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September Obs/Disco Thread


H2O

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4 km RPM jackpots DC and N to PA/MD state line, FWIW. 

(RPM usually is a bit too high with rainfall totals, but does a semi-decent job in showing areas it to expect heavier rains. I wouldn't go with the 10"+ it shows, but more with it jackpotting someone and reinforces EskimoJoe's "narrow death band" and everyone else not getting much, especially SW of DC.) 

mgWeb_WRF_20160927-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00510000_PgeneralTotalPrecip_R4km.png

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54 minutes ago, WxReese said:

Mid to upper 70s around here (Charlottesville area) could get us a nice little storm. Of course, that would require some sunshine to get us that warm, but it's possible. Beyond that, it'll be interesting to see where the bands of rain set up Wednesday night through Friday morning. Models are hinting anywhere from Shenandoah Valley to Allentown, PA could be prime for some 6"+ rains. That will be localized, but would still be a big event given how dry we've been as of late. Anyone along the mountains from Greene County and north should also watch out for some higher rain amounts as winds at 850 are a bit more easterly than south of I-64. 

You need not worry about the Shenandoah Valley.

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1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

You got direcTV on that thing? I'm willing to throw in a couple slabs of ribs to get entry on the party ark.

Yep, already got the dish tuned in. Show up with a UVa, VT, or Vikings hat on, admission is free.  Anything else, you pay a quarter.

1 hour ago, wxdude64 said:

Two of every beer?

Times 100.

53 minutes ago, smokeybandit said:

2 lagers, 2 IPAs, 2 stouts, 2 porters, 2 sours, 2 hefes, though there was a stray stout and pale ale that are shacking up, but they can stay.

We don't discriminate.

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From the Flash Flood Watch that is in effect for pretty much all of the LWX CWA:

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL
  DROP SOUTHWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. AS
  THE UPPER LOW DROPS SOUTHWARD...LOW LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO
  RAPIDLY INCREASE OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT RESULTING IN
  SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE AREA. PERIODS OF HEAVY
  RAINFALL ARE ANTICIPATED LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
  NIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC. THE PERIOD OF MOST
  INTENSE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER TOTALS IN AREAS OF REPEATED
  ACTIVITY. EASTERN SLOPES OF MOUNTAINS SUCH AS THE NORTHERN BLUE
  RIDGE AND CATOCTIN MOUNTAIN ALSO HAVE AN INCREASED RISK FOR
  HIGHER RAIN TOTALS.

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