MJO812 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Rgem crushes the jersey shore How is that possible when the RGEM only goes out 48 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Just now, NJwx85 said: Go away I'm here to make the NYC subforum great again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: 850s are warm and the boundary layer is torched. Dynamic cooling should get us most of the way there. Just look at those height falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 These ocean solutions are becoming dangerous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 70MPH winds at the immediate coast. TS force winds back to Trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Flooding rains with a very sharp cut off just south of Rt. 80. If this came 50 miles further North before occluding it wouldn't have rivaled Sandy, but it would have been on the same street in terms of local impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Dude, when did this happen? Rgem to 84? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 6-8 inches of rain for central and southern nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: 6-8 inches of rain for central and southern nj what about for around NYC/Westchester in terms of rain and wind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 From the 12z RGEM (Hermine retrogrades from hour 60 through hour 84): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Dude, when did this happen? Rgem to 84? Recently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Storm stalls right near CNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 11 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Storm stalls right near CNJ Just curious please tell me we are not looking at flooding, and or storm surge to the same extent as sandy or anywhere near that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 14 minutes ago, allgame830 said: what about for around NYC/Westchester in terms of rain and wind? .75 to 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: .75 to 2" more, less or same as last run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 CMC is also further north-has 6-8 inches of rain kissing the NJ and LI coasts - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: CMC is also further north-has 6-8 inches of rain kissing the NJ and LI coasts - It gets further north east then the GFS before it starts its hook backs towards the coast. It stalls just south of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 If the GFS happens the shore area would need to start evacuations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Currently surge forecasts show 3 feet along my area. Evacuations start at >4ft. A couple of high tide cycles with east component winds and that can change. I've been in touch with my local EMA COORDINATOR who thankfully is a very good model reader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 The shores would get annihilated by what the GFS and CMC are showing. The rain's needed but hopefully it comes without the damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: If the GFS happens the shore area would need to start evacuations As ominous as that run was, I thought the GFS storm depicted Hermine too weak once she arrives at our latitude. The Canadian was a good 10mbs stronger, and the EURO's last run was stronger than that. Those SST's mean business. Watch out for future runs of the GFS trend stronger with this storm, although the most important thing to watch is how far north Hermine can achieve before getting captured by the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 I got beer and a day off Sunday. I'm four blocks in from the water in Point Pleasant Beach. Really only expecting 20-30 mph winds and Some rain but the inlet should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 12z UKMET, not clear if it starts to retrograde or not but based on the 500mb setup I would say it's very similar to the GGEM with a wider turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: I'm here to make the NYC subforum great again You're a troll from New England that's looking to poo poo our hurricane party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: That looks to really hook into the coast between hours 72 and 78. It sure looks like the models are coming into a consensus that Hermine will retrograde, it's just a question where that will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 You're a troll from New England that's looking to poo poo our hurricane party There would have to be a hurricane to call it a hurricane party, no?And prefer the term aesthetically-challenged dwarf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 9 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 12z UKMET, not clear if it starts to retrograde or not but based on the 500mb setup I would say it's very similar to the GGEM with a wider turn. West of 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Just now, JC-CT said: There would have to be a hurricane to call it a hurricane party, no? And prefer the term aesthetically-challenged dwarf. So you're calling for a swift kick ots then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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