Juliancolton Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 3 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Part 2 was so dynamic. Started off as heavy ZR and PL before turning into a total whiteout in the blink of an eye with dynamic cooling and NE wind entrainment Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk An hour of pounding thundersleet and then over to ripping snow. Glorious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 4 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: RGEM 00z is noticably cooler, I'm about 10-15 miles east of 6+" Someone on the "fence" is gonna get a surprise. Im literally less than 10 miles from 6". You prob have a good shot at 4"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, snywx said: Someone on the "fence" is gonna get a surprise. Im literally less than 10 miles from 6". You prob have a good shot at 4"+. Im calling somewhere between 3-4 imby, I think anyone N+W of 84 is getting atleast 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Looking forward to January, I am liking our chances Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 26/21 here on the east side of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 8 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Im calling somewhere between 3-4 imby, I think anyone N+W of 84 is getting atleast 3 Seems reasonable. Goes along well with my 2-4" call. Lets see how fast she can develop once it approaches the coast. Was all this severe weather expected down in the south today? Seems like it may be over performing down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 GFS gives me all my snow after starting as rain... I honestly dunno what to expect lol .5 total precip, 1-2" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: GFS gives me all my snow after starting as rain... I honestly dunno what to expect lol This storm has the potential to surprise some folks especially those right along the fence. I think 84 is that "fence". Upton mentioned earlier that Northern Orange & Putnam should expect several hours of Heavy snow. The potential is there though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 0z GFS.... awfully close to a paste job here Hr18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 7 minutes ago, snywx said: 0z GFS.... awfully close to a paste job here Hr18 Is it trending colder than the 18z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 2 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Is it trending colder than the 18z run? Slightly.. But overall the same as 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 7 minutes ago, snywx said: Slightly.. But overall the same as 18z We'll see . Uptown has the north side of the county up to 5" on the potential snow map. A little sooner costal development could give a boost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 hour ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: HRRR says most of us start and stay as all rain thinking the HRRR is running too warm. here is the 01z HRRR valid for this hour. (2m air temps) the 32f line is all the way in Morris County. It is down to 27F all the way over in Union County at this hour and the HRRR did not even account for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Albany has me at 6 for most likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Models are way off on currrent temps, HRRR brings me down to 29F as my low tonight, I'm already at 22F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 I'm supposed to be driving Route 17 tomorrow from like 1-4pm...getting on at the 87 interchange, driving all the way to Exit 87A/Hancock, NY. I told my parents that it's probably just a few inches and should be mostly over by 2-3pm. What do you guys think about road conditions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 3 hours ago, nzucker said: I'm supposed to be driving Route 17 tomorrow from like 1-4pm...getting on at the 87 interchange, driving all the way to Exit 87A/Hancock, NY. I told my parents that it's probably just a few inches and should be mostly over by 2-3pm. What do you guys think about road conditions? What are you driving? In a Honda Civic it will suck but in a Subaru it will be a nice cruise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Uptown is pumping the breaks for the wwa. Going 1 to 3 now. Highest amount in the higher terrain. mt holly is going with about the same in Sussex. They are still talking about heavy snow showers tomorrow and travel may be difficult at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: What are you driving? In a Honda Civic it will suck but in a Subaru it will be a nice cruise. Subaru... Funny, my dad has a Honda Fit but we're taking my mom's car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 2" already in Dingmans Ferry I'm told Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Temps have risen remarkably with the SE flow. Expecting less than an inch in Poughkeepsie before rain takes over. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 I saw a few flakes and then it changed to a nasty, cold, wind driven rain. I want a do over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 10 minutes ago, gravitylover said: I saw a few flakes and then it changed to a nasty, cold, wind driven rain. I want a do over Same here man. Snowed for maybe 20 min. and barely accumulated. Been pure rain ever since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 22 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Same here man. Snowed for maybe 20 min. and barely accumulated. Been pure rain ever since. Same here. Dusting then rain/mix. Just an occasional flake or two now and then. 34/32. Elevation 125' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Same here. Dusting then rain/mix. Just an occasional flake or two now and then. 34/32 Elevation 125' Yeah, the dusting here was barely anything. Did have some sleet, but basically this whole thing was just a pure cold rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Light rain now after a coating of snow. I tried to keep expectations low but dang... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 4 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Light rain now after a coating of snow. I tried to keep expectations low but dang... Wow didn't think you would be raining this early. Looks like the snow is W of the Hudson & N of 84. Still heavy snow here but that R/S line is prob on my doorstep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Just now, snywx said: Wow didn't think you would be raining this early. Looks like the snow is W of the Hudson & N of 84. Still heavy snow here but that R/S line is prob on my doorstep Yeah, the southeast flow has been a killer for me all month. Maybe I can switch back over if precip intensifies, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Just under 4.5" of wet snow out here in the Poconos. Big, fat flakes continue to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 About 3/4" of snow. Raining now, 36F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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