Seminole Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Wind shear in the Northern GOM will likely keep it from intensifying beyond what it achieves in the Southern GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Finally updated. Still nothing stronger than 30kts but the SW side of the storm is much stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Finally updated. Still nothing stronger than 30kts but the SW side of the storm is much stronger That's from yesterday. The purple timestamp in the bottom is the pass time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 6 minutes ago, wxmx said: That's from yesterday. The purple timestamp in the bottom is the pass time. Sure about that? Mine says Aug 31 at 16:04. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Please, if you don't know how ASCAT passes work, stop posting them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Looking at TD9 on the visible, quite a change from earlier this morning. Earlier it was just a big blob of convection. Now the clouds are really taking on a banding appearance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Sure about that? Mine says Aug 31 at 16:04. PURPLE timestamp at the BOTTOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Just got back from a trip to the beach here in Navarre. (East of Pensacola West of Fort Walton) Surf is definitely up. I think some evidence of shear in the pics but I'm not a expert. Any thoughts? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Just now, wxmx said: PURPLE timestamp at the BOTTOM Forgive me but I don't see what you're talking about at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Forgive me but I don't see what you're talking about at all. You can't see the 2:42 timestamp in the image you posted?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 2 minutes ago, wxmx said: You can't see the 2:42 timestamp in the image you posted?? Saw that, didn't realize it meant 2:42AM. I thought someone said we were due for a new pass in 40 minutes like an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Saw that, didn't realize it meant 2:42AM. I thought someone said we were due for a new pass in 40 minutes like an hour ago. It probably refers to UTC time which also would not be current. I may be wrong, though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Saw that, didn't realize it meant 2:42AM. I thought someone said we were due for a new pass in 40 minutes like an hour ago. It was me, but there haven't been a new pass in almost 2 hours now...it seems every mechanical thing is falling apart :P. Check at :06 past the hour, that's usually the time the images are refreshed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Looks like we're starting to get some banding in the last hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 4 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: It probably refers to UTC time which also would not be current. I may be wrong, though... You're right...that pass is more than 12 hours old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Just now, wxmx said: You're right...that pass is more than 12 hours old. Thanks for the clarification. I'm always weary about posting since I also am prone to mistakes But I figured UTC was a pretty safe guess on a weather map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Hermine is here. A bit lopsided, mind you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Not sure what to think of the SFMR readings over the past 12 minutes, but they're all unflagged at or above 35 knots with FL winds in the 20s to middle 30s in little/no precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Seems like it's a TS on recon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 1 minute ago, Morris said: Seems like it's a TS on recon. what does it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 11 minutes ago, wxmx said: Hermine is here. A bit lopsided, mind you. Roughly about what you would expect though given the satellite presentation with all convection on the east side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Up to 45 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Interesting, recon is not going for a fix right now, they are heading for the SE quad, where ASCAT shows the TS strength wind barbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 1 minute ago, wxmx said: Interesting, recon is not going for a fix right now, they are heading for the SE quad, where ASCAT shows the TS strength wind barbs. Maybe NHC is working on a special advisory to upgrade and need a fix on the strongest winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 recon_NOAA3-1009A-CYCLONE_timeseries.png I don't know if that is what you were looking at but it does look like its up to 45 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 4 minutes ago, rockchalk83 said: Maybe NHC is working on a special advisory to upgrade and need a fix on the strongest winds? Most probably. SFMR supports a 45kts TS, but FL winds are lacking. This is kind of expected, the system was never vertically stacked, and it just recently began progress in that aspect. I'm pretty sure they will go with a 40+kts TS in the next advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 FL winds up to 39kts, and that just seals the deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 1 minute ago, wxmx said: FL winds up to 39kts, and that just seals the deal. Aren't flight level winds usually stronger though or does it vary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 172330 2413N 08620W 6973 03167 0071 +093 +074 203033 035 036 000 00 172400 2412N 08619W 6970 03172 0076 +090 +082 209034 034 037 000 00 172430 2410N 08619W 6990 03151 0076 +091 //// 209037 039 037 000 01 172500 2408N 08618W 7122 02991 0081 +096 //// 209037 039 039 000 05 172530 2406N 08618W 7359 02719 0080 +114 +101 204037 038 037 000 00 With that we now have a 45 MPH Tropical Storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 2 minutes ago, WeatherFan202 said: Aren't flight level winds usually stronger though or does it vary. It can vary, depending on the vertical structure of the cyclone. But usually the FL winds, from 950 to 800-700mb are higher than the surface winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.