ouamber Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 9 minutes ago, Cerakoter1984 said: I wish I wouldn't get in trouble for posting euro images here. Pm me and I'll tell you a good place to see them if you would like to see them. I just PMd you!! Thanks for responding:) Winter weather and Oklahoma weather in general has been fascinating to me, so I always love to learn new things:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 I had to updrade my flizzard to a dusting!! Yay. I Just woke up to snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 06z GFS says... there is supposed to be a Christmas event? I didn't get the memo. Meanwhile: low this morning was 0º. Brr... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 1 hour ago, Wx 24/7 said: 06z GFS says... there is supposed to be a Christmas event? I didn't get the memo. Meanwhile: low this morning was 0º. Brr... Nice and warm 4F here this morning .lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 It was -2 earlier this morning. Up to a balmy 4 or so now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 12z GFS has a storm, but it's farther north than the 00z run. 12z GEM has a storm as well, but it looks like it's going to be even farther north since it's stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 Not a lot of agreement on the GFS ensemble members through Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 41 minutes ago, JoMo said: Not a lot of agreement on the GFS ensemble members through Christmas. Umm yeah, I'd like an order of e9 please, hold the sleet, and no I wouldn't like any freezing rain with that. Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 12z Euro is going to be well NW of us for the Christmas storm. Low over N KS moves to Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 1 minute ago, JoMo said: 12z Euro is going to be well NW of us for the Christmas storm. Low over N KS moves to Iowa. Yeah. Looks a lot like GEFS e6. Next..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 I'll take the Para-GFS as a nice compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 14 minutes ago, Wx 24/7 said: I'll take the Para-GFS as a nice compromise. You looking at the 06 or 12z Para GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 Hope that any potential storm either stays all rain in KC or holds off until after Christmas night... going to the chiefs game Christmas night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 7 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Hope that any potential storm either stays all rain in KC or holds off until after Christmas night... going to the chiefs game Christmas night. You're no fun. Snow games are the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 I agree. Football with snow is entertaining. There are some rather large spreads with the ensembles right now...more so with the Christmas potential than with the storm that just moved out. I'll be in southwest MO several days before and after Christmas so my focus will naturally shift more towards that area in the days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 51 minutes ago, The Waterboy said: You looking at the 06 or 12z Para GFS? 12z. Main show is well north but a couple of inches is better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 IF there is a storm it will track NW of most of us here. I dont see it changing anytime soon. Anything that comes out of the rockies will track like this.. its just based on history. I would love to be in C/W Kansas to Iowa. I hope for some kind of overrunning event this winter bout best as its gonna be. Just sayin how I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 All but like 3-4 of the 12z Euro ensembles 51 members have the snow well to the NW for the Christmas system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 5 minutes ago, JoMo said: All but like 3-4 of the 12z Euro ensembles 51 members have the snow well to the NW for the Christmas system. Hate to say this (seriously), but the Euro would probably bring a threat of severe weather into SW MO, based on everything I'm looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 13 minutes ago, Spot said: IF there is a storm it will track NW of most of us here. I dont see it changing anytime soon. Anything that comes out of the rockies will track like this.. its just based on history. I would love to be in C/W Kansas to Iowa. I hope for some kind of overrunning event this winter bout best as its gonna be. Just sayin how I see it. Negative PNA with no blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 42 minutes ago, andyhb said: Hate to say this (seriously), but the Euro would probably bring a threat of severe weather into SW MO, based on everything I'm looking at. I could see a new years eve 2010 type setup happening there now that you mentioned it. I don't trust the Euro yet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 18z GFS looks to be heading north as well. Nice rainy Christmas I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 29 minutes ago, JoMo said: 18z GFS looks to be heading north as well. Nice rainy Christmas I guess. There will be 28 more solutions between now and then. There will be at least a couple to perk us up before dashing our hopes for real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 At this point I would even take rain, it's been an incredibly dry fall, so we could really use it. I'd rather have a foot of snow that slowly melts but an inch of rain will work too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 1 hour ago, JoMo said: 18z GFS looks to be heading north as well. Nice rainy Christmas I guess. Yea looks warm and rainy right now BLEH! This is crushing my holiday mood again lol. Last night was awesome(wow cant believe I am saying that over half an inch of snow lmao). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Going to be a lot of changes in the forecasts with that cut-off low lurking off the SW coast for the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 And it might be doubly tricky if the forecasted trough itself evolves into a cutoff low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Well, the 00z GFS is going to have the Christmas storm snowfall in the Dakotas this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 5 minutes ago, JoMo said: Well, the 00z GFS is going to have the Christmas storm snowfall in the Dakotas this run. Terrible run for any of us who are wanting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 00z GEM is going to be a NW KS/NEB/IA type of snow track. The GEM is usually closer to the Euro since I think they use the same initialization scheme. Still sucks for us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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