downeastnc Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 51 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: If I'm reading thre map right, the 13z Hrrrrrrr looks like it has the SE (max precip area) portion of Wake Co. With a storm total of about 3/4". If it just keeps raining like it is now for the next hour and a half, we'll exceed that total. Something doesn't seem right about that output. Could be my eyes, I suppose! So here is my crappy map but the red area is going to be the "pivot" point where the rain goes from moving south to north to east to west as the SLP approaches, if it tracks further inland then the coast will get lower totals but if it tracks right along the coast then the red circled area is the bullseye.....the flow onshore right now is pretty sick that is some seriously loaded up air and its gonna get wrung out over someone....the big red line is the NHC track if it does that then you are good for 2-4" easy..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwlee7 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 18 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Naw but my yard will look like a lake, I will post pics later once it gets insane.....I think the bigger concern is going to be street flooding, there are a lot of creeks and streams that if they overflow put several vital heavily traveled roads under water here in Greenville making it a royal b**ch to get around....models are slowly backing off the higher totals but I had 2.5" last night so the yards are ditches already have water in them etc. With the higher Pwats and warm rain processes and smaller drops will fool the radar....it shows greens and yellows over me and its pouring outside here right now....so I am not sure how good of a handle the models have on amounts....track is key though the 20-30 miles just NW of the track will be the bullseye. Where in Greenville do you live? Back in the day I lived at the corner of 1st and Summit just up the hill from the town commons. I was lucky that I was high enough on that side of town to not flood much but the neighbors on the north end of Summit yard's would stay soaked. Edited to add: Barely raining here in Rocky Mount at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 2 minutes ago, downeastnc said: So here is my crappy map but the red area is going to be the "pivot" point where the rain goes from moving south to north to east to west as the SLP approaches, if it tracks further inland then the coast will get lower totals but if it tracks right along the coast then the red circled area is the bullseye.....the flow onshore right now is pretty sick that is some seriously loaded up air and its gonna get wrung out over someone....the big red line is the NHC track if it does that then you are good for 2-4" easy..... Yep...it's heading NE now and when it shifts to E-NE will determine where the heaviest QPF is. Right now HRRR shows that about 4pm today it will start that shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Yeah, Downeast. That looks good and makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 2 minutes ago, gwlee7 said: Where in Greenville do you live? Back in the day I lived at the corner of 1st and Summit just up the hill from the town commons. I was lucky that I was high enough on that side of town to not flood much but the neighbors on the north end of Summit yard's would stay soaked. Well I use to have a buddy that lived on Summit back in the early 90's ahhh the stories I have.....I have lived all over the east side of town, I was born and raised here. I currently live in Simpson which is east of town a bit....I am actually less than a mile from the river but being on the south side I am in no danger of flooding even in a Floyd level event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Still high-end moderate rain here. The clouds are moving rapidly. These skies are not healing themselves very efficiently today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 pouring here at work in North Greenville right now. If it rains like this the next 12+ hours then we are gonna get 6-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Really coming down here now too. At least 1"/hr rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Low end moderate rain now, along with some gusts. Radar looking fairly robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Friday night football canceled for Wake County high schools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Getting shetleyed here north of Charlotte...which is fine by me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 That squall line approaching Charleston looks like it will be fun. This is a perfect soaking rain for S Charlotte. Unfortunately, we could have done without the 2.1 inches last night to precede it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Had some light rain the last hour but it recently intensified and now rain moderately hard. Just topped 1.00" for the day. Still very little wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Nasty thunderstorm right off the coast here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 2, 2016 Author Share Posted September 2, 2016 Hardly anything here on the Wake/Granville boarder. Roads wet but it's still dry under the trees. The precip does look like it's now trying to move northward some. But that's what I thought a few hours back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 21 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Hardly anything here on the Wake/Granville boarder. Roads wet but it's still dry under the trees. The precip does look like it's now trying to move northward some. But that's what I thought a few hours back. I've had the same experience, but the rain finally seems to have picked up a bit. For the most part, though, this northern edge of the precipitation has been very slow to move at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 2, 2016 Author Share Posted September 2, 2016 1 minute ago, RubiksDestroyer said: I've had the same experience, but the rain finally seems to have picked up a bit. For the most part, though, this northern edge of the precipitation has been very slow to move at all. It's frustrating. Reminds me of the winter storm a few years back. As precip moved northward it just disintegrated by the time it got this far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Rain shield got about 5 miles from me and stopped.Windy and 68.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Can we get a repeat of this in about 4 months? Perfect set up for a CLT to RDU special with warmer air towards the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Finally getting some decent gusts in SW Wake County. Rain is starting to pick up with some decent returns moving to the North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 4.5" of much needed rain here, little breezy, not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Significant rain event still underway in SE Wake and breezy now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 28 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: Rain shield got about 5 miles from me and stopped.Windy and 68.2 Pretty much the same here. It has been just south of me all day. Interesting to watch and typical of a tropical storm. There's always a very sharp cutoff on the western side. I have gotten .01" today so I have officially experienced Hermine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 30 minutes ago, SnowDeac said: Can we get a repeat of this in about 4 months? Perfect set up for a CLT to RDU special with warmer air towards the coast. That's not how it works. The snow will be north and west of that line from CLT to RDU, not south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 1 minute ago, calculus1 said: That's not how it works. The snow will be north and west of that line from CLT to RDU, not south and east. Well typically, sure. But in this mythical scenario, we cash in on our 12-18, while Hickory gets a dry, fluffy inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 15 minutes ago, SnowDeac said: Well typically, sure. But in this mythical scenario, we cash in on our 12-18, while Hickory gets a dry, fluffy inch. I have at least 12" on the ground already, and it's still coming down to beat the band....theoretically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Raining hard but my gauge only has 1" in it....kinda windy though so it might not be that accurate.....doppler usually under estimates tropical type rains.....the center is still way down south just getting west/over Charleston so this thing still has 6-10 hrs to go for us....but after 3-4 hrs of rain all I got is 1" in the gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Just had the strongest wave come through. Lost power for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael__Ginger Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Rain and blow moderately. No stronger than a typical cyclone from the Pacific I have met during the past 2 years in Seattle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Up to 1.67" and raining moderately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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