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Hermine

LakeEffectKing

By LakeEffectKing,
in Tropical Headquarters

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superjames1992

superjames1992

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, jojo762 said:

TLH measuring 90+ mph winds at 200ft. 

One thing to note about TLH is that the airport is located on the SW periphery of the town (adjacent to the Appalachicola National Forest), for those who are not familiar with the local geography.  The airport is also significantly lower in elevation than the town (81 ft vs 200+ ft).  Big winds, for sure.  Could be even worse in eastern parts of TLH.  I live in the northeast part of town where US319 meets I-10.

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so_whats_happening

so_whats_happening

Posted
Posted
Quote

KTLH 020553Z A2925 RMK AO2 RAEMM TSB0459E14 SLPNO P0019 60134 56085 $
KTLH 020520Z A2922 RMK AO2 RAEMM TSB0459E14 P0019 $
KTLH 020506Z TS 24/ A2922 RMK AO2 RAEMM TSB0459 P0019 T0244 $
KTLH 020459Z 1/2SM +TSRA 24/ A2923 RMK AO2 TSB59 PRESFR P0019 T0244 $
KTLH 020453Z 3/4SM +RA BKN010 OVC015 24/ A2927 RMK AO2 PK WND 01038/0425 PRESFR SLP909 P0025 T0244 402720239 $
KTLH 020424Z 02023G35KT 3SM RA BR FEW009 BKN015 OVC027 25/24 A2933 RMK AO2 PK WND 03035/0420 PRESFR P0012 T02500239 $
KTLH 020359Z 3SM RA BR FEW009 BKN013 OVC031 25/24 A2938 RMK AO2 PRESFR P0002 T02500239
KTLH 020353Z 4SM RA BR SCT011 BKN018 OVC035 25/24 A2939 RMK AO2 PK WND 05038/0325 SLP951 P0017 T02500239
KTLH 020345Z 3SM RA BR SCT011 BKN018 OVC033 25/24 A2940 RMK AO2 PK WND 05038/0325 PRESFR P0016 T02500239
KTLH 020303Z 04019G34KT 3SM +RA BR BKN013 OVC037 25/24 A2949 RMK AO2 PK WND 04034/0255 PRESFR P0002 T02500239
KTLH 020253Z 04017G29KT 4SM RA BR SCT013 SCT023 OVC044 25/24 A2951 RMK AO2 PK WND 04031/0240 PRESFR SLP991 P0004 60073 T02500239 58053
KTLH 020240Z 04019G31KT 9SM -RA SCT013 BKN028 OVC048 25/24 A2953 RMK AO2 PK WND 04031/0240 PRESFR P0001 T02500239
KTLH 020206Z 10SM -RA SCT018 BKN048 OVC095 25/24 A2957 RMK AO2 P0000 T02500239
KTLH 020153Z 6SM -RA BR FEW013 BKN021 OVC029 25/24 A2957 RMK AO2 PK WND 04033/0146 SLP012 P0034 T02500239
KTLH 020134Z 05021G30KT 3SM +RA BR FEW011 OVC023 24/24 A2958 RMK AO2 PK WND 06031/0117 PRESFR P0031 T02440239
KTLH 020127Z 05018G30KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR FEW011 OVC023 24/24 A2959 RMK AO2 PK WND 06031/0117 PRESFR P0024 T02440239 $
KTLH 020119Z 05018G31KT 2SM +RA BR FEW011 BKN029 OVC075 24/23 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 06031/0117 P0011 T02440233 $
KTLH 020101Z 06020G31KT 7SM -RA SCT018 BKN045 OVC085 24/23 A2962 RMK AO2 PK WND 06031/0101 P0002 T02440233 $

TLH seems to be having some issues

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Baroclinic Zone

Baroclinic Zone

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Epicnova said:

Am I gonna get something interesting from Hermine here in SE New England (Providence RI area) Or should I just not bother with it anymore?

