F5TornadoF5 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, p626808 said: Hr 96 GFS landfall NJ ? Am I seeing it right? No landfall yet but just stalling out just east of AC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogue Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, p626808 said: Hr 96 GFS landfall NJ ? Am I seeing it right? About 50 miles east of south / central NJ shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 10 minutes ago, mike1984 said: Just got an emergency notice on my phone in Morris County that we are now included in tropical storm warning... Don't see confirmation anywhere...has it been extended inland?? I'm not seeing that either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: I'm not seeing that either Yeah, nothing here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
p626808 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 1 minute ago, rogue said: About 50 miles east of south / central NJ shore Yikes.. gets real close at 105 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike1984 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 Just now, Stormlover74 said: I'm not seeing that either Yah. It was a really strange alert I've never seen my phone get before... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 Storm still sitting there Thursday. Looks like a new solution for long term from GFS this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 11 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: It's starting to look as if it'll be so far south that we get almost no rain up here. The only model showing any measurable rain was the 12z Euro yesterday. This was a coastal impact the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 12z GGEM over Ocean City, Maryland hour 60. GGEM is silly though, dissipates over Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 CMC looks west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 1 minute ago, NinjaWarrior2 said: 12z GGEM over Ocean City hour 60. Ocean City Maryland or Ocean City New Jersey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 6 minutes ago, Jason WX said: CMC looks west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 Impressive winds at 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 And the plot thickens, another new solution from the gfs. One thing I can't gauge is how strong the system will be because you can't really go by a lot of these models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
p626808 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 Just saw new AF recon on way to Hermine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 12z GGEM has over an inch of rain for NYC with 2 inches + just south of the NYC area http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016090312/gem_apcpn_us_20.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 Looks like a southerly component to her movement last few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, friedmators said: Looks like a southerly component to her movement last few frames. Yep and virtually all the rain is offshore now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yep and virtually all the rain is offshore now Most likely just a wobble. Also seems like an eye is starting to pop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 12z Ukie has the similiar position as 0z but it's weaker and further north than the rest of the models. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=072&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mr eric Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Seeing a couple of reports on social media of some tidal flooding already in Ocean City NJ. http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=phi&gage=oncn4 Nearly at flood stage at the last high tide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 Hwrf is west of 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 I think we've got a hurricane already. Gusts to 69 MPH just offshore ! http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44014 buoy 44014 18 foot waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, Bacon Strips said: I think we've got a hurricane already. Gusts to 69 MPH just offshore ! http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44014 buoy 44014 18 foot waves Does this look like a hurricane to you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 nope, but this kinda does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Bacon Strips said: nope, but this kinda does No it doesn't lol. It's a nice visible satellite image of a tropical cyclone with no convection near it's center. It should get its act together later today or tomorrow but I'm not sold on anything about this storm yet except there will be coastal flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 9 minutes ago, Bacon Strips said: I think we've got a hurricane already. Gusts to 69 MPH just offshore ! http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44014 buoy 44014 18 foot waves Stop it. Need sustained 74mph winds to be considered a cat 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 like i didn't know that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.