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Yearly hurricane forecast that is put out


Animal

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Serious question - Any input on the lack of significant land falling hurricanes in the gulf and east coast the past few years. Good news for the obvious reasons, but I enjoy tracking the "big ones".  Seems we went from getting hammered for a few years to basically below normal.

The most active time of the year is occurring now through October.  Can't tell what occurs the remainder of this year.

Are we dealing with new ocean  water/temp currents or something else. 

Sandy recovery still pops up in the local news a few times a year locally in the NYC metro area.

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Serious answer - The predictability of land-falling tropical systems is still it's infancy due to many factors not easily solved. Factors such as robust understandings of ocean/atmos interactions and global teleconnections, limited data sources, and computing power.  Hopefully we'll get a devastating land-falling cane soon, tho.    

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On August 28, 2016 at 8:10 AM, isohume said:

Serious answer - The predictability of land-falling tropical systems is still it's infancy due to many factors not easily solved. Factors such as robust understandings of ocean/atmos interactions and global teleconnections, limited data sources, and computing power.  Hopefully we'll get a devastating land-falling cane soon, tho.    

Can't tell if your answer was lol.

point is, every year is supposed to be active with 2-5 mainland strikes.

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