Depends upon your location.  If you live along the South Coast/ Cape/ Islands we should see some pretty gusty conditions given the pressure gradient alone.  20-40+ gusts starting on Sunday and into Monday I would guess and maybe longer if the thing continues to wobble around midweek and eventually slide out S of us.  Rains likely won't be prolific but we may see a solid slug of rain along the southern area of New England.

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NJwx85

NJwx85

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:

Watching the http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=CLX-N0Q-1-24 radar he looks like he's trying to sneak back out over the water.

Some of the short term models, HRRR for example have this offshore by 02z. Even if she skirts the coast there, all of that land between Savannah and Charleston is wetlands. 

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Jackstraw

Jackstraw

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Hermine is a she.

I knew I should've stayed gender neutral!  I just thought if she was a she her name would be Hemine :weenie:, plus you'd think I would've known that since my last name is Garcia lol.  Thanks for the clarification:D  

Back on topic since the NHC doesn't expect transitioning to begin for another 48 hrs and if SHE get's back over water in the next few hours south of CLX if she could retain her warm core longer than they thought and maybe even strengthen sooner than they thought.

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peffertz08

peffertz08

Posted
Posted

I'm starting to get concerned about Norfolk/Hampton Roads. Won't Hermine be a fairly significant flooding event for that area?

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=AKQ

All the forecasts I've heard other than the NWS say just minor coastal flooding...

Am I overestimating the effects of a 3 foot+ storm surge?


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

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PSLwx

PSLwx

Posted
Posted

From a FB post; adds some insights to those SurgeCam pix last night:

Cedar Key Bed and Breakfast

Update from hurricane Hermine...
To all my family, friends, and my very special guests who have stayed and will be coming to the Bed and Breakfast

Cedar Key was hit very hard from the surge. The surge was somewhere around 6-11 feet. Many of the shops and restaurants downtown have flood damage. There is debris everywhere and private docks uprooted. Some of the roads have been washed out and there is a beached whale and dolphin along Airport Rd. The Faraway Inn across the street from me had some of the walls on there lower units taken out. All in all the Hermine hurricane did a lot of damage though out our special town.
I have been blessed that the Bed and Breakfast was not affected in any way along with my townhouse. All is well there.
It will take some time to get Cedar Key back on tract but Cedar Key is tough and things will be restored as fast as possible.
Please do not hesitate to call us or make reservations. We will let you know what businesses are up and running when you contact us.
Thank you for your loyalty and business!
God bless you all and please pray for a fast
recovery.
Alice

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ApacheTrout

ApacheTrout

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Tibet said:

Am I missing something here or does the NHC have this restrengthening in not a "post tropical" hurricane on Monday?

No, you are not missing something.  From the NHC discussion: 

Note that the NHC forecast shows Hermine as a post-tropical cyclone
in about 48 hours, but model fields do not show it undergoing a
full extratropical transition, as it instead appears to acquire a
warm seclusion structure.  There is a possibility that the system
could regain some tropical characteristics in 4-5 days, but this
remains uncertain
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Tibet

Tibet

Posted
Posted
57 minutes ago, ApacheTrout said:

No, you are not missing something.  From the NHC discussion: 


Note that the NHC forecast shows Hermine as a post-tropical cyclone
in about 48 hours, but model fields do not show it undergoing a
full extratropical transition, as it instead appears to acquire a
warm seclusion structure.  There is a possibility that the system
could regain some tropical characteristics in 4-5 days, but this
remains uncertain

 

That is crazy... are there any historical analogs for this?

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USCG RS

USCG RS

Posted
Posted
Wow... when the cam went down last night it actually looked to be in decent shape.

 

 

Things must have gotten really out of hand after that.


Flooding could also have caused the foundation to give way.

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk

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Windspeed

Windspeed

Posted
Posted
They said the inside was irreparably damaged by water

The building may still be standing, but the structure may have taken so much damage from wave action that it cannot be restored. It will likely be condemned and claimed as a total loss by the insurance company. The stilts/piles may be rebuilt upon if they are cleared by a structural engineer, otherwise, those may have to be reset as well.

Sent from my LG G4.

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