JoMo Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 12z Euro is a bit farther east with the weekend precip this run compared to last night. All still really light though so not much difference, could probably just call it 'flurries'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 Really drizzly out. Temp was 34 now its spiked up to 40 and started drizzling pretty good here. Tulsa just mentioned it but saying its freezing drizzle lol. Maybe in other areas still hovering around the freezing mark who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 24 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: Really drizzly out. Temp was 34 now its spiked up to 40 and started drizzling pretty good here. Tulsa just mentioned it but saying its freezing drizzle lol. Maybe in other areas still hovering around the freezing mark who knows. Yea some drizzle here to but its 39 degrees here also. It did mess up i-44 around Tulsa Metro for an hour or 2 this morning with alot of cars in accidents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 NWS tulsa has essentially become the government subsidized version of AccuWeather over the last couple of years. They're pretty pathetic nowadays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 12z Euro was again pretty darn boring. I'm not sure if Spot's Christmas miracle is going to happen on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 Just now, Cerakoter1984 said: NWS tulsa has essentially become the government subsidized version of AccuWeather over the last couple of years. They're pretty pathetic nowadays. I agree, I noticed it since moving here how horrible their forecasts really are!!! I just didnt wanna be too negative but, its true. I want some of what they are smokin most times lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 Just now, JoMo said: 12z Euro was again pretty darn boring. I'm not sure if Spot's Christmas miracle is going to happen on the Euro Doesnt shock me at all, way way too far out to get my hopes up for something like that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 1 minute ago, NwWhiteOut said: Doesnt shock me at all, way way too far out to get my hopes up for something like that lol. Yea but sure is nice to look at some digital snow for Christmas. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 7 minutes ago, Spot said: Yea but sure is nice to look at some digital snow for Christmas. lol Man we all use that word "digital" a lot it seems anymore lol. It's still early man I am sure it will change again, many times lol ya know. I too would love some snow though, I havent seen a white xmas since 2009(and that was the only time I ever seen one lol). Had a little snow on xmas eve when I was probly 19 but that was a longggg time ago lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC metro Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 I'm originally from Alabama and just moved up here earlier this year. I've seen a white Christmas once in my lifetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 27 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: Man we all use that word "digital" a lot it seems anymore lol. It's still early man I am sure it will change again, many times lol ya know. I too would love some snow though, I havent seen a white xmas since 2009(and that was the only time I ever seen one lol). Had a little snow on xmas eve when I was probly 19 but that was a longggg time ago lol Only seen one here to. Seen a few ICE Christmas though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 52 minutes ago, KC metro said: I'm originally from Alabama and just moved up here earlier this year. I've seen a white Christmas once in my lifetime. The xmas eve snow I remember was when I lived in NJ, grew up and was raised there most of my life. Now that I think of it there was about 5" of snow on the ground xmas day when I lived in Kansas City back in ehhh 02 I think it was, may have been 2001 though. I guess it depends on what someone considers a white xmas, to me its cold and actually snowing on xmas day lol. Been probly 3 or so times I remember there actually being snow on the ground on xmas though. My friend in Iowa said its a white xmas just about every year up his way!! He hates it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 Nothing shocking on the 12z Euro ensembles. A lot of them had a frontal passage near or on Christmas so it could either be warm or cold depending on timing. Still a rather meh pattern through the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 7 minutes ago, JoMo said: Nothing shocking on the 12z Euro ensembles. A lot of them had a frontal passage near or on Christmas so it could either be warm or cold depending on timing. Still a rather meh pattern through the end of the month. Meh I hope that changes, Last year was bad enough with 49 at xmas lol. I do NOT want to see or feel that again haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 4 hours ago, Cerakoter1984 said: NWS tulsa has essentially become the government subsidized version of AccuWeather over the last couple of years. They're pretty pathetic nowadays. That is a pretty strong statement. Please clarify. From my armchair perspective they are pretty good at severe weather, not so much at snow. Strictly anecdotal observation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 To believe or not to believe lol. Man rain and 50 on wednesday, cmon now seriously 50 degrees again in december BOOOOO Saturday A slight chance of snow and sleet after 1pm. Cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 30 by 5pm. Southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Saturday Night A slight chance of snow and sleet before 7pm, then a chance of snow between 7pm and 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 8. North wind 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Tilted again tonight so precip was farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Man these models amaze me at how much flopping they do! Probly will not know anything until tomorrow sometime, hell it could even be saturday lol. They are having some difficulties for sure huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 00z Euro increased precip amounts a bit from SW KS up to NW MO around the KC area. A NW shift from the previous run. Still a light event in any case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Saw a "Moon Dog" up here in western Iowa (probably also visible further south right now). Never seen that before so I had to Google it because it looked really similar to a Sun Dog. I wanted to get a picture but didn't want my food to get even more cold but a friend of mine did and for a phone camera turned out really well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC metro Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 The GFS and Euro seem to want to ramp up the snow in a small band on Saturday around the KC area or just slightly southwest. Most areas should see an 1" or so but in this band (should it develop) there could be 2-3". Of course, this is subject to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 16 hours ago, Ozarkwx said: That is a pretty strong statement. Please clarify. From my armchair perspective they are pretty good at severe weather, not so much at snow. Strictly anecdotal observation. They're incredibly erratic. Basically almost post model outcomes to the exact number. They miss at least 3 tornado warnings in far east and SE oklahoma every year it seems like. I've just always thought that if they want to criticize amateurs and enthusiasts for discussing weather through public outlets, they should do a better job. Same and similar statements apply to the CPC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Watching each GFS run is frustrating. The band looks fairly impressive in KS and Nothern MO. 6 hours later it falls apart right in the corner of NW AR. Mother Nature must hate me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 36 minutes ago, The Waterboy said: Watching each GFS run is frustrating. The band looks fairly impressive in KS and Nothern MO. 6 hours later it falls apart right in the corner of NW AR. Mother Nature must hate me... Yep, it's annoying, so is the -PNA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 12Z GFS really blows up snow totals with the Christmas Eve storm, mainly across KS though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC metro Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 The 12z GFS still looks pretty good with widespread 1" snow totals across KS and MO with some 2-3" totals in a narrow band across eastern KC and north central MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 I'm so sick of seeing storms become cutters. It just doesn't matter anymore it seems like. Nino=NW shift. Niña? NW shift. Unreal. Same pattern so far as last year, just colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Bit farther south this run on the 12z Euro with the weekend snow. Not really going to change amounts though. Heavier stuff (an inch or two) back in central and SW KS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Not liking the warm up Im seeing on the extended outlook at all!!! Man I really hope it doesn't happen, let it wait a week til after Christmas jeeesh. I need something to put me in the holiday mood lol. Jomo what does Spots surprise storm look like still for xmas lol, probly nothing or rain at this point haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 7 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: Not liking the warm up Im seeing on the extended outlook at all!!! Man I really hope it doesn't happen, let it wait a week til after Christmas jeeesh. I need something to put me in the holiday mood lol. Jomo what does Spots surprise storm look like still for xmas lol, probly nothing or rain at this point haha. Well the 12z GEM is way west and rain for pretty much everyone. The 12z GFS is rain for us, but snow for central and western KS. The 12z Euro is moving a system across northern Kansas, so rain as well. Weeklies later today to see when we might break up the +AO, +EPO look and if we ever get rid of the -PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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