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September 2016 Discussion/Obs


Rtd208

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18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Maybe some rainfall enhancement on Monday if that Julia high PWAT PRE-like feature  verifies while she sits off the SE Coast and the front approaches.

 

ecmwf_pwat_slp_east_15.png

 

Really hope that verifies, the GFS is also fairly wet with amounts between 1-2" especially for the northern areas where it is needed more.

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10 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Really hope that verifies, the GFS is also fairly wet with amounts between 1-2" especially for the northern areas where it is needed more.

I am with you on that one as several locations haven't seen an inch of rain in a single event since July. Just hoping that the band of best

potential training comes far enough east if the event verifies.

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20 hours ago, BlizzardNYC said:

Going to the NY Giants game on Sunday 1pm at Met Life stadium i know rain is forcasted for this time frame can anyone tell me who has access to models if it a heavy rain wash out type or just a few light showers thanks in advance just want to know if I need the rain gear or if it's going to be a passing shower type deal

Euro has scatter showers in the afternoon for the game. The heavy steady rain comes Sunday night 

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39 minutes ago, Isotherm said:

 

Fairly good RC at your new location it seems PSV. Before, IIRC, your lows were usually at least 5-6F warmer than me.

Yea about 3 degrees cooler out here than my old place in western Nassau County. Pws is also better sited. The old place was on a small hill and closer to the LI sound (1.5 miles)..now I'm in a flat plain 7-8 miles from the sound. Nearly ideal RC conditions.

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NYC has no temps lower than 60 so far...The latest date for the first 59 or lower temp starting August 1st is September 17th 1947...Tomorrow 2016 will tie that record and the next day break it...the first 50's are getting later and later...

9/17/1947

9/16/2016

9/15/1966

9/14/2015

9/14/1996

9/13/2014

9/13/1905

 

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7 hours ago, uncle W said:

NYC has no temps lower than 60 so far...The latest date for the first 59 or lower temp starting August 1st is September 17th 1947...Tomorrow 2016 will tie that record and the next day break it...the first 50's are getting later and later...

9/17/1947

9/16/2016

9/15/1966

9/14/2015

9/14/1996

9/13/2014

9/13/1905

 

Down to 65 as of 8pm. Slight chance they make it tonight

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11 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Down to 65 as of 8pm. Slight chance they make it tonight

Last I saw the Park was 60. So its a 50 50 chance they touch the 50s. Lots of PWS in the 5 boros are in the 50s mainly eastern Queens. (SI too but they usually have suburban like overnight lows anyway)

60 here.

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19 hours ago, uncle W said:

NYC has no temps lower than 60 so far...The latest date for the first 59 or lower temp starting August 1st is September 17th 1947...Tomorrow 2016 will tie that record and the next day break it...the first 50's are getting later and later...

9/17/1947

9/16/2016

9/15/1966

9/14/2015

9/14/1996

9/13/2014

9/13/1905

 

I see 59 at Central Park at 6am

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Warm September patterns in the 2000's.

Warmest September mins at NYC:

59...2016...so far

57...1910

56...2015...1921

54...2010...2002...1982...1960...1891

53...2012...1994...1968...1881

52...2014...2004..other years

51...2011...2008....and other years

50...2007...2005...2003...2001...and other years

 

 

the warm waters in the Atlantic could have some say in how cool it gets on the coast...it's only recently the September minimums are going up each year on average...I remember September 1963 which is a top ten coolest September and it seemed like there was a record low set once a week...It had the second earliest 49 degree temp on record with a max in the mid 50's...

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