Allsnow Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 996 pushing west towards the coast rain for the entire area. heavy rain snj sunday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 19 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The NHC's discussion suggested otherwise: After Hermine becomes a post-tropical cyclone, NHC will continue to issue its full suite of advisory and warning products for as long as the system remains a significant threat to land.[/i] Yes, the NHC has invoked the "Sandy Rule" - I assume most around here would recall that the NHC never issued hurricane watches or warnings for areas north of NC after Sandy went back offshore, since they expected Sandy to be extratropical at landfall in NJ. Was a very dumb bureaucratic decision, which many think led to people likely being less prepared than they might've been. Fortunately, this practice has been rectified, procedurally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 The GFS is very close to the Euro wind wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 much further north-west. Christie should maybe do that press conference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Epicnova Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 9 minutes ago, richm20 said: This wont be your storm. Darn. I should clarify though that I'm not looking for a landfalling system, just the heavy rain and high winds associated with one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Gfs is west of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 GFS already has a max of 27.8" of rain off the Delmarva and it's still raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 real close to the 12z euro and its a pretty wet run for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahofan Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 I am in SECT - Groton/New London/Mystic area. Thoughts on potential impacts here? Rain, little wind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 15z sunday just offshore by the delmarva you have 75+ knot winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 2 minutes ago, mahofan said: I am in SECT - Groton/New London/Mystic area. Thoughts on potential impacts here? Rain, little wind? More wind than rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 tuesday morning its still about 200 miles east of acy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 since 06z gfs it has bumped west each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 How far west do you guys think Hermine could end up going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 lol Hermine is just sitting off the coast of jersey into tuesday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Looks like it has an eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 heading S LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahofan Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 13 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: More wind than rain Thanks! Need the rain, like everybody else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
p626808 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 No movement thru Wed PM.. OMG... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Tuesday afternoon GFS essentially has it a hurricane again with a strong core of 60+ knot winds and an eye 125 miles east of ACY. This will be like 48 hours of strong wind and huge waves along the coast. Still very stingy on rain NW of SE NJ, Manhattan basically has enough at the end of it to wet the ground while ACY has 4". The ground being dry will help with the tree damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 On 18z GFS the low is STILL sitting off the coast @ 144 hours, u wut m8? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 5 minutes ago, Bacon Strips said: This GFS run warrants activation of the Emergency Broadcast System...if ya ask me. No need to blow this out of proportion...it has been well-covered by the NHC so far. Tropical storm warnings are posted up and down the coast for good reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 mt holly briefing just updated http://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 fyi, drought stressed trees are weak and more prone to damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 10 minutes ago, forkyfork said: fyi, drought stressed trees are weak and more prone to damage Was thinking about this. Are they more prone to damage but less prone to uprooting than saturated ones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Most trees uproot due to a combination of health status and ground saturation/soil conditions . Throw in full leaf out and you have the necessary ingredients. Limbs/crowns will snap off without up rooting though. Some trees will snap that appear outwardly healthy, only to be found hollowed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 When do the hurricane models come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 26 minutes ago, HailMan06 said: When do the hurricane models come out? The GFDL is way west of 12z, slams right into Salsbury Maryland before drifting slowly NE on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 4 minutes ago, Neblizzard said: The GFDL is way west of 12z, slams right into Salsbury Maryland before drifting slowly NE on Monday. Thank you. How would this impact our subforum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 Weather channel is starting to talk about this being as bad flooding wise like sandy.. I sure hope not.. I hope everyone in here stays safe.. i look forward to hearing everyone thoughts everyday. You guys are pretty damn good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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