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August 2016 Discussion/Obs


dmillz25

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13 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Ill have to recheck my june #'s but Jun 03 was almost record cool if not for the last week heatwave.  The summer overall evened out, but very wet.

 

I think June 03 had record rain (imagine that). But I remember the rest of the summer being pretty typical summer like. 

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15 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Ill have to recheck my june #'s but Jun 03 was almost record cool if not for the last week heatwave.  The summer overall evened out, but very wet.

 

 

1 minute ago, tdp146 said:

I think June 03 had record rain (imagine that). But I remember the rest of the summer being pretty typical summer like. 

 

Yeah, June 2003 was the wettest on record at several locations. That was an impressively cool April and May which lingered into June before

reversing later in the month with the warmth.

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1 minute ago, tdp146 said:

I think June 03 had record rain (imagine that). But I remember the rest of the summer being pretty typical summer like. 

My stats for June 2003.  Yes it was very wet and cool right up until jun 22

 

 

Jun 200333.JPG

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so far Central Park has 40 days with a minimum 70 or higher...the longest streak was 16 in a row this month...since 1930 the most 70 degree or higher minimums came in 2005 with 60...1906 holds the record with 61...the most in a row is 22 set in 2010 and 1980...

# 70 minimums...

61 in 1906

60 in 2005

56 in 2015

54 in 2010

54 in 1908

52 in 1980

51 in 2013

47 in 2012

46 in 1876

46 in 1959

# consecutive

22 in 2010

22 in 1980

21 in 1988

19 in 2013

18 in 1995

17 in 1979

17 in 1906

16 in 1908

16 in 1984

16 in 2016

 

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We continue to parallel some of the closer analog years, chiefly, 1983 -- which featured a normal June, hot Jul-Aug, and warm September. 1983 has been a very good analog thus far considering the similarities with respect to weakening super Nino --> neutral ENSO, +PDO. The Atlantic was cooler in 1983, so I would expect the East Coast to be a bit warmer this year.

Very warm summer nationwide followed by continued summer into September. 

2numvxj.gif

 

nn4abc.png

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9 minutes ago, Isotherm said:

We continue to parallel some of the closer analog years, chiefly, 1983 -- which featured a normal June, hot Jul-Aug, and warm September. 1983 has been a very good analog thus far considering the similarities with respect to weakening super Nino --> neutral ENSO, +PDO. The Atlantic was cooler in 1983, so I would expect the East Coast to be a bit warmer this year.

Very warm summer nationwide followed by continued summer into September. 

2numvxj.gif

 

nn4abc.png

Still a week to go but will probably have warmest August on station record here...Warmest was in 2005.

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little bit of the Ambrose jet popping back up over night and this morning. Surprise small craft advisory canceled my day off fishing trip.  Also stirred up water temps. Entrance buoy went from a high of 78 yesterday to a more reasonably warm 73 right now. 

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8 hours ago, bluewave said:

The new JMA is on board with the EPS weeklies for September locking in  the ridge north of Hawaii and in the East as summer runs into fall yet again.

 

Y201608.D2412_gl0.png

 

 

The EPS is consistently, run after run showing an extremely warm pattern for us as far as the eye can see. This heat and humidity has become very tiresome. It was enough 2 months ago. This is just ridiculous now. I'm sorry I didn't bust when I predicted a record hot summer back in the spring, but you just saw it coming from a mile away. Just how everything was setting up globally, you knew in late March that we were going to be screwed bad this summer. Endless torching 

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This summer hasn't been that oppressive at all, but for the two week stretch at the end of July and beginning of this month. June was beautiful, as was the better part of July. Maybe impressions of heat are subjective, but in my area the heat and humidity is not what I take away from this summer.  

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2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

The EPS is consistently, run after run showing an extremely warm pattern for us as far as the eye can see. This heat and humidity has become very tiresome. It was enough 2 months ago. This is just ridiculous now. I'm sorry I didn't bust when I predicted a record hot summer back in the spring, but you just saw it coming from a mile away. Just how everything was setting up globally, you knew in late March that we were going to be screwed bad this summer. Endless torching 

Top 10 warmest months have become the new normal since 2010. This 3rd major streak since 2010 is noteworthy for the number of top 5's along with the history

making December 2015.

 

Top 10 warmest months at LGA since 2010:

Streak #1

3/10....#3

4/10....#1

5/10....#5

6/10....#1

7/10....#1

8/10....#8

9/10....#5

 

Streak #2

7/11....#9

9/11....#9

11/11...#5

12/11...#5

1/12....#10

2/12....#1

3/12....#1

4/12....#3

5/12....#6

7/12....#9

8/12....#6

9/12....#9

 

7/13....#3

10/13...#9

 

Streak #3

5/15....#3

8/15....#3

9/15....#2

11/15...#3

12/15...#1

3/16....#2

7/16....#4

8/16....#1...so far

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