TalcottWx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Storms are just collapsing in the most painful, slow way. Not that I'm surprised. Just boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 16, 2016 Author Share Posted August 16, 2016 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Well if that line fizzles or something doesn't fire ahead of it..There's still the stuff way out in WNY that has to come thru At 2 a.m.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Just now, weatherwiz said: We'll just have to see...mesos don't seem to like it but the ingredients will certainly be there. If we can keep MLcape values high with increasing shear and weak height falls I can't see how we don't get something I'm not sold this event is over. We just spent the afternoon explaining how bad modeling is with these events. If those storms can continue to travel NE western portions of SNE could see nightime action. It's probably over for anywhere that didn't get sun. Like here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: At 2 a.m.? Tell that to this past Sat night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Just now, sbos_wx said: I'm not sold this event is over. We just spent the afternoon explaining how bad modeling is with these events. If those storms can continue to travel NE western portions of SNE could see nightime action. It's probably over for anywhere that didn't get sun. Like here Well since this is becoming more nocturnal-like with timing degree of sun isn't extremely important. Increasing low-level moisture and theta-e will yield instability. I do suppose though that sun would help in that it would yield larger mixed layer cape values and ifnwe didn't see a quick drop off in temps after sunset or towards it we could maintain high mixed later cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 If that line isn't looking good when it passes Middletown, NY I'll throw in the towel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: If that line isn't looking good when it passes Middletown, NY I'll throw in the towel Ill let you know how it turns out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Just now, snywx said: Ill let you know how it turns out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: We'll just have to see...mesos don't seem to like it but the ingredients will certainly be there. If we can keep MLcape values high with increasing shear and weak height falls I can't see how we don't get something if i were you ...i'd do something else and perhaps be pleasantly surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 It's so hard to see a tornado...very maddening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 meso disco just released for upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Ive seen two and both were unexpected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tell that to this past Sat night The one you said was capped but overpreformed or the Sunday when you said we bang and it was a glorious day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Looking nasty out east of Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: The one you said was capped but overpreformed or the Sunday when you said we bang and it was a glorious day. The one that was capped all day..yes that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 So I had the chance today to check out the damage on RT6 in Foster from the other day. Definitely straight line. No sheared tops either. Was pretty cool in PVD during the Noon time rain today went from 86 to 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Looking nasty out east of Lake Ontario. Nasty rotation with that TOR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: The one that was capped all day..yes that one. Capped all day lol ask PFabout that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Capped all day lol ask PFabout that I'm not sure what you're confused about but Ryan, Legro..Scooter all mentioned how we were capped during the day Saturday and that's why updrafts couldn't sustain themselves. We need the S/w and that came in at night. It's all in the thread. Go take a look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Possible TDS out in NY now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 So close to TYX you can see the whole structure of the RFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'm not sure what you're confused about but Ryan, Legro..Scooter all mentioned how we were capped during the day Saturday and that's why updrafts couldn't sustain themselves. We need the S/w and that came in at night. It's all in the thread. Go take a look lol wut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'm not sure what you're confused about but Ryan, Legro..Scooter all mentioned how we were capped during the day Saturday and that's why updrafts couldn't sustain themselves. We need the S/w and that came in at night. It's all in the thread. Go take a look ok Quote powderfreak 33,839 posts ID: 1191 Posted Saturday at 03:46 PM · Some house shaking cracks of thunder and lightning and torrential rain in North Woodstock, CT a mile or two south of the Mass border. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Trying to figure out to go for that like...thinking somewhere in NE CT perhaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 17 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Trying to figure out to go for that like...thinking somewhere in NE CT perhaps Lol .. For what? Old tires Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol .. For what? Old tires Meant NW CT but just going to stay at BDL and hope for a light show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Meant NW CT but just going to stay at BDL and hope for a light show I would just head to electric blue if I were you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: If that line isn't looking good when it passes Middletown, NY I'll throw in the towel Skies are dark, Lt rain has commenced with rumbles of thunder in the distance. Edit: getting some nice gust now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Just now, CoastalWx said: I would just head to electric blue if I were you. I told Kevin we should go one night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 1 minute ago, snywx said: Skies are dark, Lt rain has commenced with rumbles of thunder in the distance. Lots of lightning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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