RogueWaves Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 On 9/24/2016 at 10:42 AM, Jonger said: Fantasy land. Snapshot of our upcoming winter?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Dewpoint has been as low as 32 this afternoon. Almost 40 degrees less than yesterday. DVN has put out a special weather statement in regards to high fire danger in area farmland. Crops are dry now, so conditions have become favorable for quickly spreading fires if they were to be ignited. A month ago the farmland was about as flammable as Lake Michigan, so a dramatic change to the landscape since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Finally feeling and smelling like fall here. Overcast and damp all day, rain puddles still on the ground, and the smell of trees in the air. Should have our first sub-70 high since May and our coldest night tonight since mid-May as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Nice day... actually feels a little cool when the winds kick up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Looks like our 70 and above streak will end today, max of 69 earlier in the hour currently 68. Might break the 50 or above low streak tonight as well. Good run nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Just now, Jonger said: This will be my 8th night below 50 this month. You also live in the sticks and about 40 miles from here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Just now, Stebo said: You also live in the sticks and about 40 miles from here... I deleted the post. It will only be 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Just now, Jonger said: I deleted the post. It will only be 6. Still your area isn't a representation of the airport and vice versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Just now, Stebo said: Still your area isn't a representation of the airport and vice versa. Not gonna argue that. I'm scanning Wundermaps to see a few PWS's just outside the built up area to get a general idea of the area without the pavement. PWS's are good for low temps, they suck for high temps. Just for fun anyhow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 1 minute ago, Jonger said: Not gonna argue that. I'm scanning Wundermaps to see a few PWS's just outside the built up area to get a general idea of the area without the pavement. PWS's are good for low temps, they suck for high temps. Just for fun anyhow. It depends how calibrated they are, plus your airport in town would have a better representation with better equipment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 Just now, Stebo said: It depends how calibrated they are, plus your airport in town would have a better representation with better equipment. I default to KOZW for climate. My own PWS's are just for S&Gs. Lansing is a better official climate site for my location than DTW, so I generally reference that if we are talking official numbers. Howell is sort of in no man's land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 Good mixing brought dews down to 29˚ for a short time here yesterday. Almost felt like a shock after really muggy summer. Tomorrow might be a little raw with temps struggling to hit 60˚, and with on and off showers. But, it's about that time of the year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 1 minute ago, Chicago WX said: Good mixing brought dews down to 29˚ for a short time here yesterday. Almost felt like a shock after really muggy summer. Tomorrow might be a little raw with temps struggling to hit 60˚, and with on and off showers. But, it's about that time of the year... Yep, a typical autumn low closing off and meandering around, creating some less than pleasant weather. Might be a little fire weather issue today with low dews and gusty winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 47 with rain and wind. It's been in the 40's for over 24 hours. With the wind, the damp chill has penetrated everything it feels like... Windchill has dipped into the upper 30's at times even. Reality is sinking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 3 minutes ago, weatherbo said: 47 with rain and wind. It's been in the 40's for over 24 hours. With the wind, the damp chill has penetrated everything it feels like... Windchill has dipped into the upper 30's at times even. Reality is sinking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 The Cedar River had been forecast to crest at 25.5 ft, then gradually lowered to 24 and 23. This morning the nws caved again and dropped it to 22. It appears to be cresting now at about 21.9 ft. The temporary levies that were built should easily do the job and it appears for most people in the flood zone this will only be an inconvenience. The 2008 flood crested at 31 ft thanks to last-minute heavy rain/flash flooding and caught the city by surprise. The current flood is nothing compared to 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 not a bad early season lake induced instability event on tap for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: not a bad early season lake induced instability event on tap for tomorrow Yep. Beyond tomorrow as well as this setup looks pretty prolonged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 check out the temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 today already delivering wind whipped soaker, funnels off shore, best climo Upper level low pressure that is very well defined on water vapor imagery will gradually pinwheel south through tonight. 850 mb temperatures in the single digits causing steep low level lapse rates as well as broad large scale ascent will favor isolated to scattered brief showers inland. Near the lake, an impressive lake effect/thermodynamic setup is in place with equilibrium levels over 20kft AGl and at or above 500 j/kg of lake induced CAPE. This is due to the aforementioned cold temperatures aloft over the still mild lake waters (69F at the south buoy). As result, periods of banded lake effect showers and even the potential for an isolated rumble of thunder. Furthermore, the thermodynamic setup is also very favorable for waterspouts, with some observed relatively close to shore this morning and this continued potential exists into the evening. RC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Gotta love this radar loopty loop http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=IND-N0Q-1-48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 One of the better looking LER bands you'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Yeah, easily the best lake effect thunderstorm I've experienced. Loud thunder, quality gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Yeah, easily the best lake effect thunderstorm I've experienced. Loud thunder, quality gusts.Looks nice in the distance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Nice color Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Looked legit moving in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 lol, HDR with moving vehicles can be problematic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 Hey guys, been lurking for a year or so. Just wanted to say hi and that I will likely start posting more frequently! Anyways, been loving the weather lately. Got up to 62 F today here in Champaign, but really felt much cooler with that stout NW wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 1 hour ago, LoveSN+ said: Hey guys, been lurking for a year or so. Just wanted to say hi and that I will likely start posting more frequently! Anyways, been loving the weather lately. Got up to 62 F today here in Champaign, but really felt much cooler with that stout NW wind. This is a very pro-snow forum, you will be right at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 Very dynamic system. Just got some thunder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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