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September 2016 Discussion/Obs


Rtd208

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18 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

Spot on here, I'm in the .30"-.50" zone, and got around .33"

Common theme since spring 2015 with the heaviest precip missing to our south. We are really lucky the January blizzard and the February

snowstorm trended north and west bucking the trend.

 

16.png

 

AnnDec15PDeptNRCC.png

 

 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Common theme since spring 2015 with the heaviest precip missing to our south. We are really lucky the January blizzard and the February

snowstorm trended north and west bucking the trend.

 

16.png

 

AnnDec15PDeptNRCC.png

 

 

Hopefully this trend breaks as we head into fall and winter. I picked up 0.82" of rain today, better then nothing but certainly not enough to make a dent in the drought.

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16 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Hopefully this trend breaks as we head into fall and winter. I picked up 0.82" of rain today, better then nothing but certainly not enough to make a dent in the drought.

We have really been lucking out during the winters. I never would have though after the 97,98,99, and 00 winters that we would begin the epic snowfall run since 00-01.

 

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Common theme since spring 2015 with the heaviest precip missing to our south. We are really lucky the January blizzard and the February

snowstorm trended north and west bucking the trend.

 

16.png

 

AnnDec15PDeptNRCC.png

 

 

 

I agree.  The Blizzard last year was an amazing break in the trend.  This dryness is reminding me of last Fall with some trees starting to get brown and drop their leaves.  Luckily this isn't too widespread around here.

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On 9/20/2016 at 6:41 AM, bluewave said:

It looks like several locations are going to see 4 days in a row of 80 degrees or higher. This hasn't happened from September 20th or later since 2010.

Year..consecutive 80+ Max.
1881..9/23-9/28......6...91
1891..10/3-10/5......3...86
1895..9/20-9/23......4...97
1898..10/3-10/5......3...81
1905..9/28-9/30......3...88
1914..9/20-9/24......5...95
1920..9/23-9/26......4...88
1921..9/28-9/30......3...87
1922..9/30-10/3......4...88
1927..9/30-10/2......3...90
1930..9/20-9/26......7...87
1934..9/23-9/27......5...83
1941..9/21-9/23......3...91
1941..10/4-10/6......3...94
1946..9/25-9/27......3...83
1946..10/4-10/7......4...87
1948..9/27-9/29......3...84
1949..10/9-10/12....4...88
1950..10/1-10/3......3...86
1951..9/19-9/23......5...85
1954..10/1-10/4......4...86
1954..10/11-10/14..4...87
1959..9/21-9/24......4...90
1959..9/27-9/30......4...83
1959..10/4-10/6......3...88
1961..9/22-9/25......4...90
1965..9/21-9/23......3...88
1968..9/17-9/26....10...87
1968..10/1-10/3......3...85
1970..9/21-9/26......6...94
1972..9/25-9/27......3...86
1980..9/21-9/23......3...94
1984..9/23-9/25......3...86
2004..9/21-9/23......3...82

2005..9/01-9/23....23...92
2007..9/25-9/27......3...87
2007..10/4-10/8......5...87
2010..9/22-9/25......4...89

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1 hour ago, Morris said:

Not 30's?

If that were to verify - which I'm not sure that it will, given it would be a +3 standard deviation type event - then yes, suburbia temperatures could conceivably approach freeze/32F levels assuming winds decoupled. However, my guess at this juncture is our coolest 850's will be closer to +3 to +5 in this period, which is still impressive and would deliver some 30s in the valleys with patchy frost probably.

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