dmillz25 Posted July 26, 2016 Share Posted July 26, 2016 New month, new thread. Discuss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael05192016 Posted July 27, 2016 Share Posted July 27, 2016 Looks like 3 hot days 8/4-8/6 with 95 possible again for LGA. Wonder if that is it before the cP invasions start. Also Wondering if an enhanced to moderate risk for severe happens when that heat breaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 27, 2016 Share Posted July 27, 2016 +2 temp wise. Wetter than average. Purely guessing at this point but I see no reason for it to turn cool for any extended period of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 28, 2016 Share Posted July 28, 2016 Question to me is whether that WAR builds west too? If not, then it's back to the cooler weather of June and the 1st party of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 August is now here. Sunset times begin to drop in earnest and average temps also begin a slow but steady decline. Looks like a quiet week after today (mainly west of the city) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 21 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: August is now here. Sunset times begin to drop in earnest and average temps also begin a slow but steady decline. Looks like a quiet week after today (mainly west of the city) Average high only declines by 4 degrees until the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 58 minutes ago, Morris said: Average high only declines by 4 degrees until the end of the month. that's why I said SLOW. But even with that small decline, big highs in the upper 90's or even 100 get harder and harder to achieve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 Terrible news for the areas hardest hit yesterday, the HRRR has gotten progressively more and more wet and now the 16z run hammers all of NE PA and most of NNJ tonight. 3-5" possible again in areas that train, and it could be more widespread than yesterday. Going to be some very serious flooding if this were to occur in my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 FYI the flashpoint on the HRRR is from 02z over NE PA through at least 07z tomorrow morning closer to the city, so a diurnal maximum event much like last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 Not much has been making past the city. Yes we have had some rain on the island but mostly light. Ese flow is stopping the eastward Movement of the storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 7 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Not much has been making past the city. Yes we have had some rain on the island but mostly light. Ese flow is stopping the eastward Movement of the storms The movement of these storms are incredibly slow and they tend to more or less rain themselves out before reaching the immediate coast. Still a lot of CIN along the coast as well today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 That would be nice, but it changes every hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 58 minutes ago, Morris said: That would be nice, but it changes every hour. right on queue, 18Z HRRR is basically drizzle for norther NJ with essentially nothing to the city or coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 Meteostar is finally back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 34 minutes ago, tdp146 said: right on queue, 18Z HRRR is basically drizzle for norther NJ with essentially nothing to the city or coast. It's been awful lately, but the model consensus does seem to point towards things staying mostly West of MMU. The 18z 4K NAM is wet for NW areas of this subforum overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 I will say that the mesoanalysis indicates that the area is primed should anything develop this far East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 It's humid and gross in Manhattan today. I fully did not expect it to be this hot. Bring on the rain/storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 25 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It's been awful lately, but the model consensus does seem to point towards things staying mostly West of MMU. The 18z 4K NAM is wet for NW areas of this subforum overnight. HRRR has been awful-it literally has a different solution each hour and it often is nothing like the hour before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 7.99 IMBY for July..unoffficial and unofficially I believe the wettest July in history or at least in the past 40 years how is this Saturday looking. I keep hearing a thunderstorm chance..is this just run of the mill stuff or could we repeat the deluge of the past couple day? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 10 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: 7.99 IMBY for July..unoffficial and unofficially I believe the wettest July in history or at least in the past 40 years how is this Saturday looking. I keep hearing a thunderstorm chance..is this just run of the mill stuff or could we repeat the deluge of the past couple day? Thanks Record for your area is probably several inches above that...Record here since 1981 for July is 12.23" back in 2004. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 It's been sunny for the past few hours, nice change from the disgusting cloudiness of the past couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 Strong blocking to result in cooler temps than late July the next week to ten days following the 4th warmest July on record at LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 HRRR has nothing for the city and almost nothing for Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 6 minutes ago, Morris said: HRRR has nothing for the city and almost nothing for Jersey. radar almost looks like a mini high over the area with storms moving around the edge of it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 OT a bit, but the Euro develops the wave in the Carribean into a depression and then TS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 Sun was out here an hour ago. Now it looks like it wants to pour. Hoping the storms intensify and slide further East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 I hope it doesn't rain. On a better note the main heat is gone and it took a lot of rain to do it. It's going to snow just about 1500 miles north from NYC around Sunday. You know that heat dome will only diminish. It wasn't so bad this summer. We may get another push of low 90's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 23 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: I hope it doesn't rain. On a better note the main heat is gone and it took a lot of rain to do it. It's going to snow just about 1500 miles north from NYC around Sunday. You know that heat dome will only diminish. It wasn't so bad this summer. We may get another push of low 90's if that is indeed it it's like this past winter where it settled in for about 3 weeks in January and then faded. 2-3 weeks of big heat and then a fade...(assuming there's not another 2-3 week burst of heat) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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