Bob Chill Posted August 20, 2016 Share Posted August 20, 2016 I've spent a decent amount of time outside the last month. I'm so used to getting furnaced that the last couple days have felt good. Last night at the skins game was perfect. Tues morning is going to feel weird. I plan on walking the dog early in shorts and flip flops. I'm hoping I get cold. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 20, 2016 Share Posted August 20, 2016 Hot day at the fair. Fire department worked a number of heat exhaustion calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 20, 2016 Share Posted August 20, 2016 Nice day today and Tuesday looks incredible. Hopefully we can pick up some good rain tomorrow from the front. 87 and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 20, 2016 Share Posted August 20, 2016 Anyone got timing on storms/rain for tomorrow? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 20, 2016 Share Posted August 20, 2016 6 minutes ago, mappy said: Anyone got timing on storms/rain for tomorrow? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Around 4-5ish from what I've seen for anything early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Oh, that late? I thought it was earlier, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 4 hours ago, mappy said: Anyone got timing on storms/rain for tomorrow? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Scattered storms late morning/early afternoon. More linear development mid-late afternoon west to east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 2 hours ago, mappy said: Oh, that late? I thought it was earlier, thanks! Tonight's NAM nest and HRRRX (to be implemented Tuesday) both have some initial activity around 8-9AM. The HRRRX then brings the main event through more in the 2-3PM time frame. The NAM nest says more 4-5PM, but that model is often a bit slow. So, while a late afternoon show is certainly a reasonable scenario, it could easily end up being a mid-afternoon scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Thanks!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Been getting off/on heavy rain showers. Hope it doesn't wreck potential for storms later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Clouds are starting to break up... 2-3 hours of sunshine is all we need today. CAPE already going way up past model predictions in the cleared-out areas... 2-3k SBCAPE and 1-2k MLCAPE. I'm decently hype for today. Obviously we could use better mid-level lapse rates, but those are usually crap around here, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Ooooo - Ellinwood being bullish makes me tingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: Ooooo - Ellinwood being bullish makes me tingly. I imagine your profile pic saying this and it creeps me out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Visible satellite showing some decent clearing, low level lapse rates aren't bad, shear is good and we got a decent kicker. I'm in. Probably the most active weather we'll see for the next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Really heavy rain. Some thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Its been partly/mostly sunny since around 10am here. Lots of blue skies. 87/77. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Wouldn't shock me if there's one or two TORs issued today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Saw sun briefly this morning, off and on rain showers since then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Hoping to see a MCD issued shortly. Looks like the activity near Front Royal is the stuff to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 I picked up an estimated .25" from a heavy shower around 10. It cleared out pretty good for a while. Today has that sneaky feel to it. Party cloudy and 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Blue sky all the way up here in York. DC is looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 44 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Wouldn't shock me if there's one or two TORs issued today. Issued is one thing - verification is another But yeah it looks decent. Let's see how we can screw this one up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Another little shower popped up near Rockville - Hopefully we can quit with the stuff like that to juice up for the main show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 pity meso (40%). Meh, I'm out: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2016/md1573.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Meso discussion issued. Pretty meh - 40% odds on watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Though some of our nicer events come when SPC/LWX play catch up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 21, 2016 Author Share Posted August 21, 2016 So much for getting rain from the front. Back to very dry conditions here. Grass has started browning noticeably again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 I'm not seeing the severe threat today. Doesn't even look like any lightning on radar. I could see some flash flood issues in certain locations if there is some training. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Lots of activity muddying the playing field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 21, 2016 Share Posted August 21, 2016 Gonna bust on rain timing. Sorry, mappy. Line of showers approaching now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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