprehend... Was that him guesstimating or an official figure (again, for gusts)? I don't know but he isn't really known for being calm and calculated. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 35 minutes ago, salbers said: Is there a link where Signal #5 has been issued? I haven't seen this yet. It's on PAGASA's 2am PhT (18 UTC) Bulletin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Here is some more live force-13 coverage: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 There are ridges on the island of Catanduanes above 2,500 ft. Would not surprise me if the gusts along those exceed 210-220 mph. At any rate, parts of the island, especially the higher terrain are going to be heavily debarked and stripped of vegetation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 What a banger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 1 hour ago, patrick05 said: It's on PAGASA's 2am PhT (18 UTC) Bulletin I only see Signal #4 on their website 2am bulletin linked here: http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/bulletin/SWB%2312.pdf However they did post a SIgnal #5 on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dost_pagasa/status/1322612280987541504 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Looks like Virac will get in the Eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Just now, Amped said: Looks like Virac will get in the Eye. Hope the wx station holds up. Let’s see if they have get a sub 890 reading Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Just now, the ghost of leroy said: Hope the wx station holds up. Let’s see if they have get a sub 890 reading In these conditions, there's literally a better chance of it being taken out by a flying pig then staying online 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Sheesh... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 This is why I say things like Laura is trash 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 This advisory does have 195mph... WTPN31 PGTW 312100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SUPER TYPHOON 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 016// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z --- NEAR 13.7N 125.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 170 KT, GUSTS 205 KT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 That storm surge in Virac is going to be extremely sudden when the get in the back eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tallis Rockwell Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 6 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: This is why I say things like Laura is trash 99.9% hurricanes are trash if you were to compare them to god-tier storms like this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 It's too bad there aren't recon planes to collect data in west Pacific especially since they get hit by some of the strongest tropical systems on earth. Would love to get some actual wind and pressure data from this. Probably no instrument on that island, if there even is one, wouldn't survive long enough to get the max winds and lowest pressures. Eye seems to have shrunk on latest satellite after interacting with the island. Might see intensity level off or even drop off but that's not saying much from 195mph. Truly some of the most incredible satellite imagery I seen next to Haiyan and Patricia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Can you imagine something like this hitting Miami or something like holy cow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bhs1975 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Josh not wanna chase this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bhs1975 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Can you imagine something like this hitting Miami or something like holy cow. Almost did with Dorian and with AGW it’s way more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 1 minute ago, Bhs1975 said: Josh not wanna chase this one? I mean, given the current environment, i.e. Covid, & still cleaning up his place in Bay St. Louis from Zeta, it just wasn't possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bhs1975 said: Josh not wanna chase this one? He said on Twitter the Philippines are closed to international travel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 I mean, given the current environment, i.e. Covid, & still cleaning up his place in Bay St. Louis from Zeta, it just wasn't possibleTraveling to the Philippines or the Far East even for official government business is difficult right now, much less non-essential travel. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 If they actually had recon in the WPAC i could see this storm having something like an 875-885 mb pressure at its peak intensity, and probably something close to Patricia in terms of windspeed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 22 minutes ago, Bhs1975 said: Almost did with Dorian and with AGW it’s way more likely. We did actually have such an intense monster hit the Florida Keys in 1935. Just didn’t have the technology then to accurately measure its intensity. Way before AGW became all the rage and will happen again, regardless; just simply a matter of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bhs1975 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 If they actually had recon in the WPAC i could see this storm having something like an 875-885 mb pressure at its peak intensity, and probably something close to Patricia in terms of windspeedI think this one was stronger than Typhoon Tip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 6 minutes ago, Bhs1975 said: I think this one was stronger than Typhoon Tip. As many others have alluded to...I wish the U.S. could make a financial arrangement whereby Recon would fly into the strongest Typhoons that are genuinely threatening land like Haiyan, Meranti, and Goni. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 24 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: If they actually had recon in the WPAC i could see this storm having something like an 875-885 mb pressure at its peak intensity, and probably something close to Patricia in terms of windspeed What really stands out about this system is that it literally made landfall at its peak extreme intensity. Truly remarkable system, and I fear for those unfortunate souls who are having to endure its wrath! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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