USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 Models are close bringing in the 0C line at 850mb into New England by day 14. Also a massive rain event early this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 2 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Models are close bringing in the 0C line at 850mb into New England by day 14. Also a massive rain event early this week. It was practically over everyone's heads today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Could be a damp several days coming up after today. I feel like it's been years since I could last say that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Seems most rain is Eastern Mass with this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 It looks all around between tomorrow and next Monday. It's also going to be very chilly for highs after tomorrow. I'm seeing some optimistic temps on some long range forecasts for this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Seems most rain is Eastern Mass with this setup I'm curious as to why you cheer on drought for your backyard. Is drought exciting? I guess desperate times call for desperate measures when you're in a damage lull like you've been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: I'm curious as to why you cheer on drought for your backyard. Is drought exciting? I guess desperate times call for desperate measures when you're in a damage lull like you've been. Not cheering it on...Just not seeing these soakers you are Dave Epstein @growingwisdom 3h3 hours ago Dave Epstein Retweeted Todd Gutner Just a continuation of the dry summer's frustration. Dave Epstein added, Todd Gutner @ToddWCSH I fear this is going to be a frustrating week...lots of clouds but very little rain. 0 retweets3 likes Reply Retweet Like 3 More Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: It looks all around between tomorrow and next Monday. It's also going to be very chilly for highs after tomorrow. I'm seeing some optimistic temps on some long range forecasts for this week. Like this one ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 39 minutes ago, scoob40 said: Like this one ? Yeah. If we get sun somehow, you guys may do a bit better....but on the more rainer solutions..many models had you struggling for 60. That's a stout high supplying cool air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Quite the miserable stretch on the GFS midweek through the weekend. Sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Just now, dendrite said: Quite the miserable stretch on the GFS midweek through the weekend. Sign me up. Yep. Not that I want days of clouds, but we need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Wait...we are not having a warm week. I was told we were. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 5 hours ago, dendrite said: I'm curious as to why you cheer on drought for your backyard. Is drought exciting? I guess desperate times call for desperate measures when you're in a damage lull like you've been. Snows always get back to at least "The River" during the winter, but when in drought the rain stays on the coast. This is all in the operating manual on page 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yep. Not that I want days of clouds, but we need it. Hopefully you guys get some good rains. I'm still in full sun and 70/50 mode through the end of our summer operations on October 16th. Damp chilly days not as much fun. Would take another 3 weeks like September 1-21 with mean highs near 74F. Some days sneak lower 80s, others 60s, but most in the 70s. That was truly perfect outdoor weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Yep. Not that I want days of clouds, but we need it. It would be ok as long as it actually rains. Days and days of dreary with .25" - .5" to show for it doesn't really interest me. Watch Ginx get 2" and NW MA get .25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 34 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It would be ok as long as it actually rains. Days and days of dreary with .25" - .5" to show for it doesn't really interest me. Watch Ginx get 2" and NW MA get .25" Which is exactly what's being shown. Given the forecast configuration, one would at least expect an extended period of low clouds, fog, and drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 51 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It would be ok as long as it actually rains. Days and days of dreary with .25" - .5" to show for it doesn't really interest me. Watch Ginx get 2" and NW MA get .25" pattern favors you. Pool closed today, was 61 when I got in it. Air temperature was 63. We winterizing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 I'm seeing a gradual shift away from the dry pattern which already is noticeable in sensible wx. Good timing too given our approach to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 1 hour ago, weathafella said: I'm seeing a gradual shift away from the dry pattern which already is noticeable in sensible wx. Good timing too given our approach to winter. I was thinking the same thing, that it's nice to start seeing precip on more frequent basis as we move towards winter. Still more improvement needed though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 10-day GFS totals are pretty solid haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 what i find interesting about the last 7 to 10 days of operational subtleties is in the handling of the WPO --> NP ...and how that may have transmitted forcing eastward around the middle latitudes ...all the way to the Americas, in the models. prior to 10 days ago, there was a series of comparatively weaker TCs over the west Pacific that curled into the westerlies, and within days of that ..ensuing tempos in the model depictions began showing more western heights/-EPO. now...that tendency is all but vanished, and we are back to the troughing into B.C. and northern Rockies fast flow aloft. in the aftermath of model's impressions of reality ... I'm wondering if we now will ever see those western heights/-EPO; could still happen, as it was slated to do so in nearing the end of the first week of October so we'll see... but, the last of those western Pac entities completed absorption last week, and now... the models have been gradually redesigning the flow more akin to the [apparent] base-line pattern of higher heights from TX - FL. etc... the short version is .. perhaps the models 'over-assessed' the forcing of those TC entity's latent heat fluxes, and now that those are no longer present they merely return to the previous dynamic - when and which by circumstance, they did not have to account for those variables. I find that fascinating. goes -EPO's based upon over-zealous reaction of tropical forcing? perhaps - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 On 9/27/2016 at 10:25 AM, powderfreak said: 10-day GFS totals are pretty solid haha. And the latest gfs gives my area about a tithe of what's shown here. Tuesday's 0.18" brought us past the 1" threshold for the month, but both the Sandy and Kennebec Rivers are at record low flows for the date. No low-precip monthly records, but the deficit has been building for a while - last month to reach my average precip was February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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