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Sweet '16 Mid-Long Range Discussion


NWNC2015

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The GFS has been hinting at similar things for the past few runs (since this morning, at least), and that's very important IMO. I'm not worried so much about specific storms right now as general patterns. The model is painting December 10th and on for about a week as a promising timeframe for a few chances of snow in the Southeast/Midatlantic. Nothing is guaranteed, but it seems the pattern during that time may be favorable.

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7 minutes ago, RubiksDestroyer said:

The GFS has been hinting at similar things for the past few runs (since this morning, at least), and that's very important IMO. I'm not worried so much about specific storms right now as general patterns. The model is painting December 10th and on for about a week as a promising timeframe for a few chances of snow in the Southeast/Midatlantic. Nothing is guaranteed, but it seems the pattern during that time may be favorable.

Godzilla NAO finally smashed. Cold air wont be as transient. 

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7 minutes ago, cg2916 said:

What are the GFS ensembles showing?

About as good as you can ask for in your area for Dec from d7-16 with below to well below normal temps every day and an unusually high chance for Dec snow in the SE. 

Way too early for any specific threats but the window for being in the game is pretty big. Doesn't appear to be a one and done pattern. Pretty repetitive and probably the best look since 2010. 

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40 minutes ago, LovingGulfLows said:

Really hoping Atlanta can get some snow in these next few weeks. Last year, the jet stream simply didn't dig deep enough for Atlanta to get really any snow...had it did, it would have been a blockbuster winter. Not sure the trough is far enough south though.

It's been nearly 3 years since atl had anything more than a light dusting.

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1 minute ago, Snowless in Carrollton said:

It's been nearly 3 years since atl had anything more than a light dusting.

Which part of ATL... you keep posting ATL imby type posts without acknowledging it's a very large metro area where the northern parts are colder and get more snow than the southern parts.

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11 minutes ago, whamby said:

Which part of ATL... you keep posting ATL imby type posts without acknowledging it's a very large metro area where the northern parts are colder and get more snow than the southern parts.

The only part of Atlanta that counts in the record books  (Hartsfield Jackson ) 

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1 hour ago, LovingGulfLows said:

The 13th-18th period has the potential to be very interesting for some areas. A great pattern for someone in the South(would bet on TN, mountains and WNC) to get a blockbuster storm.

That time frame sure has been good to us folk here in WNC. Seen some of our biggest snows around the 20th of the month. 

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Based on the last few runs it seems likely that at least parts of the SE have a legit shot at several chances of winter weather with the extended cold starting this weekend.....local NWS has us with a high of 41 Friday thats 18 or so below normal....and this is all after a good soaking in areas that really need it......

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